Celta Vigo vs Oviedo Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 31

Post on X

Oviedo

Away

Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo

AI call Difficult Celta Vigo win or draw

62%

26%

12%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Celta Vigo vs Oviedo prediction: Sportiko gives Celta Vigo a 62% chance of winning, Oviedo 12% and the draw 26%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Oviedo claimed a commanding 3-0 victory at Celta Vigo in Matchday 31 of La Liga, with the result never truly in doubt after a fast start from the visitors. Alberto Reina broke the deadlock as early as the fourth minute, and Federico Viñas added a second just before half-time to leave Celta with a mountain to climb at the interval.

The home side made changes at the break in an attempt to shift the momentum, but Viñas struck again in the 57th minute to effectively end the contest. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Celta win as the most likely outcome at 62%, a call that proved well wide of the mark. Yellow cards for Fer López and Nicolas Fonseca added further frustration for the hosts.

Despite dominating possession at 68% and generating six shots on target, Celta's expected goals figure of just 0.91 underlined their inability to create genuine danger. Oviedo, by contrast, were clinical on the counter, converting their chances efficiently to secure a well-deserved three points on the road.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 4'

Alberto Reina

⚽ 0–2 45'

Federico Viñas assist: Ilyas Chaira

HT 0–2

⇄ Ilaix Moriba

46' ⇄

Andrés Antañón

46' ⇄

Fer López Yellow Card

56' ▮

⚽ 0–3 57'

Federico Viñas assist: Thiago Fernández

Pablo Durán ⇄ Borja Iglesias

60' ⇄

Alvaro Núñez ⇄ Óscar Mingueza

60' ⇄

Williot Swedberg ⇄ Ferran Jutglà

60' ⇄

⇄ 66'

Thiago Fernández ⇄ Haissem Hassan

▮ 69'

Nicolas Fonseca Yellow Card

⇄ 74'

Alberto Reina ⇄ David Costas

⇄ 74'

Nicolas Fonseca ⇄ Santiago Colombatto

⇄ 83'

Federico Viñas ⇄ Thiago Borbas

⇄ 83'

Ilyas Chaira ⇄ Abdel Rahim

▮ 90+2'

Abdel Rahim Yellow Card

FT 0–3

Celta Vigo

Match Stats

Oviedo

68% Ball Possession 32%

0.91 Expected Goals (xG) 1.71

9 Total Shots 8

6 Shots on Goal 5

1 Shots off Goal 2

2 Blocked Shots 1

5 Shots insidebox 8

4 Shots outsidebox 0

4 Corner Kicks 1

2 Offsides 2

9 Fouls 13

1 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 6

689 Total passes 319

593 Passes accurate 242

86% Passes % 76%

1.81 goals_prevented 1.81

Celta Vigo

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
3 Óscar Mingueza D	7.5	30'	–	–	–	29 (24%)	2
20 Marcos Alonso D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	124 (110%)	1
13 Ionuț Radu G	7.2	90'	–	–	–	27 (23%)	–
6 Ilaix Moriba M	7.2	45'	–	–	–	45 (44%)	4
8 Fer López M	6.9	90'	–	–	1	69 (57%)	1
7 Borja Iglesias F	6.7	30'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	1
5 Sergio Carreira M	6.7	90'	–	–	–	83 (70%)	–
18 Pablo Durán F	6.7	60'	–	–	1	15 (14%)	–
15 Matías Vecino M	6.7	45'	–	–	–	29 (26%)	4
19 Williot Swedberg F	6.6	60'	–	–	–	14 (12%)	2
10 Iago Aspas F	6.5	45'	–	–	–	31 (23%)	–
4 Joseph Aidoo D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	81 (72%)	–
9 Ferran Jutglà F	6.2	30'	–	–	2	9 (5%)	–
17 Javier Rueda M	6.2	90'	–	–	1	53 (40%)	2
36 Andrés Antañón F	6.2	45'	–	–	2	11 (7%)	–
14 Alvaro Núñez D	6.2	60'	–	–	–	55 (53%)	1

