FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic Prediction

USL Championship · Group Stage

04 Oct 2026, 00:00

Post on X

FC Tulsa

Home

00:00

04 Oct 2026

Sacramento Republic

Away

AI call Too close to call

42%

30%

28%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic prediction: Sportiko gives FC Tulsa a 42% chance of winning, Sacramento Republic 28% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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FC Tulsa

DLDWW

Sacramento Republic

DWDDD

Last 2 meetings FC Tulsa · 1W 0D 1L

Live insights

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 70%. Over 1.5 remaining: 50%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sacramento Republic goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	8	5	2
1	10	14	7	2	1
2	8	9	5	2
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ FC Tulsa goals · most likely 1–1 (14.5%)

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

30%

Away Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

30%

Away Win

28%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

60% Home (No Draw) 40% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 28% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.3%	7.7%	5.1%	1.8%	0.5%
1	10.2%	14.5%	6.9%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.1%	8.8%	4.7%	1.7%	0.5%
3	3.7%	4.0%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.3%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Tulsa	Draw	Sacramento Republic
FC Tulsa	25.3%	4.4%	1.6%
Draw	15.6%	19.6%	11.4%
Sacramento Republic	2.0%	4.3%	15.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic

1 FC Tulsa Wins

0 Draws

1 Sacramento Republic Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Aug 2026	FC Tulsa	1 - 0	Sacramento Republic
08 Mar 2026	Sacramento Republic	2 - 0	FC Tulsa

FC Tulsa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Brooklyn	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	A Phoenix Rising	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	A San Antonio	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	H Rhode Island	W	1 - 0
23 Aug	A Orange County SC	W	1 - 5

Sacramento Republic — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H San Antonio	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	H Detroit City	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A Orange County SC	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Monterey Bay	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	H Phoenix Rising	D	2 - 2

USL Championship Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.