FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Prediction

UEFA Champions League · 3rd Qualifying Round

11 Aug 2026, 18:00

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FK Crvena Zvezda

Home

18:00

11 Aug 2026

1st leg 0-1

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Away

AI call FK Crvena Zvezda to win

69%

19%

13%

Home Win · 1.34 Draw · 6.23 Away Win · 9.90

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction: Sportiko gives FK Crvena Zvezda a 69% chance of winning, Hapoel Beer Sheva 13% and the draw 19%. Last updated 5 Aug 2026, 06:04.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 12.2%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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FK Crvena Zvezda

LWWWD

Hapoel Beer Sheva

WWLLW

Last 1 meetings FK Crvena Zvezda · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

69%

45%

Draw

19%

45%

Away

13%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Hapoel Beer Sheva goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	4	2	1
1	11	12	4	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	8	6	3	1
4	4	3	1
5	1	1

↑ FK Crvena Zvezda goals · most likely 2–0 (12.2%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

19%

Away Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

77%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

19%

Away Win

13%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

81% Home (No Draw) 19% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

37% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

61% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 14% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

77%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.0%	4.1%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%
1	11.4%	11.7%	4.2%	1.1%	0.2%
2	12.2%	9.9%	4.0%	1.1%	0.2%
3	7.8%	6.3%	2.5%	0.7%	0.1%
4	3.7%	3.0%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

53%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FK Crvena Zvezda	Draw	Hapoel Beer Sheva
FK Crvena Zvezda	37.6%	3.1%	0.8%
Draw	22.4%	15.5%	5.7%
Hapoel Beer Sheva	3.0%	3.9%	8.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

71%

2.5

29%

89%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva

0 FK Crvena Zvezda Wins

0 Draws

1 Hapoel Beer Sheva Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Aug 2026	Hapoel Beer Sheva	1 - 0	FK Crvena Zvezda

FK Crvena Zvezda — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Aug	A Hapoel Beer Sheva	L	1 - 0
29 Jul	H Larne	W	5 - 0
26 Jul	H Vojvodina	W	3 - 1
21 Jul	A Larne	W	0 - 4
03 Jul	H FC BW Linz	D	2 - 2

Hapoel Beer Sheva — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Aug	H FK Crvena Zvezda	W	1 - 0
29 Jul	H Vikingur Reykjavik	W	2 - 0
21 Jul	A Vikingur Reykjavik	L	2 - 1
16 Jul	H Maccabi Tel Aviv	L	1 - 3
05 Jul	A Omonia Nicosia	W	0 - 1

UEFA Champions League Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.