Celje vs Ararat-Armenia Prediction

UEFA Champions League · 3rd Qualifying Round

11 Aug 2026, 18:15

Post on X

Celje

Home

18:15

11 Aug 2026

1st leg 1-2

Ararat-Armenia

Away

AI call Celje or draw

45%

27%

28%

Home Win · 1.50 Draw · 5.00 Away Win · 7.80

Celje vs Ararat-Armenia prediction: Sportiko gives Celje a 45% chance of winning, Ararat-Armenia 28% and the draw 27%. Last updated 5 Aug 2026, 06:04.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Celje

LDDDL

Ararat-Armenia

WWWLW

Last 2 meetings Celje · 0W 0D 2L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

45%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

28%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ararat-Armenia goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	9	7	3	1
1	8	14	8	4	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Celje goals · most likely 1–1 (14.4%)

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Players in form

Celje

No scorer data.

Ararat-Armenia

Sandro Lima 1 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Away Win

28%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Away Win

28%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

52% Away (No Draw) 48% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Away Win by 2+ 15% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Away Scores More 33% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	8.6%	6.7%	2.9%	1.0%
1	8.1%	14.4%	8.3%	3.6%	1.2%
2	6.0%	7.9%	5.2%	2.3%	0.7%
3	2.5%	3.3%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.8%	1.0%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Celje	Draw	Ararat-Armenia
Celje	21.9%	5.8%	3.0%
Draw	11.3%	18.8%	16.5%
Ararat-Armenia	1.3%	3.3%	18.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Celje vs Ararat-Armenia

0 Celje Wins

0 Draws

2 Ararat-Armenia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Aug 2026	Ararat-Armenia	2 - 1	Celje
24 Sep 2020	Ararat-Armenia	1 - 0	Celje

Celje — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Aug	A Ararat-Armenia	L	2 - 1
01 Aug	H Maribor	D	1 - 1
28 Jul	H Egnatia Rrogozhinë	D	1 - 1
22 Jul	A Egnatia Rrogozhinë	D	3 - 3
08 Jul	H MTK Budapest	L	1 - 2

Ararat-Armenia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	H FC Urartu	W	2 - 1
04 Aug	H Celje	W	2 - 1
01 Aug	A Gandzasar	W	3 - 4
28 Jul	A Shamrock Rovers	L	2 - 1
21 Jul	H Shamrock Rovers	W	2 - 0

UEFA Champions League Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.