Valur Reykjavik vs FC Nordsjaelland Prediction
Valur Reykjavik vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction: Sportiko gives Valur Reykjavik a 10% chance of winning, FC Nordsjaelland 71% and the draw 18%. Last updated 6 Aug 2026, 20:32.
Match Report
FC Nordsjaelland secured a composed 2–0 victory over Valur Reykjavik in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, with the away side doing enough despite being significantly outplayed in terms of possession and overall shot volume. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Nordsjaelland win as the most likely outcome at 71%, and that assessment proved accurate.
Villum Berthelsen broke the deadlock on 30 minutes to give the Danish side a deserved half-time lead, and although Valur dominated large spells of the contest — finishing with 65% possession, 22 total shots, and nine corners — they were unable to convert their pressure into goals. Nordsjaelland's defensive discipline kept the Icelandic hosts at bay throughout.
The tie was effectively settled on 77 minutes when Nicklas Røjkjær converted a penalty to double the visitors' advantage, just moments after a wave of substitutions from both sides had disrupted the flow of the game. Valur's frustration was reflected in a yellow card for Tryggvi Hrafn Haraldsson late on, as Nordsjaelland held firm to advance on a 2–0 scoreline.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Valur Reykjavik
Match Stats
Valur Reykjavik
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Samúel Kári Friðjónsson D | 7.3 | 93' | – | – | – | 45 (38%) | 1 |
| 18 Frederik Schram G | 7.2 | 93' | – | – | – | 36 (26%) | – |
| 4 Markus Nakkim D | 7.2 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 53 (44%) | 4 |
| 8 Jónatan Ingi Jónsson M | 6.9 | 79' | – | – | – | 19 (14%) | 1 |
| 12 Tryggvi Hrafn Haraldsson M | 6.9 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 21 (19%) | – |
| 22 Birkir Heimisson D | 6.7 | 67' | – | – | – | 19 (15%) | – |
| 19 Dagur Orri Gardarson F | 6.7 | 67' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | – |
| 15 Hólmar Örn Eyjólfsson D | 6.6 | 93' | – | – | – | 42 (39%) | 2 |
| 5 Kristófer Dagur Arnarsson M | 6.6 | 14' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 6 Bjarni Antonsson Duffield M | 6.6 | 14' | – | – | 1 | 2 (1%) | – |
| 24 Myles Veldman D | 6.5 | 93' | – | – | – | 17 (13%) | – |
| 14 Albin Skoglund M | 6.5 | 79' | – | – | – | 35 (30%) | 2 |
| 17 Lúkas Logi Heimisson M | 6.3 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 24 (19%) | – |
| 3 Hörður Ingi Gunnarsson D | 6.3 | 26' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | – |
| 9 Patrick Pedersen F | 6.3 | 14' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 11 Ingimar Torbjornsson Stole D | 6.2 | 26' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
FC Nordsjaelland
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Justin Janssen M | 8.2 | 93' | – | – | – | 108 (102%) | 4 |
| 2 Peter Ankersen D | 7.6 | 93' | – | – | – | 88 (80%) | – |
| 13 Andreas Hansen G | 7.3 | 93' | – | – | – | 22 (20%) | – |
| 10 Prince Amoako Junior F | 7.3 | 27' | – | – | – | 12 (12%) | – |
| 3 Tobias Salquist D | 7.2 | 93' | – | – | – | 133 (127%) | – |
| 15 Stephen Acquah D | 7.2 | 67' | – | – | 1 | 65 (61%) | 3 |
| 29 Villum Berthelsen F | 7.2 | 66' | 1 | – | 1 | 32 (26%) | 2 |
| 14 Ibrahim Adel F | 6.9 | 84' | – | 1 | 4 | 24 (20%) | – |
| 8 Nicklas Røjkjær M | 6.9 | 26' | 1 | – | 2 | 19 (16%) | – |
| 6 Mark Brink M | 6.7 | 40' | – | – | – | 30 (27%) | – |
| 40 Hjalte Boe Rasmussen F | 6.5 | 93' | – | – | 6 | 21 (18%) | – |
| 4 Noah Markmann D | 6.5 | 10' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 25 Juho Lähteenmäki M | 6.3 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 32 (22%) | 3 |
| 47 Malte Heyde M | 6.3 | 53' | – | – | – | 33 (29%) | – |
| 17 Levy Nene F | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 23 Runar Robinsonn Norheim M | 6.2 | 93' | – | – | 2 | 26 (24%) | 2 |
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At a glance
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Live insights
Min 84: FC Nordsjaelland leads 0-2. Win probability: 99.9%. Comeback chance: 0.1%.
