FC Sion vs FC Noah Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

Post on X

FC Sion

Home

2 : 1

HT 0 - 1

1st leg 2-2 · Aggregate 4-3

FC Noah

Away

AI call Difficult FC Sion win or draw

62%

22%

15%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Sion vs FC Noah prediction: Sportiko gives FC Sion a 62% chance of winning, FC Noah 15% and the draw 22%. Last updated 13 Aug 2026, 20:10.

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Match Report

FC Sion came from behind to defeat FC Noah 2–1 in their UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round clash, completing a second-half turnaround to advance. Noah had taken control of the first half, with Hélder Ferreira converting a penalty on 25 minutes to give the Armenian side a deserved lead at the break, a scoreline that reflected their dominance in possession and shot count throughout the contest.

Sion responded immediately after the interval, with Winsley Boteli Mokango levelling on 53 minutes before Baltazar — who had been booked in the first half — struck the decisive goal just ten minutes later to put the Swiss side ahead. Noah struggled to recapture their earlier momentum despite enjoying 54% possession and registering 17 total shots across the match.

Both sides made significant changes in the closing stages, but Sion managed the game well enough to see out the result. The pre-match AI model had rated a Sion victory as the most likely outcome at 62%, a prediction that proved accurate. Noah's seven corner kicks and superior shot volume ultimately counted for little as Sion secured their place in the next round.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 25'

Hélder Ferreira Penalty

Baltazar Yellow Card

27' ▮

HT 0–1

▮ 47'

Hélder Ferreira Yellow Card

Winsley Boteli Mokango assist: Rilind Nivokazi

53' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 56'

Gor Manvelyan ⇄ Aram Khamoyan

⇄ 56'

Brian Oddei ⇄ Valentin Costache

Baltazar assist: Rilind Nivokazi

63' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 64'

Takuto Oshima ⇄ Marko Lazetić

▮ 69'

Valentin Costache Yellow Card

Franck Surdez ⇄ Donat Rrudhani

70' ⇄

Rilind Nivokazi ⇄ Benjamin Kololli

76' ⇄

⇄ 80'

Marin Jakoliš ⇄ Mamadou Doumbia

⇄ 82'

Sergey Muradyan ⇄ Michael Pavlović

Winsley Boteli Mokango ⇄ Josias Lukembila

83' ⇄

Ylyas Chouaref ⇄ Théo Berdayes

84' ⇄

FT 2–1

FC Sion

Match Stats

FC Noah

54% Ball Possession 46%

Expected Goals (xG)

17 Total Shots 8

5 Shots on Goal 3

9 Shots off Goal 4

3 Blocked Shots 1

12 Shots insidebox 4

5 Shots outsidebox 4

7 Corner Kicks 3

2 Offsides 1

9 Fouls 21

1 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

467 Total passes 416

402 Passes accurate 329

86% Passes % 79%

goals_prevented

FC Sion

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 Baltazar M	8.5	95'	1	–	2	49 (42%)	2
7 Ylyas Chouaref M	8.5	84'	–	–	2	31 (25%)	1
13 Winsley Boteli Mokango M	7.9	83'	1	–	4	9 (7%)	–
6 Marquinhos Cipriano D	7.5	95'	–	–	–	30 (25%)	2
33 Rilind Nivokazi F	7.3	76'	–	2	3	15 (12%)	1
17 Jan Kronig D	7.0	95'	–	–	–	68 (63%)	–
88 Ali Kabacalman M	7.0	95'	–	–	–	73 (68%)	1
14 Numa Lavanchy D	6.9	95'	–	–	–	46 (40%)	1
5 Noé Sow D	6.9	95'	–	–	1	65 (49%)	2
9 Josias Lukembila F	6.9	12'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
1 Anthony Racioppi G	6.7	95'	–	–	–	35 (31%)	–
77 Donat Rrudhani M	6.5	25'	–	–	–	15 (15%)	–
10 Benjamin Kololli M	6.3	19'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	–
29 Théo Berdayes F	6.2	11'	–	–	1	4 (4%)	–
19 Franck Surdez M	5.9	70'	–	–	1	17 (13%)	1

