Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC Prediction

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AI call Levski Sofia or draw
38%
29%
34%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC prediction: Sportiko gives Levski Sofia a 38% chance of winning, AEK Athens FC 34% and the draw 29%. Last updated 18 Aug 2026, 20:50.

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Match Report

Levski Sofia and AEK Athens played out a goalless draw in their UEFA Champions League play-off encounter in Sofia, with neither side able to find a breakthrough despite a combined 27 shots across the 90 minutes. AEK edged the territorial battle, holding 53% possession and registering three shots on target to Levski's one, though the Bulgarian hosts matched their visitors in overall endeavour with 12 total attempts of their own.

The second half brought a flurry of changes from both benches, with notable arrivals including Luka Jović and Lovro Majer for AEK after the hour mark, yet the introductions failed to unlock a stubborn Levski defensive shape. Levski's two corner kicks to AEK's one reflected a match where clear-cut chances were hard to come by for either team.

The stalemate means the tie remains open heading into the second leg. Interestingly, our pre-match AI model had rated a Levski Sofia win as the most likely outcome at 38%, a call that proved correct in the sense that the hosts avoided defeat on home soil.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0
⇄ 58'
Luka Jović ⇄ Barnabás Varga
⇄ 58'
Lovro Majer ⇄ Petros Mantalos
A. Oko-Flex ⇄ J. Perea
67' ⇄
Reinaldo ⇄ Asen Ivanov Mitkov
79' ⇄
Everton Bala ⇄ Mazire Soula
79' ⇄
⇄ 81'
Zini ⇄ Oleksandr Zubkov
⇄ 81'
Aboubakary Koita ⇄ Mijat Gaćinović
Aldair ⇄ Hevertton Santos
88' ⇄
Maicon ⇄ Steven Stoyanchov
89' ⇄
FT 0–0
Levski Sofia

Match Stats

AEK Athens FC
53% Ball Possession 47%
Expected Goals (xG)
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Goal 1
8 Shots off Goal 9
4 Blocked Shots 2
6 Shots insidebox 5
9 Shots outsidebox 7
1 Corner Kicks 2
0 Offsides 1
7 Fouls 16
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
470 Total passes 421
420 Passes accurate 367
89% Passes % 87%
goals_prevented
Levski Sofia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
50 K. Dimitrov D 7.7 90' – – 2 71 (67%) 1
31 N. Serafimov D 7.3 90' – – 1 69 (66%) 1
35 Serginho M 7.3 90' – – 2 57 (53%) 1
92 S. Vutsov G 7.2 90' – – – 46 (38%) –
3 Maicon M 7.2 89' – – 1 41 (36%) 3
19 El Mehdi Moubarik M 7.2 90' – – 1 45 (39%) 4
20 Álex Centelles D 6.7 90' – – – 44 (38%) 1
21 Aldair D 6.7 88' – – – 50 (43%) 1
10 Asen Ivanov Mitkov M 6.7 11' – – – 2 (2%) –
7 Reinaldo F 6.5 79' – – 2 8 (6%) –
17 Everton Bala M 6.5 79' – – 1 16 (13%) 1
22 Mazire Soula F 6.5 11' – – – 3 (2%) –
11 A. Oko-Flex M 6.3 67' – – 1 23 (20%) –
9 J. Perea F 6.3 23' – – – 2 (2%) –
2 Hevertton Santos D — 2' – – – – –
28 Steven Stoyanchov F — 1' – – – – –
AEK Athens FC
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
44 Filipe Relvas D 7.3 90' – – 1 83 (79%) –
11 Aboubakary Koita M 7.3 81' – – – 21 (17%) 5
3 Stavros Pilios D 7.0 90' – – – 32 (24%) –
14 Lovro Majer M 6.9 57' – – – 25 (19%) 1
1 Thomas Strakosha G 6.9 90' – – – 21 (15%) –
12 Lazaros Rota D 6.9 90' – – – 31 (31%) 2
18 Răzvan Marin M 6.7 90' – – 3 52 (46%) 1
8 Mijat Gaćinović M 6.7 9' – – – – 1
2 Harold Moukoudi D 6.6 90' – – 1 59 (56%) –
20 Petros Mantalos M 6.6 33' – – – 19 (15%) 1
25 Barnabás Varga F 6.6 33' – – 1 15 (9%) –
10 Oleksandr Zubkov M 6.5 9' – – – 1 –
90 Zini F 6.5 81' – – 1 8 (6%) 3
6 Kaan Kairinen M 6.2 90' – – – 48 (45%) 2
9 Luka Jović F 6.2 57' – – 3 8 (6%) –
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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Our lean
Levski Sofia or draw
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Levski Sofia
LDLWW
AEK Athens FC
WWDWW
Last 1 meetings Levski Sofia · 0W 0D 1L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Levski Sofia
Reinaldo 3 gls
A. Oko-Flex 2 gls
AEK Athens FC
B. Varga 2 gls

