Slovan Bratislava vs Celje Prediction

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AI call Difficult Slovan Bratislava win or draw
53%
25%
21%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Slovan Bratislava vs Celje prediction: Sportiko gives Slovan Bratislava a 53% chance of winning, Celje 21% and the draw 25%. Last updated 19 Aug 2026, 20:55.

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Match Report

Slovan Bratislava and Celje played out a 1–1 draw in their UEFA Champions League play-off encounter, with both goals arriving in the first half. Roman Čerepkai broke the deadlock for the visitors in the 15th minute, only for Milot Avdyli to level for Slovan just before the break. Kenan Bajrić picked up a yellow card in first-half stoppage time as tensions rose heading into the interval.

The second half produced no further goals despite a flurry of substitutions from both sides. Avdyli, who had scored the equaliser, was booked again at 59 minutes — though he avoided a second yellow — while César Blackman and Mark Zabukovnik also entered the referee's notebook in the closing stages. Slovan's late introductions of Tigran Barseghyan and Mario Kvesić failed to conjure a winner.

The stats reflected a closely contested affair, with Celje edging possession at 51% but Slovan generating more attempts overall with 13 total shots. The pre-match AI model had rated a Slovan win as the most likely outcome at 53%, and while the hosts avoided defeat, a draw means the tie remains finely balanced ahead of the second leg.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Roman Čerepkai
15' 1–0
1–1 41'
Milot Avdyli assist: Mario Kvesić
Kenan Bajrić Yellow Card
45'
HT 1–1
57'
Matic Ivanšek ⇄ Benjamin Verbič
58'
⇄ Andrej Kotnik
59'
Milot Avdyli Yellow Card
Roman Čerepkai ⇄ Alasana Yirajang
62'
Alen Mustafić ⇄ Daiki Matsuoka
70'
Suleiman Camara ⇄ Manasse Kianga
70'
78'
Pijus Širvys ⇄ Alpha Dionkou
78'
Papa Daniel ⇄ Ivan Ćalušić
César Blackman Yellow Card
83'
Tigran Barseghyan ⇄ Andraž Šporar
84'
84'
86'
Mark Zabukovnik Yellow Card
87'
Mario Kvesić ⇄ Yaya Dukuly
FT 1–1
Slovan Bratislava

Match Stats

Celje
49% Ball Possession 51%
Expected Goals (xG)
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 0
6 Blocked Shots 4
8 Shots insidebox 4
5 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Corner Kicks 0
0 Offsides 5
12 Fouls 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
452 Total passes 481
369 Passes accurate 399
82% Passes % 83%
goals_prevented
Slovan Bratislava
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Tigran Barseghyan F 8.2 84' 29 (20%) 1
70 Cristian Martínez M 7.7 84' 1 36 (32%) 1
15 Svetozar Marković D 7.2 95' 64 (57%) 2
13 Roman Čerepkai F 7.2 62' 1 3 6 (2%)
12 Kenan Bajrić D 6.9 95' 74 (66%)
57 Sandro Cruz D 6.9 95' 60 (52%) 4
21 Suleiman Camara F 6.9 70' 1 7 (6%)
88 Daiki Matsuoka M 6.9 25' 1 9 (7%)
28 César Blackman D 6.7 95' 49 (36%) 3
19 Manasse Kianga F 6.7 25' 2 (1%) 1
71 Dominik Takáč G 6.5 95' 22 (15%)
3 Peter Pokorný M 6.5 95' 49 (44%) 1
14 Alasana Yirajang M 6.5 33' 1 13 (9%) 1
20 Alen Mustafić M 6.3 70' 1 24 (19%) 3
99 Andraž Šporar F 6.3 11' 3 (1%)
5 Rahim Ibrahim M 6.2 11' 5 (2%)
Celje
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Milot Avdyli D 7.3 95' 1 1 43 (36%) 2
1 Zan Luk Leban G 7.2 95' 40 (31%)
8 Mario Kvesić M 7.0 86' 1 23 (18%) 2
13 Papa Daniel M 7.0 77' 1 49 (45%) 3
19 Mark Zabukovnik M 6.9 95' 55 (49%) 1
4 Darko Hrka D 6.7 95' 75 (66%) 1
91 Yaya Dukuly F 6.7 9' 4 (2%)
6 Artemijus Tutyškinas D 6.6 95' 73 (62%) 1
10 Svit Sešlar M 6.5 95' 34 (28%) 1
17 Andrej Kotnik M 6.5 37' 2 5 (3%)
7 Benjamin Verbič M 6.5 38' 8 (5%) 2
27 Ivan Ćalušić D 6.3 18' 6 (5%) 1
20 Alpha Dionkou D 6.3 18' 7 (3%)
2 Pijus Širvys D 6.3 77' 37 (31%) 2
77 Matic Ivanšek M 6.3 57' 13 (9%) 1
47 Armandas Kučys F 6.2 58' 9 (6%) 1
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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Slovan Bratislava win or draw
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Slovan Bratislava
WWDLL
Celje
DLLLW
Last 3 meetings Slovan Bratislava · 2W 1D 0L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
53%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
21%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Slovan Bratislava
A. Šporar 2 gls
Celje

