FC Sion vs Ajax Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Playoff round

Post on X

Ajax

Away

AI call Ajax or draw

32%

24%

44%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Sion vs Ajax prediction: Sportiko gives FC Sion a 32% chance of winning, Ajax 44% and the draw 24%. Last updated 20 Aug 2026, 20:10.

Match Report

FC Sion took the lead through Franck Surdez in the 34th minute, and the Swiss side headed into the break with a 1–0 advantage despite Ajax enjoying the greater share of possession throughout the opening half. The Dutch visitors, who had collected a yellow card through Youri Regeer before half-time, made an immediate tactical adjustment by withdrawing him at the interval.

Ajax turned the tie around swiftly after the restart. Julian Brandt levelled in the 53rd minute before Marcos Leonardo put the visitors ahead seven minutes later. Sion briefly threatened a response when Ylyas Chouaref converted a penalty on 72 minutes, but Ajax struck back almost immediately through Tolu Arokodare to restore their two-goal cushion. Davy Klaassen added a fourth in the 87th minute to seal a comfortable 4–2 victory, with Sion finishing the match having managed five shots on goal from 19 total attempts — a reflection of their inability to convert pressure into clear chances.

Our pre-match AI model rated an Ajax win as the most likely outcome at 44%, a call that proved correct. Ajax advance from the playoff round with a convincing margin.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Baltazar Yellow Card

30' ▮

Franck Surdez assist: Ali Kabacalman

34' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 36'

Youri Regeer Yellow Card

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

Youri Regeer ⇄ Jorthy Mokio

⚽ 1–1 53'

Julian Brandt

⚽ 1–2 60'

Marcos Leonardo

▮ 69'

Jorthy Mokio Yellow Card

Ylyas Chouaref Penalty

72' ⚽ 2–2

⇄ 73'

Oscar Gloukh ⇄ Abdellah Ouazane

⇄ 73'

Marcos Leonardo ⇄ Tolu Arokodare

⇄ 73'

Caio Henrique ⇄ Owen Wijndal

⚽ 2–3 74'

Tolu Arokodare

Franck Surdez ⇄ Donat Rrudhani

75' ⇄

Rilind Nivokazi ⇄ Fode Sylla

75' ⇄

▮ 77'

Anton Gaaei Yellow Card

⇄ 78'

Anton Gaaei ⇄ Lucas Rosa

Winsley Boteli Mokango ⇄ Théo Berdayes

82' ⇄

Baltazar ⇄ Josias Lukembila

82' ⇄

Ylyas Chouaref ⇄ Benjamin Kololli

85' ⇄

⚽ 2–4 87'

Davy Klaassen assist: Tolu Arokodare

▮ 90+5'

Lucas Rosa Yellow Card

FT 2–4

FC Sion

Match Stats

Ajax

42% Ball Possession 58%

Expected Goals (xG)

9 Total Shots 19

3 Shots on Goal 5

6 Shots off Goal 10

0 Blocked Shots 4

7 Shots insidebox 10

2 Shots outsidebox 9

2 Corner Kicks 5

Offsides

6 Fouls 7

1 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 2

315 Total passes 444

261 Passes accurate 394

83% Passes % 89%

goals_prevented

FC Sion

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
19 Franck Surdez M	8.3	67'	1	–	2	20 (16%)	3
1 Anthony Racioppi G	7.6	67'	–	–	–	29 (22%)	–
88 Ali Kabacalman M	7.2	67'	–	1	–	51 (43%)	–
8 Baltazar M	6.9	67'	–	–	1	33 (27%)	1
7 Ylyas Chouaref M	6.9	67'	–	–	2	29 (24%)	3
33 Rilind Nivokazi F	6.7	67'	–	–	–	10 (7%)	3
14 Numa Lavanchy D	6.5	67'	–	–	1	30 (23%)	2
5 Noé Sow D	6.5	67'	–	–	–	42 (39%)	–
17 Jan Kronig D	6.2	67'	–	–	–	40 (36%)	–
20 Nias Hefti D	6.2	67'	–	–	1	25 (19%)	1
13 Winsley Boteli Mokango M	6.0	67'	–	–	2	6 (5%)	–

Ajax

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 Julian Brandt M	8.2	67'	1	–	2	53 (49%)	–
3 Anton Gaaei D	7.5	67'	–	–	–	42 (37%)	2
30 Aaron Bouwman D	7.3	67'	–	–	2	56 (55%)	3
15 Youri Baas D	7.2	67'	–	–	–	67 (59%)	1
23 Steven Berghuis F	6.9	67'	–	–	4	42 (36%)	–
1 Marc-André Ter Stegen G	6.9	67'	–	–	–	15 (14%)	–
10 Oscar Gloukh F	6.7	67'	–	–	1	32 (27%)	–
12 Caio Henrique D	6.5	67'	–	–	–	31 (27%)	1
18 Davy Klaassen M	6.3	67'	–	–	1	44 (36%)	2
6 Youri Regeer M	6.3	45'	–	–	–	36 (31%)	1
24 Jorthy Mokio M	6.3	22'	–	–	1	15 (14%)	–
38 Marcos Leonardo F	6.3	67'	1	–	4	11 (9%)	–

