Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Playoff round

Post on X

KuPS

Away

AI call Shamrock Rovers or draw

45%

27%

28%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS prediction: Sportiko gives Shamrock Rovers a 45% chance of winning, KuPS 28% and the draw 27%. Last updated 20 Aug 2026, 20:53.

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1st Half Over 0.5 74%

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Match Report

Shamrock Rovers and KuPS played out a tense 1–1 draw in their UEFA Europa Conference League playoff round clash at Tallaght Stadium, with both teams level at the break after a goalless first half.

The hosts made the brighter start to the second period, with Enda Stevens breaking the deadlock just four minutes after the restart. Rovers looked set to hold on for a victory that our pre-match AI model had rated as the most likely outcome at 45%, but KuPS grew into the game as both managers turned to their benches. The visitors equalised through P. Parzyszek in the 85th minute, snatching a share of the spoils late on.

The statistics reflected a closely contested encounter, with possession split evenly at 50–50, though KuPS created the greater threat on goal, registering six shots on target to Rovers' two. A yellow card for S. Touray added a moment of controversy midway through the second half. The draw leaves the tie finely poised ahead of the second leg in Finland.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0

Enda Stevens

49' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 58'

P. Pennanen ⇄ P. Parzyszek

⇄ 58'

⇄ J. Luyeye-Lutumba

Graham Burke ⇄ Michael Noonan

68' ⇄

Jack Byrne

68' ⇄

▮ 69'

S. Touray Yellow Card

J. Afolabi ⇄ Aaron Greene

69' ⇄

⇄ 77'

S. Touray ⇄ G. Engvall

Tunmise Sobowale ⇄ Adam Brennan

80' ⇄

⚽ 1–1 85'

P. Parzyszek assist: C. Antwi

⇄ 87'

B. Armah ⇄ N. Kujasalo

▮ 90+3'

Yellow Card

FT 1–1

Shamrock Rovers

Match Stats

KuPS

50% Ball Possession 50%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

6 Shots on Goal 2

4 Shots off Goal 4

6 Blocked Shots 1

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

2 Corner Kicks 3

1 Offsides 1

8 Fouls 20

0 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Our lean

Shamrock Rovers or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Shamrock Rovers

WLDDL

KuPS

WDDLW

Last 1 meetings Shamrock Rovers · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

KuPS goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	6	5	2	1
1	7	13	8	3	1
2	7	9	6	3	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ Shamrock Rovers goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Away Win

28%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Away Win

28%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

58% Home (No Draw) 42% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Home Scores More 30% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	5.8%	4.8%	2.1%	0.7%
1	7.3%	13.1%	7.6%	3.3%	1.1%
2	7.0%	9.2%	6.0%	2.6%	0.9%
3	3.7%	4.8%	3.2%	1.4%	0.5%
4	1.5%	1.9%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Shamrock Rovers	Draw	KuPS
Shamrock Rovers	23.2%	3.3%	1.2%
Draw	16.5%	16.3%	8.8%
KuPS	3.5%	6.1%	21.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS

0 Shamrock Rovers Wins

0 Draws

1 KuPS Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Aug 2026	KuPS	1 - 0	Shamrock Rovers

Shamrock Rovers — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Waterford	W	3 - 2
11 Sep	A St Patrick's Athl.	L	2 - 0
04 Sep	H Shelbourne	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A Derry City	D	3 - 3
27 Aug	A KuPS	L	1 - 0

KuPS — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A VPS	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H HJK Helsinki	D	0 - 0
08 Sep	A Gnistan	D	1 - 1
31 Aug	A Inter Turku	L	1 - 0
27 Aug	H Shamrock Rovers	W	1 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

KuPS

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Miika Nuutinen

1 Kreidl

25 Antwi

4 Nuhu

28 Magassa

6 Savolainen

22 Touray

10 Gasc

24 Armah

8 Pennanen

16 Jyry

11 Moreno

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Johannes Kreidl	G
6	Saku Savolainen	D
28	Brahima Magassa	D
4	Kasim Nuhu	-
25	Clinton Antwi	D
10	Valentín Gasc	M
22	Saikou Touray	M
16	Tommi Jyry	M
8	Petteri Pennanen	M
24	Bob Nii Armah	D
11	Jaime Moreno	F

Substitutes

37	Kasperi Silen	G
12	Hemmo Riihimäki	G
23	Arttu Lötjönen	D
29	Akseli Puukko	D
33	Taneli Hämäläinen	D
30	Jorginho	D
13	Niilo Kujasalo	M
17	Arttu Heinonen	M
14	Samuel Pasanen	M
21	Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba	M
9	Gustav Engvall	F
20	Piotr Parzyszek	F

Shamrock Rovers

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Stephen Bradley

1 McGinty

3 Stevens

4 Pico

5 Grace

24 Fitzgerald

29 Byrne

8 Healy

7 Watts

22 Sobowale

10 Burke

18 Afolabi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Ed McGinty	G
5	Lee Grace	D
4	Pico	D
3	Enda Stevens	D
22	Tunmise Sobowale	D
7	Dylan Watts	M
8	Matthew Healy	M
29	Jack Byrne	M
24	William Fitzgerald	M
18	Jonathan Afolabi	F
10	Graham Burke	F

Substitutes

41	Alex Noonan	G
25	Lee Steacy	G
27	Cory O'Sullivan	D
17	Luke O'Regan	D
11	Jake Mulraney	M
14	Daniel Mandroiu	M
19	Adam Brennan	M
26	John O'Sullivan	M
9	Aaron Greene	F
15	Maleace Asamoah	F
31	Michael Noonan	F
34	Ben Mahon	F