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Slovan Bratislava vs Celje

2 Slovan Bratislava Wins
1 Draws
0 Celje Wins
Date Home Score Away
26 Aug 2026 Celje 1 - 2 Slovan Bratislava
30 Jul 2024 Slovan Bratislava 5 - 0 Celje
24 Jul 2024 Celje 1 - 1 Slovan Bratislava

Slovan Bratislava — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Komárno W 1 - 2
16 Sep A Nitra W 1 - 3
13 Sep H Žilina D 3 - 3
09 Sep A Paris Saint Germain L 6 - 1
05 Sep A Dunajska Streda L 2 - 0

Celje — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Mura D 0 - 0
16 Sep A Bayer Leverkusen L 2 - 0
12 Sep A Bravo L 2 - 1
06 Sep H Koper L 0 - 1
02 Sep A Aluminij W 0 - 2

UEFA Champions League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
1 1 0 0 +5 3
2
Bayern München
1 1 0 0 +5 3
3
Barcelona
1 1 0 0 +4 3
4
Manchester United
1 1 0 0 +4 3
5
Como
1 1 0 0 +3 3
6
VfB Stuttgart
1 1 0 0 +2 3
7
Sporting CP
1 1 0 0 +2 3
8
Manchester City
1 1 0 0 +2 3
9
Aston Villa
1 1 0 0 +1 3
10
Lens
1 1 0 0 +1 3
11
Real Betis
1 1 0 0 +1 3
12
Borussia Dortmund
1 1 0 0 +1 3
13
Liverpool
1 1 0 0 +1 3
14
Real Madrid
1 1 0 0 +1 3
15
Arsenal
1 1 0 0 +1 3
16
AEK Athens FC
1 1 0 0 +1 3
17
AS Roma
1 0 1 0 0 1
18
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 0 1 0 0 1
19
PSV Eindhoven
1 0 1 0 0 1
20
Fenerbahçe
1 0 1 0 0 1
21
Villarreal
1 0 0 1 -1 0
22
Lille
1 0 0 1 -1 0
23
Slavia Praha
1 0 0 1 -1 0
24
Club Brugge KV
1 0 0 1 -1 0
25
Inter
1 0 0 1 -1 0
26
Atletico Madrid
1 0 0 1 -1 0
27
Napoli
1 0 0 1 -1 0
28
Lask Linz
1 0 0 1 -1 0
29
Viking
1 0 0 1 -2 0
30
Galatasaray
1 0 0 1 -2 0
31
FC Porto
1 0 0 1 -2 0
32
RB Leipzig
1 0 0 1 -3 0
33
Feyenoord
1 0 0 1 -4 0
34
Sabah FA
1 0 0 1 -4 0
35
Slovan Bratislava
1 0 0 1 -5 0
36
Bodo/Glimt
1 0 0 1 -5 0

Slovan Bratislava

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Yaya Toure
71 Takáč
57 Cruz
15 Marković
12 Bajrić
28 Blackman
20 Mustafić
3 Pokorný
70 Martínez
21 Camara
13 Čerepkai
11 Barseghyan

Starting XI

# Player Pos
71 Dominik Takáč G
28 César Blackman D
12 Kenan Bajrić D
15 Svetozar Marković D
57 Sandro Cruz D
70 Cristian Martínez M
3 Peter Pokorný M
20 Alen Mustafić M
11 Tigran Barseghyan F
13 Roman Čerepkai F
21 Suleiman Camara F

Substitutes

14 Alasana Yirajang M
88 Daiki Matsuoka M
19 Manasse Kianga F
1 Aleksandar Popović G
44 Matúš Macík G
2 Samuel Kozlovský D
6 Kevin Wimmer D
5 Rahim Ibrahim M
8 Artur Gajdoš M
29 Alexej Maros M
77 Danylo Ignatenko M
99 Andraž Šporar F

Celje

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Vitor Campelos
1 Leban
11 Avdyli
6 Tutyškinas
4 Hrka
2 Širvys
19 Zabukovnik
13 Daniel
8 Kvesić
10 Sešlar
77 Ivanšek
47 Kučys

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Žan-Luk Leban G
2 Pijus Širvys D
4 Darko Hrka D
6 Artemijus Tutyškinas D
11 Milot Avdyli D
13 Papa Daniel M
19 Mark Zabukovnik M
77 Matic Ivanšek M
10 Svit Sešlar M
8 Mario Kvesić M
47 Armandas Kučys F

Substitutes

7 Benjamin Verbič M
17 Andrej Kotnik M
12 Luka Kolar G
23 Žiga Frelih G
3 Damjan Vuklišević D
20 Alpha Diounkou D
27 Ivan Ćalušić D
33 Leonardo Koutris D
25 Veton Tusha F
91 Yaya Dukuly F
94 Rudi Požeg Vancaš F
99 Matej Poplatnik F

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