Girona vs Villarreal Prediction
Girona vs Villarreal prediction: Sportiko gives Girona a 25% chance of winning, Villarreal 50% and the draw 25%. Last updated 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.
Match Report
Girona secured a narrow 1–0 victory over Villarreal in La Liga matchday 30, with the decisive moment arriving in unfortunate fashion for the visitors. An own goal on the stroke of half-time proved to be the only goal of the game, sending Girona into the break with an advantage they would not relinquish despite Villarreal's dominance in possession.
The second half saw both sides make multiple changes, with Nicolas Pépé, Daley Blind, and Azzedine Ounahi all introduced from the bench, while four yellow cards were distributed across the final stages as the contest grew increasingly fractious. Villarreal enjoyed 54% of the ball and held the edge in corners (7–4), yet managed just two shots on target to Girona's none — a reflection of how little either side truly threatened in open play, with expected goals figures of 0.48 and 0.55 respectively underlining the game's lack of clear-cut chances.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Villarreal win as the most likely outcome at 50%, a call that ultimately proved wide of the mark as Girona claimed all three points.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Girona
Match Stats
Girona
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Daley Blind D | 8.3 | 74' | – | – | – | 64 (59%) | 3 |
| 20 Axel Witsel M | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 56 (53%) | 1 |
| 4 Arnau Martínez D | 7.6 | 85' | – | – | – | 61 (56%) | 2 |
| 24 Álex Moreno D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 45 (34%) | 4 |
| 12 Vitor Reis D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 59 (54%) | 3 |
| 18 Azzedine Ounahi M | 7.0 | 85' | – | – | 1 | 56 (53%) | – |
| 15 Viktor Tsygankov M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (33%) | – |
| 8 Fran Beltrán M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (48%) | 1 |
| 2 Hugo Rincón D | 6.9 | 9' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 23 Iván Martín M | 6.7 | 74' | – | – | – | 25 (23%) | – |
| 9 Abel Ruíz F | 6.7 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 16 (13%) | – |
| 16 Alejandro Francés D | 6.7 | 16' | – | – | – | 7 (4%) | – |
| 11 Thomas Lemar M | 6.7 | 16' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 13 Paulo Gazzaniga G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (10%) | – |
| 3 Joel Roca M | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | 1 |
| 19 Vladyslav Vanat F | 6.2 | 12' | – | – | – | – | – |
Villarreal
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Pape Gueye M | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 52 (40%) | 1 |
| 12 Renato Veiga D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 75 (67%) | 1 |
| 14 Santi Comesaña M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (40%) | 2 |
| 3 Alexander Freeman D | 6.9 | 20' | – | – | 1 | 12 (10%) | 2 |
| 15 Santiago Mouriño D | 6.9 | 70' | – | – | – | 28 (23%) | 3 |
| 20 Alberto Moleiro M | 6.7 | 70' | – | – | – | 33 (27%) | 2 |
| 1 Luiz Júnior G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (20%) | – |
| 23 Sergi Cardona D | 6.6 | 10' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 17 Tajon Buchanan F | 6.5 | 20' | – | – | 1 | 4 (4%) | – |
| 19 Nicolas Pépé M | 6.5 | 70' | – | – | – | 23 (20%) | – |
| 11 Alfon González F | 6.5 | 20' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 24 Alfonso Pedraza D | 6.3 | 80' | – | – | – | 25 (20%) | 2 |
| 7 Gerard Moreno F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (24%) | 1 |
| 9 Georges Mikautadze F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 13 (7%) | 1 |
| 6 Pau Navarro D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 51 (48%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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No scorer data.
P. Gueye
3 gls
Alberto Moleiro
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Girona vs Villarreal
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2025 | Villarreal | 5 - 0 | Girona |
| 10 May 2025 | Girona | 0 - 1 | Villarreal |
| 01 Dec 2024 | Villarreal | 2 - 2 | Girona |
Girona — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Cadiz | W | 1 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | H Castellón | L | 1 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | A Sporting Gijon | W | 0 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | H Las Palmas | W | 5 - 2 |
| 21 Aug | A Cordoba | L | 2 - 1 |
Villarreal — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Levante | W | 3 - 1 |
| 17 Sep | A Malaga | W | 1 - 3 |
| 14 Sep | H Real Betis | L | 1 - 2 |
| 08 Sep | A Borussia Dortmund | L | 3 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | H Deportivo La Coruna | L | 2 - 3 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |
Real Betis
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |
Real Sociedad
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Celta Vigo
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Espanyol
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |
Racing Santander
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
Villarreal
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Marcelino
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luiz Junior | G |
| 15 | S. Mourino | D |
| 6 | P. Navarro | D |
| 12 | R. Veiga | D |
| 24 | A. Pedraza | D |
| 19 | N. Pepe | M |
| 14 | S. Comesana | M |
| 18 | P. Gueye | M |
| 20 | A. Moleiro | M |
| 7 | G. Moreno | F |
| 9 | G. Mikautadze | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | A. Tenas | G |
| 10 | D. Parejo | M |
| 23 | S. Cardona | D |
| 5 | W. Kambwala | D |
| 38 | A. Diatta | M |
| 22 | A. Perez | F |
| 11 | A. Gonzalez | F |
| 17 | T. Buchanan | F |
| 3 | A. Freeman | D |
| 21 | T. Oluwaseyi | F |
Girona
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Michel
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | P. Gazzaniga | G |
| 4 | A. Martinez | D |
| 12 | Vitor Reis | D |
| 17 | D. Blind | D |
| 24 | A. Moreno | D |
| 8 | F. Beltran | M |
| 20 | A. Witsel | M |
| 15 | V. Tsygankov | M |
| 23 | I. Martin | M |
| 18 | A. Ounahi | M |
| 19 | V. Vanat | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | V. Krapyvtsov | G |
| 1 | R. Blanco | G |
| 7 | C. Stuani | F |
| 11 | T. Lemar | M |
| 21 | B. Gil | F |
| 14 | C. Echeverri | M |
| 29 | L. Kourouma | M |
| 5 | D. Lopez | D |
| 9 | A. Ruiz | F |
| 16 | A. Frances | D |
| 3 | J. Roca | M |
| 2 | H. Rincon | D |