FK Partizan vs FK Tobol Kostanay Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round
FT
Post on X
AI call FK Partizan to win
67%
21%
12%
Home Win · 1.33 Draw · 5.64 Away Win · 9.65

FK Partizan vs FK Tobol Kostanay prediction: Sportiko gives FK Partizan a 67% chance of winning, FK Tobol Kostanay 12% and the draw 21%. Last updated 6 Aug 2026, 21:11.

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Match Report

FK Partizan secured a comfortable 3–0 victory over FK Tobol Kostanay in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, booking their place in the next stage despite spending much of the match without the ball. Demba Seck broke the deadlock on 32 minutes to send the hosts into the interval ahead, with Tobol unable to find a way back despite enjoying 55% possession and generating seven shots on goal throughout the contest.

The visitors had a moment of hope early in the second half when Erik Kojzek's effort was ruled out by VAR for handball, and Partizan quickly capitalised on that reprieve. Ibrahim Zubairu doubled the advantage on 65 minutes before being withdrawn just seven minutes later, and substitute Chaka Traorè added a third deep into stoppage time to seal the result. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Partizan win as the most likely outcome at 67%, a call that proved well-founded.

The closing stages saw tempers flare, with yellow cards shown to Đurđević and Lekić in the final minutes, but Partizan held firm for a clean sheet and a thoroughly convincing aggregate platform heading into the next round.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Milan Aleksić Yellow Card
3'
Demba Seck
32' 1–0
Milan Vukotić Yellow Card
44'
HT 1–0
Erik Kojzek Goal Disallowed - handball
54' 🖵
Ibrahim Zubairu assist: Erik Kojzek
65' 2–0
68'
Ibrahim Zubairu
72'
Milan Aleksić ⇄ Aleks Zeković
72'
Erik Kojzek ⇄ Marko Lekić
78'
78'
82'
Demba Seck ⇄ Chaka Traorè
84'
Milan Roganović ⇄ Stefan Milić
84'
86'
Yellow Card
90+1'
Yellow Card
Chaka Traorè
90+6' 3–0
Vukašin Đurđević Yellow Card
90+8'
Marko Lekić Yellow Card
90+9'
FT 3–0
FK Partizan

Match Stats

FK Tobol Kostanay
55% Ball Possession 45%
Expected Goals (xG)
Total Shots
7 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 1
Shots insidebox
Shots outsidebox
6 Corner Kicks 4
2 Offsides 5
12 Fouls 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
Goalkeeper Saves
Total passes
Passes accurate
Passes %
goals_prevented
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Confidence Medium (67%)

At a glance

Our lean
FK Partizan to win
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FK Partizan
WLWWW
FK Tobol Kostanay
LLDWD

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League clash, FK Partizan faces FK Tobol Kostanay. Partizan enters the match with a solid home record, having secured 70% of their points at home last season. They feature a potent attack, averaging 2.1 goals per game, while Tobol Kostanay has struggled defensively, conceding 1.5 goals per game in their recent fixtures. To compete effectively, Tobol will need to tighten their defense and capitalize on counter-attacks, as Partizan is likely to dominate possession. This matchup could hinge on Partizan's offensive prowess against Tobol's defensive resilience.

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

FK Partizan now leads 3-0 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: FK Partizan leads 2-0. Win probability: 99.2%. Comeback chance: 0.8%.

64' Goal 85% sure

FK Partizan now leads 2-0 with 98.2% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 51.5%.

54' Goal 85% sure

FK Partizan now leads 2-0 with 97.2% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 63%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. FK Partizan leads. Win probability: 82.6%. Over 0.5 more goals: 70.8%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: FK Partizan vs FK Tobol Kostanay

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

FK Partizan — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Aug H FK Tobol Kostanay W 3 - 0
02 Aug H IMT Novi Beograd L 1 - 2
30 Jul A UNA Strassen W 0 - 1
26 Jul A Macva W 1 - 3
23 Jul H UNA Strassen W 4 - 0

FK Tobol Kostanay — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Aug A FK Partizan L 3 - 0
02 Aug A Ordabasy L 2 - 0
30 Jul H Panevėžys D 1 - 1
26 Jul H Atyrau W 1 - 0
23 Jul A Panevėžys D 1 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

FK Tobol Kostanay

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Miroslav Romashchenko
44 Ustimenko
25 Boršić
5 Ndiaye
72 Senhadji
21 Zhagorov
8 Tagybergen
13 Cisse
17 Zuev
14 Talal
10 Chesnokov
18 Milovanović

Starting XI

# Player Pos
44 Danil Ustimenko G
21 Nauryzbek Zhagorov M
72 Rayan Senhadji D
5 Pape Alioune Ndiaye D
25 Antonio Boršić D
13 Abdoulaye Cisse M
8 Askhat Tagybergen M
10 Islam Chesnokov M
14 Amine Talal M
17 Aleksander Zuev M
18 Uroš Milovanović F

Substitutes

1 Sultan Busurmanov G
35 Yuriy Melikhov G
3 Roman Asrankulov D
4 Nemanja Cavnić D
22 Aleksandr Marochkin D
34 Amanzhol Bakitzhanov D
38 Amanzhol Bakytzhanov D
6 Maksim Myakish M
19 Dauren Zhumat M
30 Luis Guerra M
56 Emin Mussayev F
Vitaliy Lisakovich F

FK Partizan

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Sasa Ilic
31 Krunić
24 Đurđević
23 Mitrović
40 Simic
30 Roganović
99 Kostić
17 Aleksić
11 Vukotić
39 Zubairu
9 Kojzek
19 Seck

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 Miloš Krunić G
30 Milan Roganović D
40 Nikola Simic D
23 Stefan Mitrović D
24 Vukašin Đurđević D
11 Milan Vukotić M
17 Milan Aleksić M
99 Bogdan Kostić M
19 Demba Seck M
9 Erik Kojzek F
39 Ibrahim Zubairu M

Substitutes

1 Marko Milošević G
5 Mateja Milovanović D
33 Stefan Petrović D
44 Stefan Milić D
7 Chaka Traorè M
8 Aleks Zeković M
20 Samson Nwulu M
32 Nemanja Trifunović M
90 Zoran Alilović M
42 Matija Ninić F
46 Marko Lekić F

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