Getafe vs Athletic Club Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 30

Post on X

Athletic Club

Away

Estadio Coliseum, Getafe

AI call Getafe or draw

45%

28%

27%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Getafe vs Athletic Club prediction: Sportiko gives Getafe a 45% chance of winning, Athletic Club 27% and the draw 28%. Last updated 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.

Match Report

Getafe claimed a composed 2–0 home victory over Athletic Club in La Liga Matchday 30, securing all three points despite being significantly outplayed for large stretches of the contest. The hosts struck early through a 14th-minute goal to lead at the break, a slender advantage that flattered them given the flow of the match.

The statistics told a stark story in Athletic Club's favour — the visitors dominated possession at 68% to 32%, registered six shots on target to Getafe's none, and generated an expected goals figure of 1.94 compared to just 0.57 for the home side. A flurry of yellow cards and numerous substitutions from both sides disrupted the second half's rhythm, but Athletic were unable to convert their clear superiority into goals.

Getafe punished that wastefulness with a decisive 90th-minute strike that sealed the result against the run of play. Our pre-match AI model had identified a Getafe win as the most likely outcome at 45%, a call that proved correct in what was ultimately a clinical display of game management from the Madrid side.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

14' ⚽ 1–0

Yellow Card

29' ▮

▮ 31'

Yellow Card

45+1' ▮

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

⇄ Nico Williams

⇄ 64'

67' ⇄

⇄ 71'

81' ⇄

82' ⇄

Yellow Card

85' ▮

90' ⚽ 2–0

FT 2–0

Getafe

Match Stats

Athletic Club

32% Ball Possession 68%

1.94 Expected Goals (xG) 0.57

10 Total Shots 5

6 Shots on Goal 0

3 Shots off Goal 3

1 Blocked Shots 2

8 Shots insidebox 4

2 Shots outsidebox 1

4 Corner Kicks 3

3 Offsides 1

11 Fouls 11

3 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

0 Goalkeeper Saves 3

233 Total passes 526

145 Passes accurate 429

62% Passes % 82%

-0.02 goals_prevented -0.02

Getafe

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Martín Satriano M	8.3	90'	1	1	2	18 (8%)	4
6 Mario Martín M	7.6	23'	–	1	–	6 (3%)	3
5 Luis Milla M	7.5	90'	–	–	–	36 (27%)	1
22 Domingos Duarte D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	17 (14%)	1
19 Luis Vázquez F	7.0	67'	1	–	3	10 (5%)	1
15 Sebastián Boselli D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	20 (11%)	4
2 Djené D	6.9	82'	–	–	–	14 (11%)	1
24 Zaid Romero D	6.9	90'	–	–	1	25 (15%)	1
21 Juan Iglesias D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	20 (10%)	–
20 Veljko Birmančević M	6.9	9'	–	–	1	9 (8%)	–
16 Diego Rico D	6.9	8'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
23 Adrian Liso M	6.7	81'	–	–	1	12 (10%)	2
13 David Soria G	6.3	90'	–	–	–	27 (8%)	–
8 Mauro Arambarri M	6.3	90'	–	–	1	18 (14%)	1

Athletic Club

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Unai Simón G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	28 (20%)	–
14 Aymeric Laporte D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	91 (83%)	–
5 Yeray Álvarez D	6.9	64'	–	–	–	53 (49%)	1
11 Gorka Guruzeta F	6.9	45'	–	–	–	11 (8%)	–
16 Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta M	6.9	45'	–	–	–	41 (31%)	–
8 Oihan Sancet M	6.7	71'	–	–	–	13 (9%)	2
6 Mikel Vesga M	6.6	26'	–	–	–	21 (17%)	1
10 Nico Williams F	6.3	45'	–	–	–	18 (16%)	–
3 Daniel Vivian D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	59 (51%)	4
30 Alejandro Rego M	6.3	45'	–	–	–	26 (19%)	–
7 Álex Berenguer M	6.3	90'	–	–	2	25 (20%)	–
21 Maroan Sannadi F	6.3	19'	–	–	1	2 (1%)	1
17 Yuri Berchiche D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	55 (48%)	–
18 Mikel Jauregizar M	6.2	64'	–	–	–	32 (23%)	–
12 Jesús Areso D	6.2	26'	–	–	–	26 (18%)	–
9 Iñaki Williams M	5.9	90'	–	–	–	25 (16%)	–

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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Our lean

Getafe or draw

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Getafe

WLDDL

Athletic Club

DDWWL

Last 3 meetings Getafe · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash on April 5, 2026, Getafe will host Athletic Club at the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez. Getafe has demonstrated a solid home record, leveraging their defensive strategy to limit opponent chances, while Athletic Club has showcased a potent attack led by their forwards, aiming to capitalize on counter-attacks. Historically, matches between these sides have been closely contested, with Athletic leading in overall wins but Getafe often performing well at home. Key players to watch include Getafe's center-back pairing for defensive stability and Athletic's forwards for their goal-scoring prowess. The match promises to be a tactical battle, with both teams seeking crucial points in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Athletic Club goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	10	5	1
1	14	13	6	2
2	9	9	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Getafe goals · most likely 1–0 (13.6%)

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Head to Head: Getafe vs Athletic Club

1 Getafe Wins

1 Draws

1 Athletic Club Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Oct 2025	Athletic Club	0 - 1	Getafe
15 May 2025	Getafe	0 - 2	Athletic Club
15 Aug 2024	Athletic Club	1 - 1	Getafe

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Getafe — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Malaga	W	1 - 0
17 Sep	A Real Betis	L	1 - 0
13 Sep	H Deportivo La Coruna	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	H Celta Vigo	D	1 - 1
31 Aug	A Osasuna	L	1 - 0

Athletic Club — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Alaves	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	H Elche	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A Celta Vigo	W	0 - 2
27 Aug	A Barcelona	L	2 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Athletic Club

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ernesto Valverde

1 Simon

17 Berchiche

14 Laporte

5 Alvarez

3 Vivian

18 Jauregizar

30 Rego

7 Berenguer

8 Sancet

9 Williams

11 Guruzeta

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	U. Simon	G
3	D. Vivian	D
5	Y. Alvarez	D
14	A. Laporte	D
17	Y. Berchiche	D
30	A. Rego	M
18	M. Jauregizar	M
9	I. Williams	M
8	O. Sancet	M
7	A. Berenguer	M
11	G. Guruzeta	F

Substitutes

27	A. Padilla	G
15	I. Lekue	D
12	J. Areso	D
23	R. Navarro	M
22	N. Serrano	F
20	U. Gomez	M
16	I. Ruiz de Galarreta	M
6	M. Vesga	M
10	N. Williams	F
19	A. Boiro	D
13	U. Egiluz	D
21	M. Sannadi	F

Getafe

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Jose Bordalas Jimenez

13 Soria

21 Iglesias

24 Romero

22 Duarte

2 Djene

15 Boselli

10 Satriano

8 Arambarri

5 Milla

23 Liso

19 Vazquez

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	D. Soria	G
15	S. Boselli	D
2	Djene	D
22	D. Duarte	D
24	Z. Romero	D
21	J. Iglesias	D
23	A. Liso	M
5	L. Milla	M
8	M. Arambarri	M
10	M. Satriano	M
19	L. Vazquez	F

Substitutes

1	J. Letacek	G
16	D. Rico	D
14	Javier Munoz	M
20	V. Birmancevic	M
11	A. Kamara	F
18	Alex Sancris	F
26	Davinchi	D
44	A. Riquelme	M
6	M. Martin	M
41	J. Montes	D