FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

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FC Nordsjaelland

Home

5 : 0

HT 2 - 0

1st leg 2-0 · Aggregate 7-0

Valur Reykjavik

Away

AI call FC Nordsjaelland to win

82%

12%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik prediction: Sportiko gives FC Nordsjaelland a 82% chance of winning, Valur Reykjavik 6% and the draw 12%. Last updated 13 Aug 2026, 18:55.

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1st Half Over 0.5 75%

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Match Report

FC Nordsjaelland eased into the next round of the UEFA Europa Conference League with a commanding 5–0 victory over Valur Reykjavik, a result that our pre-match AI model had anticipated, rating a home win at 82%. The Danish side took the lead inside five minutes and never looked back, doubling their advantage deep into first-half stoppage time through Villum Berthelsen to head into the break firmly in control.

The second half brought more of the same. Markus Walker extended the lead on 62 minutes before Lamine Sadio and Levy Nene added further goals in quick succession, completing a thoroughly dominant display. Valur, who made a raft of changes around the hour mark following a yellow card for Markus Nakkim, offered little in response throughout.

The statistics told the full story of the evening: Nordsjaelland controlled 67% of possession, registered 33 shots — 14 on target — and won ten corners to Valur's two. The Icelandic visitors managed just six shots in total and only two on goal, making this a one-sided affair from start to finish.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

assist: Prince Amoako Junior

5' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 45+2'

Hörður Ingi Gunnarsson Yellow Card

Villum Berthelsen assist: Juho Lähteenmäki

45+3' ⚽ 2–0

HT 2–0

Juho Lähteenmäki ⇄ Markus Walker

46' ⇄

Peter Ankersen ⇄ Matej Tuka

46' ⇄

▮ 59'

Markus Nakkim Yellow Card

⇄ 60'

Birkir Heimisson ⇄ Ingimar Torbjornsson Stole

⇄ 60'

Markus Nakkim

⇄ 60'

Jakob Franz Pálsson ⇄ Shkelzen Veseli

Nicklas Røjkjær ⇄ Justin Janssen

60' ⇄

⇄ Lamine Sadio

60' ⇄

⇄ 60'

Hörður Ingi Gunnarsson ⇄ Dagur Orri Gardarson

Markus Walker

62' ⚽ 3–0

⇄ 69'

Jónatan Ingi Jónsson ⇄ Bjarni Antonsson Duffield

Prince Amoako Junior ⇄ Levy Nene

71' ⇄

Lamine Sadio assist: Villum Berthelsen

72' ⚽ 4–0

Levy Nene assist: Lamine Sadio

74' ⚽ 5–0

▮ 79'

Shkelzen Veseli Yellow Card

FT 5–0

FC Nordsjaelland

Match Stats

Valur Reykjavik

67% Ball Possession 33%

Expected Goals (xG)

33 Total Shots 6

14 Shots on Goal 2

9 Shots off Goal 3

10 Blocked Shots 1

27 Shots insidebox 3

6 Shots outsidebox 3

10 Corner Kicks 2

1 Offsides 0

18 Fouls 9

0 Yellow Cards 3

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 9

655 Total passes 318

612 Passes accurate 260

93% Passes % 82%

goals_prevented

FC Nordsjaelland

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Prince Amoako Junior F	8.2	71'	–	1	3	28 (20%)	1
37 Lamine Sadio M	8.0	30'	1	1	4	16 (16%)	–
40 Hjalte Boe Rasmussen F	7.9	60'	1	–	5	18 (18%)	–
17 Levy Nene F	7.9	19'	1	–	1	12 (11%)	–
29 Villum Berthelsen F	7.9	90'	1	1	1	40 (34%)	–
4 Noah Markmann D	7.9	90'	–	–	1	95 (91%)	4
25 Juho Lähteenmäki M	7.7	45'	–	1	1	29 (29%)	–
6 Mark Brink M	7.7	90'	–	–	2	105 (97%)	2
8 Nicklas Røjkjær M	7.7	60'	–	–	1	60 (56%)	1
13 Andreas Hansen G	7.3	90'	–	–	–	20 (20%)	–
18 Justin Janssen M	7.3	30'	–	–	–	33 (32%)	–
15 Stephen Acquah D	7.3	90'	–	–	1	79 (77%)	–
28 Markus Walker D	7.3	45'	1	–	2	20 (19%)	1
32 Victor Gustafsen M	7.2	90'	–	–	1	29 (25%)	4
2 Peter Ankersen D	6.9	45'	–	–	–	44 (42%)	1
42 Matej Tuka D	6.6	45'	–	–	–	27 (25%)	–