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Our lean

Ajax or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.4%

Both teams to score

66%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

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FC Sion

DWWWW

Ajax

DWWLW

Last 1 meetings FC Sion · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ajax goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5	4	4	2	1
1	5	11	8	4	1
2	6	9	7	3	1
3	4	5	4	2	1
4	2	2	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ FC Sion goals · most likely 1–1 (11.4%)

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Players in form

FC Sion

Winsley Boteli Mokango 7 gls

Ajax

O. Gloukh 4 gls

D. Klaassen 4 gls

T. Arokodare 3 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Home Win

32%

Draw

24%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS Yes 34% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

36%

2.5

64%

59%

3.5

41%

77%

4.5

23%

90%

5.5

10%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Home Win

32%

Draw

24%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

58% Home (No Draw) 42% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Home Scores More 31% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

36%

2.5

64%

59%

3.5

41%

77%

4.5

23%

90%

5.5

10%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS Yes 34% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

22%

19%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.0%	4.3%	4.2%	2.1%	0.8%
1	5.4%	11.4%	7.6%	3.8%	1.4%
2	6.1%	9.1%	6.8%	3.4%	1.3%
3	3.7%	5.5%	4.1%	2.1%	0.8%
4	1.7%	2.5%	1.9%	0.9%	0.4%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Sion	Draw	Ajax
FC Sion	22.6%	3.0%	1.2%
Draw	17.3%	13.9%	8.1%
Ajax	4.8%	6.8%	22.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

34%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Sion vs Ajax

0 FC Sion Wins

0 Draws

1 Ajax Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Aug 2026	Ajax	5 - 3	FC Sion

FC Sion — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H FC Zurich	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Grasshoppers	W	2 - 5
12 Sep	A FC ST. Gallen	W	0 - 3
06 Sep	H FC Thun	W	3 - 2
03 Sep	A FC Basel 1893	W	1 - 2

Ajax — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
15 Sep	H Willem II	W	5 - 1
12 Sep	A Fortuna Sittard	W	1 - 5
05 Sep	H PSV Eindhoven	L	1 - 3
30 Aug	A Telstar	W	0 - 4

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Ajax

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Michel

1 Stegen

12 Henrique

15 Baas

30 Bouwman

3 Gaaei

8 Brandt

6 Regeer

18 Klaassen

10 Gloukh

38 Leonardo

23 Berghuis

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Marc-André Ter Stegen	G
3	Anton Gaaei	D
30	Aaron Bouwman	D
15	Youri Baas	D
12	Caio Henrique	D
18	Davy Klaassen	M
6	Youri Regeer	M
8	Julian Brandt	M
23	Steven Berghuis	F
38	Marcos Leonardo	F
10	Oscar Gloukh	F

Substitutes

22	Joeri Heerkens	G
26	Maarten Paes	G
2	Lucas Rosa	D
5	Owen Wijndal	D
21	Jofre Torrents	D
36	Dies Janse	D
37	Josip Šutalo	D
24	Jorthy Mokio	M
68	Abdellah Ouazane	M
9	Kasper Dolberg	F
20	Oliver Valaker Edvardsen	F
99	Tolu Arokodare	F

FC Sion

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Didier Tholot

1 Racioppi

20 Hefti

17 Kronig

5 Sow

14 Lavanchy

8 Baltazar

88 Kabacalman

19 Surdez

13 Mokango

7 Chouaref

33 Nivokazi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Anthony Racioppi	G
14	Numa Lavanchy	D
5	Noé Sow	D
17	Jan Kronig	D
20	Nias Hefti	D
88	Ali Kabacalman	M
8	Baltazar	M
7	Ylyas Chouaref	M
13	Winsley Boteli Mokango	M
19	Franck Surdez	M
33	Rilind Nivokazi	F

Substitutes

12	Francesco Ruberto	G
40	Simon Caillet	G
6	Marquinhos Cipriano	D
55	Lorenzo Villa	D
9	Josias Lukembila	F
10	Benjamin Kololli	M
21	Liam Scott Chipperfield	M
29	Théo Berdayes	F
37	Fode Sylla	M
38	Ryan Kessler	D
77	Donat Rrudhani	M
22	Adrien Llukes	M