Ilves vs HNK Rijeka Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

13 Aug 2026, 16:00

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Ilves

Home

16:00

13 Aug 2026

1st leg 0-1

HNK Rijeka

Away

AI call Difficult HNK Rijeka win or draw

15%

25%

61%

Home Win · 6.67 Draw · 4.14 Away Win · 1.54

Ilves vs HNK Rijeka prediction: Sportiko gives Ilves a 15% chance of winning, HNK Rijeka 61% and the draw 25%. Last updated 8 Aug 2026, 06:04.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.4%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Ilves

LLWWL

HNK Rijeka

WWWWW

Last 1 meetings Ilves · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

15%

10%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

61%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

HNK Rijeka goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	12	12	7	3	1
1	5	12	10	6	3	1
2	3	5	4	2	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Ilves goals · most likely 1–1 (12.4%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

61%

Draw

25%

Home Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

61%

Draw

25%

Home Win

15%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

78% Away (No Draw) 22% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Away Win by 2+ 5% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

58% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 16% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.7%	11.6%	11.7%	7.0%	3.1%
1	4.7%	12.4%	9.8%	5.9%	2.6%
2	2.6%	4.6%	4.1%	2.5%	1.1%
3	0.7%	1.3%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ilves	Draw	HNK Rijeka
Ilves	8.1%	3.2%	2.0%
Draw	7.2%	16.5%	18.4%
HNK Rijeka	1.2%	4.2%	39.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ilves vs HNK Rijeka

0 Ilves Wins

0 Draws

1 HNK Rijeka Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Aug 2026	HNK Rijeka	1 - 0	Ilves

Ilves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	A HNK Rijeka	L	1 - 0
02 Aug	A AC Oulu	L	1 - 0
30 Jul	H Stjarnan	W	1 - 0
26 Jul	H Lahti	W	1 - 0
23 Jul	A Stjarnan	L	1 - 0

HNK Rijeka — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	H Ilves	W	1 - 0
02 Aug	H Rudes	W	2 - 1
30 Jul	A Derry City	W	0 - 1
23 Jul	H Derry City	W	1 - 0
03 Jul	A Radomlje	W	0 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.