Athletic Club vs Osasuna Prediction
Athletic Club vs Osasuna prediction: Sportiko gives Athletic Club a 45% chance of winning, Osasuna 28% and the draw 27%. Last updated 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Athletic Club secured a narrow but important home victory over Osasuna, with Gorka Guruzeta proving the decisive figure in a match full of incident. The striker saw a penalty overturned by VAR in the fifth minute before making amends by converting a normal goal in the 16th to give the hosts a lead they would carry into the break. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Athletic Club win as the most likely outcome at 45%, and that assessment proved correct.
The second half brought further drama when a VAR review confirmed a penalty for Osasuna just after the hour, though it ultimately had no impact on the scoreline. Both sides made multiple substitutions as the game wore on, with Athletic introducing Nico Williams and Álex Berenguer among others in the 65th minute.
Despite Osasuna dominating possession at 65% and generating an expected goals figure of 1.21 against Athletic's 0.54, the hosts held firm. The closing stages turned feisty, with Mikel Jauregizar collecting a second yellow card in stoppage time to end the match with ten men, though the result was already secured.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Athletic Club
Match Stats
Athletic Club
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Unai Simón G | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (13%) | – |
| 9 Iñaki Williams M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (20%) | 1 |
| 17 Yuri Berchiche D | 7.3 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 24 (23%) | 2 |
| 8 Oihan Sancet M | 7.3 | 25' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | 3 |
| 14 Aymeric Laporte D | 7.2 | 75' | – | – | – | 44 (41%) | – |
| 5 Yeray Álvarez D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (30%) | – |
| 3 Daniel Vivian D | 6.9 | 15' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 16 Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta M | 6.9 | 65' | – | – | – | 25 (17%) | 2 |
| 2 Andoni Gorosabel D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (21%) | 3 |
| 10 Nico Williams M | 6.7 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 8 (6%) | – |
| 23 Robert Navarro M | 6.7 | 25' | – | – | – | 7 (4%) | 1 |
| 19 Adama Boiro D | 6.6 | 9' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 30 Alejandro Rego M | 6.3 | 25' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 18 Mikel Jauregizar M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (26%) | 1 |
| 7 Álex Berenguer M | 6.3 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 9 (6%) | – |
| 11 Gorka Guruzeta F | 6.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 20 (10%) | – |
Osasuna
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Valentin Rosier D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 53 (47%) | 2 |
| 20 Javi Galán D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 66 (58%) | 2 |
| 5 Jorge Herrando D | 6.9 | 84' | – | – | – | 88 (82%) | 2 |
| 21 Victor Muñoz M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (14%) | 2 |
| 11 Kike Barja F | 6.7 | 12' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 16 Moi Gómez F | 6.7 | 15' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 8 Iker Muñoz M | 6.6 | 19' | – | – | – | 14 (11%) | – |
| 10 Aimar Oroz M | 6.6 | 78' | – | – | – | 28 (23%) | 1 |
| 18 Raúl Moro F | 6.5 | 19' | – | – | 1 | 8 (6%) | – |
| 7 Jon Moncayola M | 6.3 | 84' | – | – | – | 48 (41%) | – |
| 14 Rubén García M | 6.3 | 71' | – | – | – | 21 (16%) | 1 |
| 9 Raúl García de Haro F | 6.3 | 15' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 6 Lucas Torró M | 6.3 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 51 (39%) | – |
| 17 Ante Budimir F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 7 (3%) | 3 |
| 1 Sergio Herrera G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (18%) | – |
| 22 Flavien Boyomo D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 97 (88%) | – |
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Athletic Club vs Osasuna
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan 2026 | Osasuna | 1 - 1 | Athletic Club |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Athletic Club | 0 - 0 | Osasuna |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Osasuna | 1 - 2 | Athletic Club |
Athletic Club — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Alaves | D | 0 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Elche | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Atletico Madrid | W | 3 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | A Celta Vigo | W | 0 - 2 |
| 27 Aug | A Barcelona | L | 2 - 0 |
Osasuna — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Rayo Vallecano | D | 1 - 1 |
| 16 Sep | A Atletico Madrid | L | 4 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Espanyol | L | 0 - 2 |
| 06 Sep | A Alaves | L | 5 - 2 |
| 31 Aug | H Getafe | W | 1 - 0 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |
Real Betis
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |
Real Sociedad
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Celta Vigo
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Espanyol
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |
Racing Santander
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
Athletic Club
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Ernesto Valverde
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | U. Simon | G |
| 2 | A. Gorosabel | D |
| 5 | Y. Alvarez | D |
| 14 | A. Laporte | D |
| 17 | Y. Berchiche | D |
| 16 | I. Ruiz de Galarreta | M |
| 18 | M. Jauregizar | M |
| 9 | I. Williams | M |
| 7 | A. Berenguer | M |
| 10 | N. Williams | M |
| 11 | G. Guruzeta | F |
Substitutes
| 27 | A. Padilla | G |
| 3 | D. Vivian | D |
| 12 | J. Areso | D |
| 23 | R. Navarro | M |
| 4 | A. Paredes | D |
| 22 | N. Serrano | F |
| 30 | A. Rego | M |
| 20 | U. Gomez | M |
| 6 | M. Vesga | M |
| 8 | O. Sancet | M |
| 25 | Izeta | F |
| 19 | A. Boiro | D |
Osasuna
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: A. Lisci
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Herrera | G |
| 19 | V. Rosier | D |
| 22 | F. Boyomo | D |
| 5 | J. Herrando | D |
| 20 | J. Galan | D |
| 7 | J. Moncayola | M |
| 6 | L. Torro | M |
| 14 | R. Garcia | M |
| 10 | A. Oroz | M |
| 21 | V. Munoz | M |
| 17 | A. Budimir | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | A. Fernandez | G |
| 31 | D. Stamatakis | G |
| 9 | R. Garcia | F |
| 23 | A. Bretones | D |
| 8 | I. Munoz | M |
| 3 | J. Cruz | D |
| 16 | M. Gomez | F |
| 11 | K. Barja | F |
| 18 | R. Moro | F |
| 41 | I. Arguibide | D |