Shkendija vs Hibernian Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

Post on X

Shkendija

Home

0 : 0

HT 0 - 0

1st leg 1-2 · Aggregate 1-2

Hibernian

Away

AI call Shkendija or draw

39%

27%

34%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Shkendija vs Hibernian prediction: Sportiko gives Shkendija a 39% chance of winning, Hibernian 34% and the draw 27%. Last updated 13 Aug 2026, 19:52.

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Under 3.5 Goals 72%

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Match Report

Shkendija and Hibernian played out a goalless draw in the first leg of their UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round tie, with neither side able to find the breakthrough in North Macedonia. The match was largely uneventful in the opening 45 minutes, though Shkendija's Aleksander Trumci picked up a yellow card just before the break, with Hibernian's Jason Kerr following him into the book shortly after the restart.

The second half brought a flurry of substitutions from both benches as each side looked to force a decisive moment, but clear-cut chances remained scarce. Shkendija edged the shot count with three on target to Hibernian's one, despite the Scottish side enjoying 57% of possession. Late bookings for Fabrice Tamba and Miguel Changa Chaiwa added some ill-temper to the closing stages without altering the outcome.

The stalemate leaves the tie finely poised ahead of the second leg, with Hibernian's away goal tally offering no advantage. Notably, our pre-match AI model had rated a Shkendija win as the most likely outcome at 39%, a call that proved correct on the night.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Aleksander Trumci Yellow Card

45' ▮

HT 0–0

▮ 50'

Jason Kerr Yellow Card

⇄ 63'

Callum Wright ⇄ Jamie McGrath

Arbin Zejnullai ⇄ Endrit Krasniqi

64' ⇄

⇄ 71'

Owen Elding ⇄ Martin Boyle

⇄ 82'

Adam Mayor ⇄ Josh Campbell

⇄ 82'

Felix Passlack ⇄ Kanayochukwu Megwa

⇄ 82'

Josh Mulligan ⇄ Joe Newell

Yellow Card

83' ▮

Fabrice Tamba Yellow Card

85' ▮

Anes Meljichi ⇄ Besart Ibraimi

85' ⇄

▮ 86'

Miguel Changa Chaiwa Yellow Card

FT 0–0

Shkendija

Match Stats

Hibernian

57% Ball Possession 43%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

1 Shots on Goal 3

10 Shots off Goal 1

4 Blocked Shots 2

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

4 Corner Kicks 3

4 Offsides 0

8 Fouls 11

3 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean

Shkendija or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.8%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Shkendija

WDLWW

Hibernian

DLWLL

Last 1 meetings Shkendija · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

39%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

34%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Hibernian goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	7	5	2	1
1	8	14	8	3	1
2	7	9	6	2	1
3	3	4	3	1
4	1	2	1
5

↑ Shkendija goals · most likely 1–1 (13.8%)

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

34%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

34%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

55% Home (No Draw) 45% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 32% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	6.9%	5.4%	2.3%	0.7%
1	8.0%	13.8%	7.8%	3.3%	1.0%
2	6.9%	8.8%	5.6%	2.4%	0.8%
3	3.3%	4.2%	2.7%	1.1%	0.4%
4	1.2%	1.5%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Shkendija	Draw	Hibernian
Shkendija	21.7%	4.2%	1.9%
Draw	16.2%	17.9%	12.4%
Hibernian	2.6%	4.8%	18.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Shkendija vs Hibernian

0 Shkendija Wins

0 Draws

1 Hibernian Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Aug 2026	Hibernian	2 - 1	Shkendija

Shkendija — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Bashkimi Kumanovo	W	4 - 1
11 Sep	A Aresimi	D	2 - 2
04 Sep	H Tikveš	L	1 - 3
28 Aug	A Sileks	W	0 - 2
24 Aug	H Struga	W	2 - 1

Hibernian — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Aberdeen	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Kilmarnock	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Ross County	W	0 - 3
06 Sep	A ST Johnstone	L	2 - 1
03 Sep	H Heart Of Midlothian	L	1 - 3

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Hibernian

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: David Gray

1 Sallinger

21 Obita

5 O'Hora

6 Kerr

25 Passlack

3 Mayor

14 Chaiwa

8 Mulligan

9 Lowe

23 Wright

7 Elding

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Raphael Sallinger	G
25	Felix Passlack	M
6	Jason Kerr	D
5	Warren O'Hora	D
21	Jordan Obita	D
8	Josh Mulligan	M
14	Miguel Changa Chaiwa	M
3	Adam Mayor	M
7	Owen Elding	F
23	Callum Wright	M
9	Nathan Lowe	F

Substitutes

13	Jordan Smith	G
35	Freddie Owens	G
15	Jack Iredale	D
11	Joe Newell	M
17	Jamie McGrath	M
20	Rudi Allan Molotnikov	M
27	Kanayochukwu Megwa	M
47	Azeem Abdulai	M
32	Josh Campbell	M
10	Martin Boyle	F
18	Thibault Klidjé	F
22	Ante Šuto	F

Shkendija

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Artim Polozani

30 Ramani

23 Dimoski

26 Meljichi

55 Manev

2 Trumci

5 Islami

8 Freitas

11 Kryeziu

17 Zejnullai

29 Tamba

9 Ndzengue

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
30	Ferat Ramani	G
2	Aleksander Trumci	D
55	Jovan Manev	D
26	Anes Meljichi	D
23	Bojan Dimoski	D
8	Rafael Freitas	M
5	Drilon Islami	M
29	Fabrice Tamba	F
17	Arbin Zejnullai	M
11	Almir Kryeziu	M
9	Fahd Ndzengue	F

Substitutes

40	Rinor Ceka	G
25	Astrit Amzai	G
16	Mevlan Murati	D
18	Nazif Ceka	D
10	Endrit Krasniqi	M
20	Lirian Djeladini	M
21	Armir Isa	M
33	Anes Abdurahmani	M
77	Florent Ramadani	M
7	Besart Ibraimi	F
19	Vane Krstevski	F