Dinamo Tirana vs Pafos Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Playoff round

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Pafos

Away

AI call Pafos or draw

31%

29%

40%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Dinamo Tirana vs Pafos prediction: Sportiko gives Dinamo Tirana a 31% chance of winning, Pafos 40% and the draw 29%. Last updated 20 Aug 2026, 20:57.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%

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Match Report

Dinamo Tirana and Pafos played out a 1–1 draw in their UEFA Europa Conference League playoff round encounter, with the match remaining goalless at half-time despite a missed penalty in the 37th minute adding early drama to proceedings. The first half also saw a pair of yellow cards distributed, hinting at the competitive edge that would define the contest.

The game burst to life in the final quarter, with a normal goal arriving in the 79th minute before a flurry of bookings in the 81st saw two players cautioned in quick succession. Pafos then converted a penalty in the 82nd minute to level matters, ensuring the tie remains finely poised heading into the second leg. Both sides made extensive use of their substitutes, with Ivan Šunjić and Nicolas Moumie Ngamaleu among those introduced in the second half.

Dinamo Tirana edged possession at 53 percent and registered three shots on target to Pafos's four, though the Cypriot side's greater threat from corners — three to one — was reflected in the overall balance of play. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Pafos win as the most likely outcome at 40 percent, a call that proved correct on the night.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 19'

Yellow Card

30' ▮

✗ 37'

Missed Penalty

▮ 39'

Yellow Card

HT 0–0

⇄ 46'

⇄ 57'

Ivan Šunjić ⇄ Gonçalo Rodrigues

⇄ 57'

Nicolas Moumie Ngamaleu

⇄ Adamu Alhassan

76' ⇄

assist: Adamu Alhassan

79' ⚽ 1–0

Yellow Card

81' ▮

Yellow Card

81' ▮

⚽ 1–1 82'

Penalty

Yellow Card

86' ▮

⇄ 88'

90' ⇄

FT 1–1

Dinamo Tirana

Match Stats

Pafos

47% Ball Possession 53%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

4 Shots on Goal 3

2 Shots off Goal 6

4 Blocked Shots 1

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

3 Corner Kicks 1

1 Offsides 3

12 Fouls 11

4 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Our lean

Pafos or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Dinamo Tirana

WWWWL

Pafos

LWDWW

Last 1 meetings Dinamo Tirana · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Pafos goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	7	5	2	1
1	10	14	7	3	1
2	8	9	5	2	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Dinamo Tirana goals · most likely 1–1 (14.4%)

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Home Win

31%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Home Win

31%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

59% Home (No Draw) 41% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 28% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.9%	7.5%	5.1%	1.9%	0.5%
1	9.8%	14.4%	7.1%	2.6%	0.7%
2	8.0%	8.8%	4.9%	1.8%	0.5%
3	3.7%	4.1%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.3%	1.4%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

55%

1.5

45%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Dinamo Tirana	Draw	Pafos
Dinamo Tirana	21.0%	3.3%	1.2%
Draw	18.7%	19.2%	10.5%
Pafos	3.0%	5.4%	17.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Dinamo Tirana vs Pafos

0 Dinamo Tirana Wins

0 Draws

1 Pafos Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Aug 2026	Pafos	4 - 2	Dinamo Tirana

Dinamo Tirana — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Laci	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	A Partizani	W	2 - 4
06 Sep	H AF Elbasani	W	2 - 1
31 Aug	A Skenderbeu Korce	W	0 - 1
27 Aug	A Pafos	L	4 - 2

Pafos — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H AEL	L	0 - 2
13 Sep	A AEK Larnaca	W	0 - 1
07 Sep	H Olympiakos	D	0 - 0
03 Sep	A Omonia Nicosia	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	A Karmiotissa	W	0 - 3

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Pafos

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Ricardo Sa Pinto

99 Majecki

14 Ioannou

4 Luiz

5 Goldar

7 Bruno

8 Quina

26 Šunjić

88 Pêpê

20 Biel

18 Lelê

13 Ngamaleu

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	Radosław Majecki	G
7	Bruno	D
5	David Goldar	D
4	David Luiz	D
14	Nikolas Ioannou	D
88	Pêpê	M
26	Ivan Šunjić	M
8	Domingos Quina	M
13	Nicolas Moumie Ngamaleu	M
18	Lelê	F
20	Biel	F

Substitutes

71	Michalis Papastylianou	G
82	Petros Petrou	G
3	Samy Mmaee	D
72	Kosmas Ioannou	D
6	Guga	M
12	Ken Sema	M
42	Georgios Michael	M
50	Alexandre Brito	M
60	Christos Efzona	M
77	João Correia	M
33	Anderson Silva	F
61	Melinos Kais	F

Dinamo Tirana

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Ilir Daja

77 Teqja

13 Perndreca

27 Aliji

22 Dita

2 Ismaili

21 Qefalija

10 Vila

20 Ayodeji

8 Qardaku

11 Silva-Richards

29 Berisha

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
77	Aldo Teqja	G
2	Ysni Ismaili	D
22	Bruno Dita	D
27	Naser Aliji	D
13	Fabjan Perndreca	D
20	Malomo Taofeek Ayodeji	M
10	Lorenco Vila	M
21	Klevi Qefalija	M
29	Hekuran Berisha	F
11	Ruben Silva-Richards	F
8	Eridon Qardaku	M

Substitutes

1	Edmir Sali	G
97	Tomas Kiri	G
5	Erion Hoxhallari	D
7	Almir Ajzeraj	M
16	Noel Bleta	M
28	Isi Manellari	M
33	David Fadairo	M
88	Flamur Ruci	M
6	Adamu Alhassan	M
18	Dejvi Metaj	F
24	Florenc Ferruku	F
45	Bright Aniekan James	F