FC Nordsjaelland now leads 0-2 with 99.6% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 25.9%.
Min 77: FC Nordsjaelland leads 0-1. Win probability: 91.2%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 8.8%.
Half-time: 0-1. FC Nordsjaelland leads. Win probability: 83.8%. Over 0.5 more goals: 69.6%.
Goal! Score now 0-1. FC Nordsjaelland win: 83%. BTTS: 42%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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No scorer data.
R. Norheim
2 gls
N. Røjkjær
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Valur Reykjavik vs FC Nordsjaelland
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Valur Reykjavik — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | H FC Nordsjaelland | L | 0 - 2 |
| 03 Aug | H Stjarnan | L | 2 - 3 |
| 30 Jul | A Zrinjski | D | 2 - 2 |
| 23 Jul | H Zrinjski | W | 1 - 0 |
| 18 Jul | H Fram Reykjavik | L | 2 - 3 |
FC Nordsjaelland — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | A Valur Reykjavik | W | 0 - 2 |
| 02 Aug | H Randers FC | W | 1 - 0 |
| 30 Jul | H Gais | W | 6 - 0 |
| 26 Jul | A AC Horsens | D | 1 - 1 |
| 23 Jul | A Gais | L | 1 - 0 |
UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
League standings are not available for this competition.
FC Nordsjaelland
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Jens Olsen
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Andreas Hansen | G |
| 2 | Peter Ankersen | D |
| 3 | Tobias Salquist | D |
| 15 | Stephen Acquah | D |
| 23 | Runar Robinsonn Norheim | M |
| 18 | Justin Janssen | M |
| 47 | Malte Heyde | M |
| 25 | Juho Lähteenmäki | M |
| 40 | Hjalte Boe Rasmussen | F |
| 29 | Villum Berthelsen | F |
| 14 | Ibrahim Adel | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | Andreas Søndenbroe | G |
| 48 | Carl Kristoffersen | G |
| 28 | Markus Walker | D |
| 32 | Victor Gustafsen | D |
| 45 | Noah Markmann | D |
| 6 | Mark Brink | M |
| 8 | Nicklas Røjkjær | M |
| 10 | Prince Amoako Junior | F |
| 17 | Levy Nene | F |
| 37 | Lamine Sadio | M |
| 39 | Daniel Jóhannesson | M |
Valur Reykjavik
Formation: 4-4-1-1
Coach: Christopher Brazell
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Frederik Schram | G |
| 22 | Birkir Heimisson | D |
| 4 | Markus Nakkim | D |
| 15 | Hólmar Örn Eyjólfsson | D |
| 24 | Myles Veldman | D |
| 8 | Jónatan Ingi Jónsson | M |
| 14 | Albin Skoglund | M |
| 28 | Samúel Kári Friðjónsson | M |
| 12 | Tryggvi Hrafn Haraldsson | M |
| 17 | Lúkas Logi Heimisson | F |
| 19 | Dagur Orri Gardarson | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | Stefan Thor Agustsson | G |
| 95 | Tomas Blöndal-Petersson | G |
| 3 | Hörður Ingi Gunnarsson | D |
| 11 | Ingimar Torbjornsson Stole | D |
| 21 | Jakob Franz Pálsson | D |
| 5 | Kristófer Dagur Arnarsson | M |
| 6 | Bjarni Antonsson Duffield | M |
| 26 | Emil Nonnu Sigurbjornsson | M |
| 29 | Shkelzen Veseli | M |
| 9 | Patrick Pedersen | F |