Valur Reykjavik vs FC Nordsjaelland Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

Post on X

FC Nordsjaelland

Away

AI call FC Nordsjaelland to win or draw

10%

18%

71%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Valur Reykjavik vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction: Sportiko gives Valur Reykjavik a 10% chance of winning, FC Nordsjaelland 71% and the draw 18%. Last updated 6 Aug 2026, 20:32.

Match Report

FC Nordsjaelland secured a composed 2–0 victory over Valur Reykjavik in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, with the away side doing enough despite being significantly outplayed in terms of possession and overall shot volume. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Nordsjaelland win as the most likely outcome at 71%, and that assessment proved accurate.

Villum Berthelsen broke the deadlock on 30 minutes to give the Danish side a deserved half-time lead, and although Valur dominated large spells of the contest — finishing with 65% possession, 22 total shots, and nine corners — they were unable to convert their pressure into goals. Nordsjaelland's defensive discipline kept the Icelandic hosts at bay throughout.

The tie was effectively settled on 77 minutes when Nicklas Røjkjær converted a penalty to double the visitors' advantage, just moments after a wave of substitutions from both sides had disrupted the flow of the game. Valur's frustration was reflected in a yellow card for Tryggvi Hrafn Haraldsson late on, as Nordsjaelland held firm to advance on a 2–0 scoreline.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 30'

Villum Berthelsen assist: Ibrahim Adel

HT 0–1

⇄ 66'

Stephen Acquah ⇄ Nicklas Røjkjær

⇄ 66'

Villum Berthelsen ⇄ Prince Amoako Junior

Dagur Orri Gardarson ⇄ Ingimar Torbjornsson Stole

67' ⇄

Birkir Heimisson ⇄ Hörður Ingi Gunnarsson

67' ⇄

⚽ 0–2 77'

Nicklas Røjkjær Penalty

Albin Skoglund ⇄ Bjarni Antonsson Duffield

79' ⇄

Jónatan Ingi Jónsson

79' ⇄

Lúkas Logi Heimisson ⇄ Kristófer Dagur Arnarsson

79' ⇄

Tryggvi Hrafn Haraldsson Yellow Card

83' ▮

⇄ 83'

Juho Lähteenmäki ⇄ Noah Markmann

⇄ 83'

Ibrahim Adel ⇄ Levy Nene

FT 0–2

Valur Reykjavik

Match Stats

FC Nordsjaelland

35% Ball Possession 65%

Expected Goals (xG)

6 Total Shots 22

2 Shots on Goal 6

2 Shots off Goal 11

2 Blocked Shots 5

4 Shots insidebox 14

2 Shots outsidebox 8

3 Corner Kicks 9

0 Offsides 1

6 Fouls 14

1 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

4 Goalkeeper Saves 2

344 Total passes 652

282 Passes accurate 590

82% Passes % 90%

goals_prevented

Valur Reykjavik

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
28 Samúel Kári Friðjónsson D	7.3	93'	–	–	–	45 (38%)	1
18 Frederik Schram G	7.2	93'	–	–	–	36 (26%)	–
4 Markus Nakkim D	7.2	93'	–	–	1	53 (44%)	4
8 Jónatan Ingi Jónsson M	6.9	79'	–	–	–	19 (14%)	1
12 Tryggvi Hrafn Haraldsson M	6.9	93'	–	–	1	21 (19%)	–
22 Birkir Heimisson D	6.7	67'	–	–	–	19 (15%)	–
19 Dagur Orri Gardarson F	6.7	67'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	–
15 Hólmar Örn Eyjólfsson D	6.6	93'	–	–	–	42 (39%)	2
5 Kristófer Dagur Arnarsson M	6.6	14'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
6 Bjarni Antonsson Duffield M	6.6	14'	–	–	1	2 (1%)	–
24 Myles Veldman D	6.5	93'	–	–	–	17 (13%)	–
14 Albin Skoglund M	6.5	79'	–	–	–	35 (30%)	2
17 Lúkas Logi Heimisson M	6.3	79'	–	–	1	24 (19%)	–
3 Hörður Ingi Gunnarsson D	6.3	26'	–	–	–	8 (5%)	–
9 Patrick Pedersen F	6.3	14'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
11 Ingimar Torbjornsson Stole D	6.2	26'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–

FC Nordsjaelland

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
18 Justin Janssen M	8.2	93'	–	–	–	108 (102%)	4
2 Peter Ankersen D	7.6	93'	–	–	–	88 (80%)	–
13 Andreas Hansen G	7.3	93'	–	–	–	22 (20%)	–
10 Prince Amoako Junior F	7.3	27'	–	–	–	12 (12%)	–
3 Tobias Salquist D	7.2	93'	–	–	–	133 (127%)	–
15 Stephen Acquah D	7.2	67'	–	–	1	65 (61%)	3
29 Villum Berthelsen F	7.2	66'	1	–	1	32 (26%)	2
14 Ibrahim Adel F	6.9	84'	–	1	4	24 (20%)	–
8 Nicklas Røjkjær M	6.9	26'	1	–	2	19 (16%)	–
6 Mark Brink M	6.7	40'	–	–	–	30 (27%)	–
40 Hjalte Boe Rasmussen F	6.5	93'	–	–	6	21 (18%)	–
4 Noah Markmann D	6.5	10'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
25 Juho Lähteenmäki M	6.3	83'	–	–	1	32 (22%)	3
47 Malte Heyde M	6.3	53'	–	–	–	33 (29%)	–
17 Levy Nene F	6.3	9'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
23 Runar Robinsonn Norheim M	6.2	93'	–	–	2	26 (24%)	2