Valur Reykjavik

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
18 Frederik Schram G	7.3	90'	–	–	–	32 (24%)	–
8 Jónatan Ingi Jónsson F	6.9	69'	–	–	1	16 (12%)	4
28 Samúel Kári Friðjónsson M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	40 (34%)	–
12 Tryggvi Hrafn Haraldsson F	6.9	90'	–	–	1	21 (16%)	–
17 Lúkas Logi Heimisson F	6.7	90'	–	–	3	19 (15%)	–
9 Patrick Pedersen F	6.7	30'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
22 Birkir Heimisson M	6.6	60'	–	–	–	19 (15%)	–
19 Dagur Orri Gardarson F	6.6	30'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
29 Shkelzen Veseli M	6.5	30'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
15 Hólmar Örn Eyjólfsson D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	40 (38%)	1
24 Myles Veldman M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	26 (23%)	1
3 Hörður Ingi Gunnarsson D	6.3	60'	–	–	–	25 (21%)	–
11 Ingimar Torbjornsson Stole D	6.2	30'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	–
6 Bjarni Antonsson Duffield M	6.2	21'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
4 Markus Nakkim D	5.9	60'	–	–	–	26 (21%)	1
21 Jakob Franz Pálsson D	5.7	60'	–	–	–	24 (18%)	3

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Confidence High (82%)

At a glance

Our lean

FC Nordsjaelland to win

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.3%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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FC Nordsjaelland

LWDLW

Valur Reykjavik

DWWDL

Last 1 meetings FC Nordsjaelland · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Valur Reykjavik goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	4	2	1
1	10	11	5	1
2	11	10	5	1
3	7	7	3	1
4	4	3	2
5	2	1	1

↑ FC Nordsjaelland goals · most likely 1–1 (11.3%)

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Players in form

FC Nordsjaelland

H. Boe Rasmussen 3 gls

N. Røjkjær 3 gls

V. Berthelsen 2 gls

Valur Reykjavik

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

82%

Draw

12%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

82%

Draw

12%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

80% Home (No Draw) 20% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

38% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

61% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 15% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	3.7%	2.3%	0.7%	0.2%
1	9.6%	11.3%	4.6%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11.0%	10.1%	4.7%	1.4%	0.3%
3	7.4%	6.8%	3.1%	1.0%	0.2%
4	3.7%	3.4%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

31%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Nordsjaelland	Draw	Valur Reykjavik
FC Nordsjaelland	39.8%	3.1%	0.8%
Draw	19.7%	14.2%	5.2%
Valur Reykjavik	3.1%	4.3%	9.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

87%

41%

1.5

59%

68%

2.5

32%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

14%

27%

28%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

93%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik

1 FC Nordsjaelland Wins

0 Draws

0 Valur Reykjavik Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Aug 2026	Valur Reykjavik	0 - 2	FC Nordsjaelland

FC Nordsjaelland — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Viborg	L	4 - 1
13 Sep	H Aarhus	W	2 - 0
07 Sep	A FC Midtjylland	D	2 - 2
03 Sep	A FC Copenhagen	L	2 - 0
30 Aug	H Brondby	W	3 - 1

Valur Reykjavik — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	H Thor Akureyri	W	4 - 1
05 Sep	A Keflavik	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H IA Akranes	D	2 - 2
23 Aug	A Vikingur Reykjavik	L	2 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

FC Nordsjaelland

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Jens Olsen

13 Hansen

4 Markmann

15 Acquah

2 Ankersen

25 Lähteenmäki

8 Røjkjær

6 Brink

32 Gustafsen

10 Junior

29 Berthelsen

40 Rasmussen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	Andreas Hansen	G
2	Peter Ankersen	D
15	Stephen Acquah	D
4	Noah Markmann	D
32	Victor Gustafsen	M
6	Mark Brink	M
8	Nicklas Røjkjær	M
25	Juho Lähteenmäki	M
40	Hjalte Boe Rasmussen	F
29	Villum Berthelsen	F
10	Prince Amoako Junior	F

Substitutes

28	Markus Walker	D
42	Matej Tuka	D
18	Justin Janssen	M
37	Lamine Sadio	M
48	Carl Kristoffersen	G
31	Andreas Søndenbroe	G
35	Villads Rutkjær	D
3	Tobias Salquist	D
23	Runar Robinsonn Norheim	D
49	William Faber	F
39	Daniel Jóhannesson	M
17	Levy Nene	F

Valur Reykjavik

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Christopher Brazell

18 Schram

3 Gunnarsson

15 Eyjólfsson

4 Nakkim

21 Pálsson

22 Heimisson

28 Friðjónsson

24 Veldman

17 Heimisson

12 Haraldsson

8 Jónsson

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
18	Frederik Schram	G
21	Jakob Franz Pálsson	D
4	Markus Nakkim	D
15	Hólmar Örn Eyjólfsson	D
3	Hörður Ingi Gunnarsson	D
24	Myles Veldman	M
28	Samúel Kári Friðjónsson	M
22	Birkir Heimisson	M
8	Jónatan Ingi Jónsson	F
12	Tryggvi Hrafn Haraldsson	F
17	Lúkas Logi Heimisson	F

Substitutes

11	Ingimar Torbjornsson Stole	D
29	Shkelzen Veseli	M
19	Dagur Orri Gardarson	F
9	Patrick Pedersen	F
95	Tomas Blöndal-Petersson	G
25	Stefan Thor Agustsson	G
5	Kristófer Dagur Arnarsson	M
6	Bjarni Antonsson Duffield	M
14	Albin Skoglund	F