FC Noah

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
99 Daniel Figueira G	7.5	95'	–	–	–	24 (17%)	–
7 Hélder Ferreira F	7.0	95'	1	–	2	38 (29%)	3
98 Brian Oddei M	7.0	56'	–	–	–	11 (8%)	1
21 Michael Pavlović D	6.7	15'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	1
23 Aram Khamoyan M	6.7	39'	–	–	–	20 (17%)	1
18 Mamadou Doumbia F	6.7	15'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
39 Nathanaël Saintini D	6.6	95'	–	–	2	50 (38%)	1
17 Gustavo Sangaré M	6.6	95'	–	–	–	55 (46%)	2
6 Eric Boakye D	6.6	95'	–	–	–	47 (40%)	2
8 Marko Lazetić F	6.3	31'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	1
44 Marin Jakoliš M	6.3	80'	–	–	1	22 (14%)	–
20 Valentin Costache F	6.3	39'	–	–	–	9 (7%)	–
3 Sergey Muradyan D	6.2	80'	–	–	–	30 (28%)	2
33 David Sualehe D	6.0	95'	–	–	1	53 (41%)	1
14 Takuto Oshima M	6.0	64'	–	–	–	24 (18%)	–
10 Gor Manvelyan M	6.0	56'	–	–	1	21 (17%)	–

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Confidence Medium (62%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult FC Sion win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 10.9%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

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FC Sion

DWWWW

FC Noah

WWWWW

Last 1 meetings FC Sion · 0W 1D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

62%

45%

Draw

22%

45%

Away

15%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Noah goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	3	2	1
1	8	11	5	2
2	9	10	5	2	1
3	7	7	4	1
4	3	4	2	1
5	1	2	1

↑ FC Sion goals · most likely 1–1 (10.9%)

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Players in form

FC Sion

Winsley Boteli Mokango 7 gls

FC Noah

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

22%

Away Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

39%

2.5

61%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

22%

Away Win

15%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

77% Home (No Draw) 23% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

37% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Home Scores More 23% Equal Goals 18% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

39%

2.5

61%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.6%	3.3%	2.5%	0.9%	0.2%
1	7.8%	10.9%	5.2%	1.8%	0.5%
2	9.5%	10.1%	5.4%	1.9%	0.5%
3	6.6%	7.1%	3.8%	1.4%	0.4%
4	3.5%	3.7%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

46%

1.5

54%

75%

2.5

25%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Sion	Draw	FC Noah
FC Sion	35.0%	2.9%	0.9%
Draw	21.4%	13.4%	5.6%
FC Noah	4.3%	5.1%	11.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

88%

39%

1.5

61%

66%

2.5

34%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

26%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Sion vs FC Noah

0 FC Sion Wins

1 Draws

0 FC Noah Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Aug 2026	FC Noah	2 - 2	FC Sion

FC Sion — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H FC Zurich	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Grasshoppers	W	2 - 5
12 Sep	A FC ST. Gallen	W	0 - 3
06 Sep	H FC Thun	W	3 - 2
03 Sep	A FC Basel 1893	W	1 - 2

FC Noah — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Van	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	A FC Urartu	W	0 - 3
04 Sep	H Gandzasar	W	3 - 2
30 Aug	H Ararat	W	4 - 0
23 Aug	A BKMA	W	0 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

FC Noah

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Sandro Perkovic

99 Figueira

33 Sualehe

3 Muradyan

39 Saintini

6 Boakye

14 Oshima

44 Jakoliš

10 Manvelyan

17 Sangaré

98 Oddei

7 Ferreira

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	Dani Figueira	G
6	Eric Boakye	D
39	Nathanaël Saintini	D
3	Sergey Muradyan	D
33	David Sualehe	D
14	Takuto Oshima	M
98	Brian Oddei	M
17	Gustavo Sangaré	M
10	Gor Manvelyan	M
44	Marin Jakoliš	M
7	Hélder Ferreira	F

Substitutes

20	Valentin Costache	F
23	Aram Khamoyan	M
29	Arthur Luiz Coneglian	G
5	Mark Avetisyan	D
19	Hovhannes Hambardzumyan	D
21	Michael Pavlović	D
8	Marko Lazetić	F
9	Mario González	F
18	Mamadou Doumbia	F
24	Zaven Khudaverdyan	F
57	Albert Gareginyan	F

FC Sion

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Didier Tholot

1 Racioppi

6 Cipriano

17 Kronig

5 Sow

14 Lavanchy

8 Baltazar

88 Kabacalman

19 Surdez

13 Mokango

7 Chouaref

33 Nivokazi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Anthony Racioppi	G
14	Numa Lavanchy	D
5	Noé Sow	D
17	Jan Kronig	D
6	Marquinhos Cipriano	D
88	Ali Kabacalman	M
8	Baltazar	M
7	Ylyas Chouaref	M
13	Winsley Boteli Mokango	M
19	Franck Surdez	M
33	Rilind Nivokazi	F

Substitutes

40	Simon Caillet	G
12	Francesco Ruberto	G
24	Damien Möschinger	D
55	Lorenzo Villa	D
10	Benjamin Kololli	M
9	Josias Lukembila	F
21	Liam Scott Chipperfield	M
29	Théo Berdayes	F
37	Fode Sylla	M
38	Ryan Kessler	D
77	Donat Rrudhani	M
22	Adrien Llukes	M