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Head to Head: Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC

0 Levski Sofia Wins
0 Draws
1 AEK Athens FC Wins
Date Home Score Away
26 Aug 2026 AEK Athens FC 4 - 0 Levski Sofia

Levski Sofia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
17 Sep H Red Bull Salzburg L 0 - 1
13 Sep A Botev Vratsa D 0 - 0
09 Sep H CSKA Sofia L 2 - 4
05 Sep H CSKA 1948 W 1 - 0
02 Sep A Slavia Sofia W 1 - 2

AEK Athens FC — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Volos NFC W 1 - 2
17 Sep H Panserraikos W 8 - 1
13 Sep A Asteras Tripolis D 1 - 1
08 Sep H Lask Linz W 1 - 0
05 Sep H Aris Thessalonikis W 5 - 0

UEFA Champions League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
1 1 0 0 +5 3
2
Bayern München
1 1 0 0 +5 3
3
Barcelona
1 1 0 0 +4 3
4
Manchester United
1 1 0 0 +4 3
5
Como
1 1 0 0 +3 3
6
VfB Stuttgart
1 1 0 0 +2 3
7
Sporting CP
1 1 0 0 +2 3
8
Manchester City
1 1 0 0 +2 3
9
Aston Villa
1 1 0 0 +1 3
10
Lens
1 1 0 0 +1 3
11
Real Betis
1 1 0 0 +1 3
12
Borussia Dortmund
1 1 0 0 +1 3
13
Liverpool
1 1 0 0 +1 3
14
Real Madrid
1 1 0 0 +1 3
15
Arsenal
1 1 0 0 +1 3
16
AEK Athens FC
1 1 0 0 +1 3
17
AS Roma
1 0 1 0 0 1
18
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 0 1 0 0 1
19
PSV Eindhoven
1 0 1 0 0 1
20
Fenerbahçe
1 0 1 0 0 1
21
Villarreal
1 0 0 1 -1 0
22
Lille
1 0 0 1 -1 0
23
Slavia Praha
1 0 0 1 -1 0
24
Club Brugge KV
1 0 0 1 -1 0
25
Inter
1 0 0 1 -1 0
26
Atletico Madrid
1 0 0 1 -1 0
27
Napoli
1 0 0 1 -1 0
28
Lask Linz
1 0 0 1 -1 0
29
Viking
1 0 0 1 -2 0
30
Galatasaray
1 0 0 1 -2 0
31
FC Porto
1 0 0 1 -2 0
32
RB Leipzig
1 0 0 1 -3 0
33
Feyenoord
1 0 0 1 -4 0
34
Sabah FA
1 0 0 1 -4 0
35
Slovan Bratislava
1 0 0 1 -5 0
36
Bodo/Glimt
1 0 0 1 -5 0

AEK Athens FC

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: M. Nikolić
1 Strakosha
3 Pilios
44 Relvas
2 Moukoudi
12 Rota
11 Koita
6 Kairinen
18 Marin
14 Majer
9 Jović
90 Zini

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Thomas Strakosha G
12 Lazaros Rota D
2 Harold Moukoudi D
44 Filipe Relvas D
3 Stavros Pilios D
14 Lovro Majer M
18 Răzvan Marin M
6 Kaan Kairinen M
11 Aboubakary Koita M
90 Zini F
9 Luka Jović F

Substitutes

20 Petros Mantalos M
25 Barnabás Varga F
91 Alberto Brignoli G
41 Marios Balamotis G
15 Martin Georgiev D
21 Domagoj Vida D
7 Dereck Kutesa M
8 Mijat Gaćinović M
10 Oleksandr Zubkov M
17 Dimitrios Kaloskamis M

Levski Sofia

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Julio Velazquez
92 Vutsov
20 Centelles
31 Serafimov
50 Dimitrov
21 Aldair
3 Maicon
19 Moubarik
17 Bala
35 Serginho
11 Oko-Flex
7 Reinaldo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
92 Svetoslav Vutsov G
21 Aldair D
50 Kristian Dimitrov D
31 Nikola Serafimov D
20 Álex Centelles D
19 El Mehdi Moubarik M
3 Maicon M
11 Armstrong Oko-Flex M
35 Serginho M
17 Everton Bala M
7 Reinaldo F

Substitutes

9 Juan Perea F
78 Martin Lukov G
1 Ognyan Vladimirov G
2 Hevertton Santos D
4 Christian Makoun D
18 Gašper Trdin M
10 Asen Ivanov Mitkov M
22 Mazire Soula F
27 David Kusso F
77 Adrian Raychev F
28 Steven Stoyanchov F

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