Benfica vs Aarhus Prediction

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AI call Benfica to win or draw
76%
15%
9%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Benfica vs Aarhus prediction: Sportiko gives Benfica a 76% chance of winning, Aarhus 9% and the draw 15%. Last updated 20 Aug 2026, 20:57.

Match Report

Benfica made a blistering start at the Estádio da Luz, with Rafa Silva opening the scoring inside two minutes to set the tone for a dominant Europa League play-off display. Leandro Barreiro doubled the advantage on 31 minutes despite having picked up an early yellow card, before Aarhus briefly threatened a response when Sebastian Jørgensen pulled one back on 36 minutes. Any hopes of a Danish comeback were swiftly extinguished, however, as Vangelis Pavlidis converted a penalty deep into first-half stoppage time to restore Benfica's two-goal cushion and send the sides into the break at 3–1.

The second half was a largely comfortable affair for the hosts, who controlled proceedings with 70% possession and registered 12 shots on target to Aarhus's solitary effort. Benfica managed the game efficiently through a series of substitutions, with Barreiro, Pavlidis, and Rafa Silva all withdrawn before the final whistle.

The result was rarely in doubt, and the pre-match AI model — which had rated a Benfica win most likely at 76% — proved correct as the Portuguese side advanced with authority.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Rafa Silva
2' ⚽ 1–0
Leandro Barreiro Yellow Card
9' ▮
Tomás Araújo Yellow Card
24' ▮
Leandro Barreiro
31' ⚽ 2–0
⚽ 2–1 36'
Sebastian Jørgensen assist: Jacob Andersen
Vangelis Pavlidis Penalty
45+2' ⚽ 3–1
HT 3–1
⇄ 57'
Colin Rösler ⇄ R. Carstensen
⇄ 57'
Sebastian Jørgensen ⇄ Stefen Tchamche
Leandro Barreiro ⇄ Richard Ríos
66' ⇄
Gianluca Prestianni ⇄ Andreas Schjelderup
72' ⇄
Vangelis Pavlidis ⇄ Jhon Durán
72' ⇄
⇄ 73'
Frederik Emmery ⇄ Gift Links
⇄ 73'
Magnus Knudsen ⇄ Jens Jønsson
⇄ 81'
James Bogere ⇄ Mikael Anderson
▮ 83'
Stefen Tchamche Yellow Card
Rafa Silva ⇄ Jakub Kamiński
84' ⇄
Georgiy Sudakov ⇄ Fredrik Aursnes
84' ⇄
FT 3–1
Benfica

Match Stats

Aarhus
70% Ball Possession 30%
Expected Goals (xG)
Total Shots
12 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 1
10 Blocked Shots 1
Shots insidebox
Shots outsidebox
10 Corner Kicks 1
1 Offsides 0
9 Fouls 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
Goalkeeper Saves
Total passes
Passes accurate
Passes %
goals_prevented
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Confidence High (76%)

At a glance

Our lean
Benfica to win or draw
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Benfica
WWWWW
Aarhus
WDLWW
Last 1 meetings Benfica · 1W 0D 0L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Benfica
G. Prestianni 2 gls
Aarhus

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Benfica vs Aarhus

1 Benfica Wins
0 Draws
0 Aarhus Wins
Date Home Score Away
27 Aug 2026 Aarhus 1 - 3 Benfica

Benfica — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Lech Poznan W 3 - 1
02 Nov H Alverca W 1 - 0
29 Oct H GIL Vicente W 4 - 1
26 Oct A Santa Clara W 1 - 2
22 Oct A Omonia Nicosia W 1 - 4

Aarhus — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov H AC Horsens W 1 - 0
05 Nov H SC Braga D 0 - 0
01 Nov A Brondby L 2 - 0
28 Oct A Roskilde W 1 - 2
25 Oct H Viborg W 2 - 1

