FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

Post on X

HNK Hajduk Split

Away

AI call HNK Hajduk Split or draw

34%

27%

39%

Home Win · 3.75 Draw · 3.62 Away Win · 2.04

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction: Sportiko gives FK Zalgiris Vilnius a 34% chance of winning, HNK Hajduk Split 39% and the draw 27%. Last updated 6 Aug 2026, 18:53.

Match Report

Hajduk Split claimed a commanding 5-2 victory over FK Zalgiris Vilnius in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, booking their place in the next stage with a performance that was never seriously in doubt after the opening exchanges.

The Croatian side took control early through Michele Šego, who converted a penalty in the fifth minute before adding a second goal just before half-time, sandwiching a missed spot-kick in between. Zalgiris pulled one back to make it 1-2 at the break, but Hajduk reasserted themselves in the second half. Adrion Pajaziti extended the lead on 56 minutes, before Dalisson de Almeida and Rokas Pukštas struck in quick succession around the 73rd and 75th minute to put the tie beyond any doubt. Zalgiris added a consolation late on, while a Marin Šotiček effort was ruled out for offside in stoppage time. Hajduk edged possession at 52% and outshot the hosts 8-5 on target.

The result aligned with the pre-match assessment, which had rated a Hajduk Split win as the most probable outcome at 39%.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Yellow Card

4' ▮

⚽ 0–1 5'

Michele Šego Penalty

✗ 14'

Michele Šego Missed Penalty

Yellow Card

24' ▮

34' ⚽ 1–1

⚽ 1–2 44'

Michele Šego

HT 1–2

⇄ 49'

Alec Van Hoorenbeeck ⇄ Ron Raçi

▮ 51'

Rokas Pukštas Yellow Card

⚽ 1–3 56'

Adrion Pajaziti assist: Marin Šotiček

65' ⇄

⇄ 67'

Michele Šego ⇄ Marko Livaja

⇄ 67'

Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba ⇄ Anđelo Šutalo

⚽ 1–4 73'

Dalisson de Almeida assist: Anđelo Šutalo

⚽ 1–5 75'

Rokas Pukštas

75' ⇄

Yellow Card

77' ▮

⇄ 78'

Rokas Pukštas ⇄ Niko Sigur

⇄ 78'

Dalisson de Almeida ⇄ Etnik Brruti

81' ⇄

86' ⚽ 2–5

🖵 90+2'

Marin Šotiček Goal Disallowed - offside

FT 2–5

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Match Stats

HNK Hajduk Split

48% Ball Possession 52%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

5 Shots on Goal 8

1 Shots off Goal 10

4 Blocked Shots 3

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

2 Corner Kicks 5

1 Offsides 3

13 Fouls 20

3 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean

HNK Hajduk Split or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.9%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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FK Zalgiris Vilnius

LWWLW

HNK Hajduk Split

WLLWL

Match summary

FK Zalgiris Vilnius faces HNK Hajduk Split in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with both teams seeking to assert their dominance early in the tournament. Zalgiris will look to leverage their defensive solidity, having allowed just 0.9 goals per match in the previous domestic season, while Hajduk Split will aim to exploit their counter-attacking potential, demonstrated by a goal-scoring rate of 1.8 goals per match in the same period. The matchup will likely hinge on Zalgiris' ability to maintain composure against Hajduk’s attacking threats. Expect a tactical battle where midfield control will be crucial for both sides.

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

HNK Hajduk Split now leads 2-6 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

86' Goal 85% sure

HNK Hajduk Split now leads 2-5 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 12%.

84' time check 80% sure

Min 84: HNK Hajduk Split leads 1-5. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

77' Goal 85% sure

HNK Hajduk Split now leads 1-5 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 33.9%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: HNK Hajduk Split leads 1-4. Win probability: 99.8%. Comeback chance: 0.2%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

HNK Hajduk Split goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	5	4	2	1
1	8	13	7	3	1
2	8	9	6	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1	1
5	1	1

↑ FK Zalgiris Vilnius goals · most likely 1–1 (12.9%)

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

34%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

34%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

63% Home (No Draw) 37% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 27% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	5.4%	4.3%	1.8%	0.6%
1	7.7%	12.9%	7.1%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.7%	9.5%	5.9%	2.4%	0.8%
3	4.2%	5.3%	3.3%	1.4%	0.4%
4	1.8%	2.2%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

47%

1.5

53%

75%

2.5

25%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	Draw	HNK Hajduk Split
FK Zalgiris Vilnius	22.6%	3.2%	1.2%
Draw	19.9%	16.2%	9.2%
HNK Hajduk Split	4.2%	5.9%	17.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	H HNK Hajduk Split	L	2 - 5
30 Jul	H Dinamo Tbilisi	W	7 - 2
27 Jul	A Hegelmann Litauen	W	2 - 3
23 Jul	A Dinamo Tbilisi	L	3 - 0
16 Jul	H Petrovac	W	2 - 1

HNK Hajduk Split — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	A FK Zalgiris Vilnius	W	2 - 5
02 Aug	A NK Varazdin	L	2 - 1
30 Jul	A Pafos	L	2 - 0
23 Jul	H Pafos	W	2 - 0
16 Jul	A Žilina	L	2 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Andrius Skerla

12 Sarkauskas

21 Franke

15 Bosančić

4 Lupano

18 Šešplaukis

77 Kendysh

20 Lytvynenko

70 Teixeira

19 Bilenkyi

10 Golubickas

11 Petković

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Vincentas Sarkauskas	G
18	Deividas Šešplaukis	M
4	Danny Koy Lupano	D
15	Petar Bosančić	D
21	Dominik Franke	D
20	Ivan Lytvynenko	M
77	Yuri Kendysh	D
10	Paulius Golubickas	M
19	Stanislav Bilenkyi	F
70	Bryan Silva Teixeira	M
11	Nikola Petković	F

Substitutes

6	Marko Capan	M
1	Carlos Olses	G
5	Grigore Turda	D
13	Klaudijus Upstas	D
14	Martynas Setkus	D
23	Saba Mamatsashvili	D
7	Nemanja Mihajlović	M
9	Gustas Jarusevicius	M
22	Ovidijus Verbickas	M
27	Matas Vareika	M
29	Kajus Bička	M
8	Liviu Antal	F

HNK Hajduk Split

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Gonzalo Garcia

33 Silić

32 Hrgović

5 Hoorenbeeck

15 Marešić

22 Acapandié

4 Pajaziti

21 Pukštas

23 Šotiček

9 Almeida

7 Bamba

11 Šego

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
33	Toni Silić	G
22	Mathieu Acapandié	D
15	Dario Marešić	D
5	Alec Van Hoorenbeeck	D
32	Šimun Hrgović	D
21	Rokas Pukštas	M
4	Adrion Pajaziti	M
7	Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba	M
9	Dalisson de Almeida	M
23	Marin Šotiček	M
11	Michele Šego	F

Substitutes

14	Ron Raçi	D
16	Anđelo Šutalo	M
10	Marko Livaja	F
44	Dante Stipica	G
99	Davyd Fesyuk	G
3	Roko Gabrić	D
8	Niko Sigur	D
17	Dario Melnjak	D
38	Luka Hodak	D
19	Etnik Brruti	M
20	Alberto del Moral	M
26	Adam Huram	M