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Confidence High (71%)

At a glance

Our lean

FC Nordsjaelland to win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Valur Reykjavik

DWWDL

FC Nordsjaelland

LWDLW

Last 1 meetings Valur Reykjavik · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

Valur Reykjavik faces FC Nordsjaelland in a crucial UEFA Europa Conference League clash. Valur has shown solid form in their domestic league, averaging 2.1 goals per match this season, with a strong defensive record conceding only 0.9 goals per game. FC Nordsjaelland, on the other hand, has demonstrated resilience, scoring an average of 1.8 goals while allowing 1.2. Both teams will rely on their attacking prowess, but Valur's home performance may provide a slight edge in terms of familiarity with the pitch. Expect a competitive match with potential for high scoring, considering both teams' offensive capabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

Draw

18%

45%

Away

71%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Nordsjaelland goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	12	11	6	3	1
1	6	13	10	5	2	1
2	3	5	4	2	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Valur Reykjavik goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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Players in form

Valur Reykjavik

No scorer data.

FC Nordsjaelland

H. Boe Rasmussen 3 gls

N. Røjkjær 3 gls

V. Berthelsen 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

71%

Draw

18%

Home Win

10%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

71%

Draw

18%

Home Win

10%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

76% Away (No Draw) 24% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 17% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.0%	12.5%	11.5%	6.3%	2.6%
1	5.6%	13.1%	9.5%	5.2%	2.1%
2	2.9%	4.8%	4.0%	2.2%	0.9%
3	0.8%	1.3%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Valur Reykjavik	Draw	FC Nordsjaelland
Valur Reykjavik	11.3%	4.4%	2.4%
Draw	6.2%	18.0%	19.0%
FC Nordsjaelland	0.7%	3.2%	34.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Valur Reykjavik vs FC Nordsjaelland

0 Valur Reykjavik Wins

0 Draws

1 FC Nordsjaelland Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Aug 2026	FC Nordsjaelland	5 - 0	Valur Reykjavik

Valur Reykjavik — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	H Thor Akureyri	W	4 - 1
05 Sep	A Keflavik	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H IA Akranes	D	2 - 2
23 Aug	A Vikingur Reykjavik	L	2 - 0

FC Nordsjaelland — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Viborg	L	4 - 1
13 Sep	H Aarhus	W	2 - 0
07 Sep	A FC Midtjylland	D	2 - 2
03 Sep	A FC Copenhagen	L	2 - 0
30 Aug	H Brondby	W	3 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

FC Nordsjaelland

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Jens Olsen

13 Hansen

15 Acquah

3 Salquist

2 Ankersen

25 Lähteenmäki

47 Heyde

18 Janssen

23 Norheim

14 Adel

29 Berthelsen

40 Rasmussen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	Andreas Hansen	G
2	Peter Ankersen	D
3	Tobias Salquist	D
15	Stephen Acquah	D
23	Runar Robinsonn Norheim	M
18	Justin Janssen	M
47	Malte Heyde	M
25	Juho Lähteenmäki	M
40	Hjalte Boe Rasmussen	F
29	Villum Berthelsen	F
14	Ibrahim Adel	F

Substitutes

31	Andreas Søndenbroe	G
48	Carl Kristoffersen	G
28	Markus Walker	D
32	Victor Gustafsen	D
45	Noah Markmann	D
6	Mark Brink	M
8	Nicklas Røjkjær	M
10	Prince Amoako Junior	F
17	Levy Nene	F
37	Lamine Sadio	M
39	Daniel Jóhannesson	M

Valur Reykjavik

Formation: 4-4-1-1 Coach: Christopher Brazell

18 Schram

24 Veldman

15 Eyjólfsson

4 Nakkim

22 Heimisson

12 Haraldsson

28 Friðjónsson

14 Skoglund

8 Jónsson

17 Heimisson

19 Gardarson

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
18	Frederik Schram	G
22	Birkir Heimisson	D
4	Markus Nakkim	D
15	Hólmar Örn Eyjólfsson	D
24	Myles Veldman	D
8	Jónatan Ingi Jónsson	M
14	Albin Skoglund	M
28	Samúel Kári Friðjónsson	M
12	Tryggvi Hrafn Haraldsson	M
17	Lúkas Logi Heimisson	F
19	Dagur Orri Gardarson	F

Substitutes

25	Stefan Thor Agustsson	G
95	Tomas Blöndal-Petersson	G
3	Hörður Ingi Gunnarsson	D
11	Ingimar Torbjornsson Stole	D
21	Jakob Franz Pálsson	D
5	Kristófer Dagur Arnarsson	M
6	Bjarni Antonsson Duffield	M
26	Emil Nonnu Sigurbjornsson	M
29	Shkelzen Veseli	M
9	Patrick Pedersen	F