Dinamo Tirana vs Auda Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

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Dinamo Tirana

Home

4 : 0

HT 2 - 0

1st leg 0-1 · Aggregate 4-1

Auda

Away

AI call Dinamo Tirana or draw

41%

28%

31%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Dinamo Tirana vs Auda prediction: Sportiko gives Dinamo Tirana a 41% chance of winning, Auda 31% and the draw 28%. Last updated 13 Aug 2026, 21:07.

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Match Report

Dinamo Tirana secured a commanding 4–0 victory over Latvian side Auda in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, with the Albanian hosts firmly in control despite surrendering the majority of possession. The opening half saw Dinamo strike twice in the final ten minutes, with goals arriving in the 36th and 45th minutes to establish a comfortable 2–0 lead at the break, despite Auda enjoying 75 percent of the ball throughout.

The second half followed a similar pattern, with Dinamo doubling their advantage through further goals in the 52nd and 79th minutes to put the tie beyond any doubt. Both sides made a flurry of substitutions as the match wore on, while four yellow cards were distributed across the 90 minutes, reflecting occasional flashes of frustration from the visitors as the scoreline mounted.

The result was a notable upset in terms of territorial dominance, with Auda's possession advantage yielding no reward whatsoever. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Dinamo Tirana win as the most likely outcome at 41 percent, a call that proved correct in emphatic fashion.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 11'

Yellow Card

35' ⇄

36' ⚽ 1–0

45' ⚽ 2–0

▮ 45+6'

Yellow Card

HT 2–0

52' ⚽ 3–0

⇄ 56'

⇄ 60'

⇄ 66'

69' ⇄

▮ 72'

Yellow Card

79' ⚽ 4–0

85' ⇄

Yellow Card

87' ▮

FT 4–0

Dinamo Tirana

Match Stats

Auda

25% Ball Possession 75%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Shots off Goal

Blocked Shots

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

0 Corner Kicks 1

0 Offsides 0

Fouls

0 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Our lean

Dinamo Tirana or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.8%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Dinamo Tirana

WWWWL

Auda

DWDWD

Last 1 meetings Dinamo Tirana · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

41%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

31%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Auda goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	8	7	4	1
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	5	8	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Dinamo Tirana goals · most likely 1–1 (13.8%)

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

31%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

87%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

31%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

57% Away (No Draw) 43% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Away Scores More 31% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

87%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	8.2%	7.2%	3.5%	1.3%
1	6.7%	13.8%	9.0%	4.4%	1.6%
2	5.2%	7.6%	5.6%	2.7%	1.0%
3	2.2%	3.2%	2.3%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.7%	1.0%	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Dinamo Tirana	Draw	Auda
Dinamo Tirana	20.6%	6.0%	3.4%
Draw	9.8%	17.5%	17.3%
Auda	1.2%	3.3%	21.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Dinamo Tirana vs Auda

0 Dinamo Tirana Wins

0 Draws

1 Auda Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Aug 2026	Auda	1 - 0	Dinamo Tirana

Dinamo Tirana — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Laci	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	A Partizani	W	2 - 4
06 Sep	H AF Elbasani	W	2 - 1
31 Aug	A Skenderbeu Korce	W	0 - 1
27 Aug	A Pafos	L	4 - 2

Auda — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Rīgas FS	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	H Ogre United	W	1 - 0
11 Sep	A Riga	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	H Grobiņa	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	H Super Nova	D	1 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Dinamo Tirana

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ilir Daja

77 Teqja

47 Lorran

27 Aliji

22 Dita

2 Ismaili

8 Qardaku

21 Qefalija

20 Ayodeji

29 Berisha

10 Vila

11 Silva-Richards

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
77	Aldo Teqja	G
2	Ysni Ismaili	D
22	Bruno Dita	D
27	Naser Aliji	D
47	Lorran	D
21	Klevi Qefalija	M
8	Eridon Qardaku	M
10	Lorenco Vila	M
29	Hekuran Berisha	F
20	Malomo Taofeek Ayodeji	M
11	Ruben Silva-Richards	F

Substitutes

5	Erion Hoxhallari	D
1	Edmir Sali	G
97	Tomas Kiri	G
6	Adamu Alhassan	M
16	Noel Bleta	M
28	Isi Manellari	M
33	David Fadairo	M
88	Flamur Ruci	M
18	Dejvi Metaj	F
24	Florenc Ferruku	F
45	Bright Aniekan James	F

Auda

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Didier Zanetti

16 Purins

71 Rubenis

18 Arroyo

4 Ouedraogo

2 Hrvoj

10 Fofana

20 Traore

8 Bongemba

25 Diedhiou

47 Kone

17 Daskevics

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	Nils Purins	G
2	Tin Hrvoj	D
4	Moussa Ouedraogo	D
18	Ariel Arroyo	M
71	Oskars Rubenis	D
8	Edvin Bongemba	M
20	Youba Traore	M
10	Wally Fofana	M
17	Eduards Daskevics	M
47	Kader Kone	F
25	Barthelemy Diedhiou	M

Substitutes

1	Raivo Sturins	G
12	Niks Daniels Aleksandrovs	G
6	Ralfs Kragliks	D
80	Sebastian Aranda	D
14	Hussaini Ibrahim	M
46	Jayen Gerold	M
77	Jevgenijs Minins	M
7	Andrews Appiah	F
23	Mohamoud Fofana	F
26	Hénoc Lusweki	F