UEFA Europa League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Benfica
4 4 0 0 +10 12
2
Bournemouth
4 4 0 0 +9 12
3
Ferencvarosi TC
4 4 0 0 +8 12
4
Union St. Gilloise
4 3 1 0 +8 10
5
Juventus
4 3 1 0 +7 10
6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 3 1 0 +3 10
7
Bayer Leverkusen
4 3 0 1 +7 9
8
Beşiktaş
4 2 1 1 +3 7
9
Dinamo Zagreb
4 2 1 1 +1 7
10
Levski Sofia
4 2 1 1 +1 7
11
Sunderland
4 2 1 1 0 7
12
NEC Nijmegen
4 2 1 1 -1 7
13
Lyon
4 2 1 1 -1 7
14
AZ Alkmaar
4 2 0 2 +3 6
15
Anderlecht
4 2 0 2 +3 6
16
OFI
4 2 0 2 +1 6
17
Rennes
4 1 3 0 +1 6
18
Omonia Nicosia
4 2 0 2 -1 6
19
Torreense
4 2 0 2 -2 6
20
Real Sociedad
4 1 2 1 +5 5
21
Crystal Palace
4 1 2 1 +3 5
22
Sparta Praha
4 1 1 2 0 4
23
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 1 2 0 4
24
Sturm Graz
4 1 1 2 -3 4
25
Celje
4 1 1 2 -4 4
26
Red Bull Salzburg
4 1 1 2 -5 4
27
Celta Vigo
4 1 0 3 -2 3
28
AC Milan
4 1 0 3 -3 3
29
Jagiellonia
4 1 0 3 -3 3
30
Plzen
4 1 0 3 -4 3
31
Marseille
4 1 0 3 -4 3
32
Celtic
4 1 0 3 -5 3
33
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4 0 1 3 -7 1
34
Lillestrom
4 0 1 3 -8 1
35
Lech Poznan
4 0 1 3 -10 1
36
Ararat-Armenia
4 0 0 4 -10 0

Benfica

Formation: 4-1-3-2 Coach: Marco Silva
24 Soares
26 Dahl
44 Araújo
2 Lenglet
6 Bah
18 Barreiro
10 Sudakov
5 Barrenechea
25 Prestianni
27 Silva
14 Pavlidis

Starting XI

# Player Pos
24 Samuel Soares G
6 Alexander Bah D
2 Clément Lenglet D
44 Tomás Araújo D
26 Samuel Dahl D
18 Leandro Barreiro M
25 Gianluca Prestianni M
5 Enzo Barrenechea M
10 Georgiy Sudakov M
14 Vangelis Pavlidis F
27 Rafa Silva M

Substitutes

1 Anatoliy Trubin G
33 Gabriel Indio D
58 Daniel Banjaqui D
62 José Neto D
8 Fredrik Aursnes M
11 Dodi Lukebakio M
13 Jakub Kamiński M
16 Manu Silva M
20 Richard Ríos M
21 Andreas Schjelderup M
22 Jhon Durán F
72 Anísio Cabral F

Aarhus

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Jakob Poulsen
21 Hedenstad
19 Kahl
44 Camara
25 Rösler
39 Emmery
4 Knudsen
10 Arnstad
8 Jørgensen
26 Andersen
28 Bogere
31 Bech

Starting XI

# Player Pos
21 Mads Hedenstad G
25 Colin Rösler D
44 Mouhammade Camara D
19 Eric Kahl D
26 Jacob Andersen M
8 Sebastian Jørgensen M
10 Kristian Arnstad F
4 Magnus Knudsen M
39 Frederik Emmery F
31 Tobias Bech F
28 James Bogere F

Substitutes

1 Jesper Hansen G
42 Marius van der Raad G
14 Tobias Mølgaard D
33 Luka Callø D
45 Christian Storch D
7 Markus Solbakken M
11 Gift Links M
16 Jens Jønsson M
23 Mikael Anderson M
29 Rasmus Carstensen M
13 Janni Serra F
27 Stefen Tchamche F

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