Drita vs Tre Fiori Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

Post on X

Drita

Home

5 : 0

HT 3 - 0

1st leg 4-1 · Aggregate 9-1

Tre Fiori

Away

AI call Drita to win

81%

13%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Drita vs Tre Fiori prediction: Sportiko gives Drita a 81% chance of winning, Tre Fiori 6% and the draw 13%. Last updated 13 Aug 2026, 19:51.

Premium picks

Premium

2nd Half Over 0.5 76%

Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Match Report

Drita produced a commanding performance to dismantle Tre Fiori 5–0 in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, booking their place in the next stage with considerable ease. The Kosovo side dominated from the outset, with K. Nguena opening the scoring on 20 minutes before doubling his tally ten minutes later. A penalty just before the interval made it 3–0 at half-time, giving Drita full control of the tie.

The second half continued in the same vein, with two further goals arriving in quick succession around the hour mark to complete the rout. Drita's superiority was reflected throughout the statistics — they controlled 63% of possession, registered nine shots on target to Tre Fiori's three, and won three corner kicks to none. Nguena was withdrawn on 73 minutes having already made a decisive impact with his brace.

Tre Fiori offered little in response and collected yellow cards through Simone Rea and J. Pëllumbi as frustration set in. The result was no surprise — our pre-match AI model had rated a Drita victory as the most likely outcome at 81% — and the Kosovo outfit delivered emphatically.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

K. Nguena assist: V. Limaj

20' ⚽ 1–0

A. Bytyçi Yellow Card

32' ▮

K. Nguena assist: R. Ovouka

40' ⚽ 2–0

Penalty

42' ⚽ 3–0

HT 3–0

L. Balaj

46' ⇄

47' ⚽ 4–0

60' ⚽ 5–0

K. Abazaj

62' ⇄

⇄ R. Broja

62' ⇄

⇄ 63'

K. Nguena ⇄ Besnik Krasniqi

73' ⇄

⇄ 73'

▮ 75'

Simone Rea Yellow Card

⇄ 79'

⇄ Blerim Krasniqi

81' ⇄

J. Pëllumbi Yellow Card

89' ▮

FT 5–0

Drita

Match Stats

Tre Fiori

63% Ball Possession 37%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

9 Shots on Goal 3

9 Shots off Goal 1

0 Blocked Shots 0

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

3 Corner Kicks 0

0 Offsides 0

8 Fouls 11

2 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Drita vs Tre Fiori

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Pick types you choose

Go Premium

Confidence High (81%)

At a glance

Our lean

Drita to win

Most likely score

1:0 · 15%

Both teams to score

39%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Drita

WDLDW

Tre Fiori

LWWWW

Last 1 meetings Drita · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

81%

45%

Draw

13%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Tre Fiori goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	4	2
1	15	11	3	1
2	15	9	3	1
3	9	5	2
4	4	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Drita goals · most likely 1–0 (15.0%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

81%

Draw

13%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

81%

Draw

13%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

86% Home (No Draw) 14% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

39% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

64% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 11% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.4%	4.2%	1.7%	0.3%	0.1%
1	15.0%	11.3%	3.0%	0.6%	0.1%
2	14.7%	9.0%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%
3	8.8%	5.4%	1.6%	0.3%	0.1%
4	4.0%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

24%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Drita	Draw	Tre Fiori
Drita	34.1%	2.0%	0.4%
Draw	28.3%	16.7%	4.1%
Tre Fiori	3.5%	4.2%	6.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

54%

33%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Drita vs Tre Fiori

1 Drita Wins

0 Draws

0 Tre Fiori Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Aug 2026	Tre Fiori	1 - 4	Drita

Drita — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Dukagjini	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	H Gjilani	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	A Feronikeli	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Drenica Skënderaj	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A Vushtrria	W	0 - 1

Tre Fiori — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Virtus	L	2 - 3
11 Sep	H Domagnano	W	3 - 0
08 Sep	A Fiorentino	W	0 - 1
04 Sep	A Faetano	W	0 - 4
30 Aug	H Pennarossa	W	5 - 2

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Drita

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Zekirija Ramadani

1 Maloku

26 Ovouka

32 Pëllumbi

25 Bytyçi

28 Mjaki

8 Limaj

93 Nguena

77 Abazaj

24 Baeten

10 Balaj

9 Manaj

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Faton Maloku	G
28	Agan Mjaki	D
25	Altin Bytyçi	D
32	Jorgo Pëllumbi	D
26	Raddy Ovouka	D
93	Kemelho Nguena	M
8	Vesel Limaj	M
10	Liridon Balaj	M
24	William Baeten	M
77	Kristal Abazaj	M
9	Arb Manaj	F

Substitutes

99	Mike Arthur	M
74	Eron Isufi	G
22	Laurit Behluli	G
3	Blerton Sheji	D
55	Hajdin Salihu	D
2	Besnik Krasniqi	D
7	Igball Jashari	M
4	Rron Broja	M
19	Blerim Krasniqi	F
17	Oniks Grezda	F

Tre Fiori

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: Matteo Cecchetti

17 Nardi

23 Sirri

5 Rea

3 Sancisi

24 Mengucci

72 Giocondi

20 Benedettini

2 D'Addario

10 Bernardi

9 Prandelli

77 Ferri

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
17	Michele Nardi	G
3	Mattia Sancisi	D
5	Simone Rea	D
23	Alex Sirri	D
2	Alessandro D'Addario	D
20	Federico Benedettini	M
72	Simone Giocondi	D
24	Pietro Mengucci	D
10	Tommaso Bernardi	F
77	Mario Ferri	D
9	Matteo Prandelli	F

Substitutes

18	Massimo Francioni	G
16	Federico Dolcini	M
28	Luca Terenzi	M
11	Joas van Nek	F
22	Filippo Mancini	F