FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

Post on X

Rīgas FS

Away

AI call FK Jablonec or draw

49%

28%

23%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS prediction: Sportiko gives FK Jablonec a 49% chance of winning, Rīgas FS 23% and the draw 28%. Last updated 6 Aug 2026, 17:53.

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Match Report

FK Jablonec secured a comfortable 2–0 victory over Rīgas FS in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, booking their place in the next stage with a controlled home performance. The Czech side's pre-match AI model had rated a Jablonec win as the most likely outcome at 49%, and that assessment proved accurate.

Jablonec took the lead in the 18th minute through Vakhtang Chanturishvili, giving the hosts a deserved half-time advantage. Matěj Polidar doubled the lead just eight minutes into the second half, effectively ending the contest and allowing Jablonec to manage the remainder of the game with relative comfort.

The scoreline somewhat flattered Jablonec in terms of shot accuracy, with Rīgas FS registering five shots on goal to the hosts' one, though the Latvian side were unable to convert their opportunities. Jablonec's six corner kicks to Rīgas FS's two reflected their territorial dominance, and with 53% possession, the Czech outfit controlled the tempo throughout to advance convincingly on the night.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Vakhtang Chanturishvili assist: Filip Zorvan

18' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

Matěj Polidar assist: Martin Cedidla

53' ⚽ 2–0

Lamin Jawo ⇄ Antonín Růsek

62' ⇄

Filip Zorvan ⇄ Sebastian Nebyla

62' ⇄

⇄ 76'

Nelson Okeke ⇄ Jan Suchan

79' ⇄

Matěj Polidar ⇄ Jan Chramosta

86' ⇄

Vakhtang Chanturishvili ⇄ Hugo Ahl

87' ⇄

⇄ 89'

FT 2–0

FK Jablonec

Match Stats

Rīgas FS

47% Ball Possession 53%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

5 Shots on Goal 1

2 Shots off Goal 3

1 Blocked Shots 1

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

2 Corner Kicks 6

2 Offsides 2

8 Fouls 14

0 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Our lean

FK Jablonec or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13%

Both teams to score

61%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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FK Jablonec

DLWLD

Rīgas FS

DWDLW

Last 1 meetings FK Jablonec · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League clash between FK Jablonec and Rīgas FS, both teams will look to capitalize on their respective strengths. Jablonec has shown a solid home record in previous European competitions, while Rīgas FS will aim to leverage their counter-attacking style. Key players to watch include Jablonec's forward line, which has been potent in recent fixtures, and Rīgas FS's midfield, known for creating chances. Tactical discipline and set-pieces could prove decisive in this match. The outcome will likely hinge on which team can control possession and exploit defensive weaknesses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

49%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

23%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Rīgas FS goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	6	6	3	1
1	6	13	8	4	2
2	6	8	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	2	1
4	1	2	1	1
5

↑ FK Jablonec goals · most likely 1–1 (13.0%)

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

28%

Away Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

19%

1.5

81%

44%

2.5

56%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

28%

Away Win

23%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

50% Home (No Draw) 50% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 18% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

36% Home Scores More 36% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

19%

1.5

81%

44%

2.5

56%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.8%	6.3%	5.7%	2.8%	1.0%
1	6.3%	13.0%	8.4%	4.1%	1.5%
2	5.8%	8.5%	6.2%	3.1%	1.1%
3	2.9%	4.2%	3.1%	1.5%	0.6%
4	1.1%	1.6%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FK Jablonec	Draw	Rīgas FS
FK Jablonec	24.0%	5.3%	2.6%
Draw	11.6%	16.3%	13.3%
Rīgas FS	1.8%	4.1%	21.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS

1 FK Jablonec Wins

0 Draws

0 Rīgas FS Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Aug 2026	Rīgas FS	1 - 2	FK Jablonec

FK Jablonec — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Zlin	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Sparta Praha	L	2 - 0
09 Sep	H Baník Ostrava	W	3 - 0
06 Sep	H Slovan Liberec	L	1 - 2
02 Sep	A Bohemians 1905	D	1 - 1

Rīgas FS — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Auda	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	A BFC Daugavpils	W	1 - 2
07 Sep	H FK Liepaja	D	0 - 0
03 Sep	H Riga	L	2 - 3
30 Aug	A Ogre United	W	0 - 3

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Rīgas FS

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Viktors Morozs

16 Ņerugals

18 Zelenkovs

43 Lipušček

23 Prenga

6 Filipović

26 Panić

81 Rakić

10 Ikaunieks

49 Ķigurs

8 Odisharia

15 Ndjiki

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	Jevgēņijs Ņerugals	G
6	Aleksandar Filipović	D
23	Herdi Prenga	D
43	Žiga Lipušček	D
18	Dmitrijs Zelenkovs	M
81	Strahinja Rakić	M
26	Stefan Panić	M
8	Lasha Odisharia	M
49	Mārtiņš Ķigurs	M
10	Jānis Ikaunieks	M
15	Rostand Ndjiki	F

Substitutes

9	Duje Korač	F
1	Rihards Matrevics	G
40	Mareks Muizzemnieks	G
4	Roberts Veips	D
5	Niks Sliede	D
14	Mamadou Sylla	M
19	Alfa Baldé	M
21	Niks Dusalijevs	M
66	Modou Saidy	M
77	Gauthier Mankenda	M

FK Jablonec

Formation: 3-5-1-1 Coach: Lubos Kozel

1 Hanuš

15 Pavlović

4 Tekijaški

18 Cedidla

20 Sláma

21 Polidar

6 Okeke

13 Sedláček

7 Chanturishvili

8 Zorvan

44 Jawo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Jan Hanuš	G
18	Martin Cedidla	D
4	Nemanja Tekijaški	D
15	Dušan Pavlović	D
7	Vakhtang Chanturishvili	M
13	Richard Sedláček	M
6	Nelson Okeke	M
21	Matěj Polidar	M
20	Jiří Sláma	D
8	Filip Zorvan	M
44	Lamin Jawo	F

Substitutes

99	Klemen Mihelak	G
14	Daniel Souček	D
57	Filip Novák	D
10	Jan Suchan	M
16	Hugo Ahl	M
23	Eduard Sobol	M
25	Sebastian Nebyla	M
9	Antonín Růsek	F
19	Jan Chramosta	F
27	Filip Vecheta	F