Oviedo

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Federico Viñas F	8.3	83'	2	–	3	28 (20%)	2
13 Aarón Escandell G	8.3	90'	–	–	–	38 (23%)	–
5 Alberto Reina M	8.0	74'	1	–	1	23 (21%)	3
2 Eric Bailly D	7.7	90'	–	–	–	25 (22%)	1
12 Dani Calvo D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	28 (24%)	3
23 Nicolas Fonseca M	7.2	74'	–	–	–	31 (27%)	2
7 Ilyas Chaira M	7.2	83'	–	1	2	27 (20%)	2
15 Thiago Fernández M	7.2	66'	–	1	–	15 (10%)	–
10 Haissem Hassan F	6.9	24'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	1
6 Kwasi Sibo M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	25 (24%)	3
22 Nacho Vidal D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	29 (20%)	–
25 Javi López D	6.9	90'	–	–	1	34 (18%)	2
4 David Costas D	6.9	16'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
11 Santiago Colombatto M	6.7	16'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
3 Abdel Rahim D	6.7	12'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
17 Thiago Borbas F	6.3	12'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–

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Confidence Low (50%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Celta Vigo win or draw

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Celta Vigo

WLDDD

Oviedo

LWDWL

Last 1 meetings Celta Vigo · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

Celta Vigo faces Oviedo in a La Liga clash on April 12, 2026. Celta Vigo has shown strong home form, with a win rate of 60% at Balaídos, bolstered by their dynamic attacking trio. Oviedo, however, has struggled on the road, recording only 25% of their points away from home this season. Historical data suggests Celta has a favorable head-to-head record, winning 7 of their last 10 encounters against Oviedo. Expect Celta's possession-based style to dominate, while Oviedo will need to capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities to secure any points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Oviedo goals →

	0	1	2
0	14	7	2
1	21	10	2
2	16	7	2
3	8	4	1
4	3	1
5	1

↑ Celta Vigo goals · most likely 1–0 (21.1%)

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Head to Head: Celta Vigo vs Oviedo

0 Celta Vigo Wins

1 Draws

0 Oviedo Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Dec 2025	Oviedo	0 - 0	Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	5 - 0
16 Sep	A Omonia Nicosia	L	1 - 0
13 Sep	H Malaga	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	A Getafe	D	1 - 1
03 Sep	A Real Sociedad	D	0 - 0

Oviedo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Sabadell	L	3 - 1
13 Sep	A Valladolid	W	0 - 3
06 Sep	H Burgos	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	A Albacete	W	0 - 1
22 Aug	H Leganes	L	0 - 1

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Celta Vigo

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Claudio Giraldez

13 Radu

20 Alonso

4 Aidoo

14 Nunez

5 Carreira

15 Vecino

8 Lopez

17 Rueda

19 Swedberg

18 Duran

36 Antanon

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	I. Radu	G
14	A. Nunez	D
4	J. Aidoo	D
20	M. Alonso	D
17	J. Rueda	M
8	F. Lopez	M
15	M. Vecino	M
5	S. Carreira	M
36	A. Antanon	F
18	P. Duran	F
19	W. Swedberg	F

Substitutes

1	I. Villar	G
11	F. Cervi	M
6	I. Moriba	M
39	J. El Abdellaoui	F
12	M. Fernandez	D
10	I. Aspas	F
7	B. Iglesias	F
3	O. Mingueza	D
9	F. Jutgla	F
24	C. Dominguez	D
22	H. Sotelo	M
29	Y. Lago	D

Oviedo

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Guillermo Almada Alves Jorge

13 Escandell

25 Lopez

12 Calvo

2 Bailly

22 Vidal

23 Fonseca

6 Sibo

15 Fernandez

5 Reina

7 Chaira

9 Vinas

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	A. Escandell	G
22	N. Vidal	D
2	E. Bailly	D
12	D. Calvo	D
25	J. Lopez	D
6	K. Sibo	M
23	N. Fonseca	M
7	I. Chaira	M
5	A. Reina	M
15	T. Fernandez	M
9	F. Vinas	F

Substitutes

1	H. Moldovan	G
8	S. Cazorla	M
4	D. Costas	D
14	O. Ejaria	F
24	L. Ahijado	D
11	S. Colombatto	M
16	D. Carmo	D
10	H. Hassan	F
17	T. Borbas	F
3	R. Alhassane	D
27	P. Agudin	M