FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik Prediction
FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik prediction: Sportiko gives FC Lugano a 81% chance of winning, NSI Runavik 6% and the draw 13%. Last updated 6 Aug 2026, 20:22.
Match Report
FC Lugano secured a comfortable 2–0 victory over NSI Runavik in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, with the Swiss side doing their damage efficiently despite spending much of the match on the back foot. Elias Pihlström broke the deadlock as early as the seventh minute, giving Lugano a lead they would carry into the interval.
The statistics told a striking story of dominance without reward for the Faroese visitors. NSI Runavik controlled 68% of possession, registered 31 total shots and earned 15 corner kicks to Lugano's three, yet managed just a single goal on target throughout the entire contest. Lugano, by contrast, were ruthlessly clinical, converting one of their five attempts. Kevin Behrens wrapped up the result on 80 minutes, effectively ending any prospect of a Runavik comeback.
The outcome aligned with pre-match expectations — our AI model had placed an 81% probability on a Lugano win, a call that proved correct. Lugano now advance to the next round, their defensive resilience and sharp finishing proving decisive against opponents who created volume but lacked the cutting edge to trouble the Swiss defence.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
FC Lugano
Match Stats
FC Lugano
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 Mattia Zanotti D | 9.0 | 91' | – | 1 | – | 61 (59%) | 2 |
| 24 Elias Pihlström M | 7.9 | 82' | 1 | – | 1 | 41 (33%) | 1 |
| 11 Renato Steffen F | 7.7 | 91' | – | – | 3 | 49 (40%) | – |
| 3 Hannes Delcroix D | 7.6 | 91' | – | – | 4 | 69 (66%) | – |
| 21 Yanis Cimignani M | 7.5 | 72' | – | 1 | 2 | 39 (37%) | 1 |
| 14 Ahmed Kendouci M | 7.5 | 61' | – | – | – | 53 (48%) | 2 |
| 8 Anto Grgić M | 7.3 | 30' | – | – | – | 36 (34%) | – |
| 25 Uran Bislimi F | 7.3 | 91' | – | – | 2 | 82 (73%) | 1 |
| 4 Damian Kelvin D | 7.2 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 52 (45%) | – |
| 91 Kevin Behrens F | 7.0 | 91' | 1 | – | 1 | 14 (12%) | – |
| 27 Daniel Dos Santos M | 6.9 | 61' | – | – | 2 | 26 (23%) | 1 |
| 16 David von Ballmoos G | 6.6 | 91' | – | – | – | 19 (18%) | – |
| 6 Antonios Papadopoulos D | 6.6 | 19' | – | – | 1 | 13 (11%) | – |
| 22 Beckham Castro F | 6.5 | 9' | – | – | 1 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 30 Dereck Moncada F | 6.2 | 30' | – | – | 4 | 6 (6%) | – |
NSI Runavik
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Tom Amos G | 9.0 | 91' | – | – | – | 47 (20%) | – |
| 17 Jann Benjaminsen D | 7.2 | 91' | – | – | – | 13 (8%) | – |
| 5 Alex Freyr Elísson D | 6.9 | 91' | – | – | – | 17 (13%) | 3 |
| 3 Viljormur Davidsen D | 6.9 | 91' | – | – | – | 37 (33%) | 1 |
| 6 Beinir Nolsøe M | 6.9 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 20 (16%) | 1 |
| 4 Daniel Obbekjær D | 6.7 | 91' | – | – | – | 36 (30%) | – |
| 29 Emil Joensen M | 6.5 | 91' | – | – | – | 32 (26%) | 1 |
| 33 Michał Przybylski M | 6.5 | 77' | – | – | 1 | 10 (3%) | – |
| 9 Tobias Hestad M | 6.5 | 14' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 12 Filip Drinic D | 6.3 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 31 (29%) | – |
| 11 Marius Lindh M | 6.3 | 85' | – | – | – | 17 (15%) | 1 |
| 2 Sammy Skytte F | 6.3 | 91' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 28 Markus Danielsen F | — | 6' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
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At a glance
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Live insights
Min 83: FC Lugano leads 2-0. Win probability: 99.8%. Comeback chance: 0.2%.
FC Lugano now leads 2-0 with 99.8% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 23.1%.
Min 75: FC Lugano leads 1-0. Win probability: 91.2%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 8.8%.
Half-time: 1-0. FC Lugano leads. Win probability: 87.3%. Over 0.5 more goals: 76%.
Goal! Score now 1-0. FC Lugano win: 87.7%. BTTS: 52.6%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
K. Behrens
4 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
FC Lugano — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | H NSI Runavik | W | 2 - 0 |
| 02 Aug | A Grasshoppers | W | 1 - 4 |
| 29 Jul | A Dukagjini | W | 1 - 5 |
| 26 Jul | H FC Vaduz | W | 2 - 1 |
| 23 Jul | H Dukagjini | W | 1 - 0 |
NSI Runavik — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | A FC Lugano | L | 2 - 0 |
| 03 Aug | A HB Torshavn | L | 3 - 1 |
| 30 Jul | A Koper | W | 0 - 2 |
| 23 Jul | H Koper | L | 0 - 2 |
| 16 Jul | A Hamrun Spartans | W | 1 - 2 |
UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
League standings are not available for this competition.
NSI Runavik
Formation: 5-4-1
Coach: Sigurdur Eyjolfsson
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Tom Amos | G |
| 5 | Alex Freyr Elísson | D |
| 12 | Filip Drinic | D |
| 4 | Daniel Obbekjær | D |
| 3 | Viljormur Davidsen | D |
| 17 | Jann Benjaminsen | D |
| 11 | Marius Lindh | M |
| 6 | Beinir Nolsøe | M |
| 29 | Emil Joensen | M |
| 33 | Michał Przybylski | M |
| 2 | Sammy Skytte | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Kristian Joensen | G |
| 30 | Dánial Danielsen | G |
| 22 | Jóel Tróndargjógv | D |
| 9 | Tobias Hestad | M |
| 10 | Klæmint Olsen | F |
| 28 | Markus Danielsen | F |
FC Lugano
Formation: 3-4-1-2
Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | David von Ballmoos | G |
| 46 | Mattia Zanotti | D |
| 4 | Damian Kelvin | D |
| 3 | Hannes Delcroix | D |
| 21 | Yanis Cimignani | M |
| 14 | Ahmed Kendouci | M |
| 27 | Daniel Dos Santos | M |
| 24 | Elias Pihlström | M |
| 25 | Uran Bislimi | F |
| 11 | Renato Steffen | F |
| 91 | Kevin Behrens | F |
Substitutes
| 28 | Felix Gebhardt | G |
| 39 | Ahmadou Ndiaye | G |
| 6 | Antonios Papadopoulos | D |
| 17 | Lars Lukas Mai | D |
| 18 | Joel Bichsel | D |
| 44 | Carbone | D |
| 8 | Anto Grgić | M |
| 22 | Beckham Castro | F |
| 23 | Gjan Ajdin | M |
| 30 | Dereck Moncada | F |
| 32 | Nicolo Puddu | M |
| 33 | Christian Raffa | M |