Hibernian vs Shkendija Prediction
Hibernian vs Shkendija prediction: Sportiko gives Hibernian a 57% chance of winning, Shkendija 17% and the draw 26%. Last updated 6 Aug 2026, 20:56.
Premium picks
Premium- 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
- Under 3.5 Goals 73% @ 1.35
Match Report
Hibernian advanced in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round with a hard-fought 2–1 victory over Shkendija at Easter Road, though the tie remained goalless at the break despite the Scottish side's territorial advantage.
The second half came to life after the hour mark, with Owen Elding, who had been cautioned in the 56th minute, breaking the deadlock in the 73rd to put Hibernian ahead. Shkendija levelled three minutes later to set up a tense finish, with both sides making a series of substitutions as the match entered its final stages. A yellow card for Mevlan Murati in the 80th minute added to the visitors' disciplinary troubles, with Shkendija finishing the game with several bookings. Warren O'Hora settled the tie deep into stoppage time, converting in the 91st minute to seal the win and send Hibernian through.
Hibernian finished the stronger side, registering four shots on target to Shkendija's two and controlling 57 per cent of possession. The result aligned with the pre-match AI model's assessment, which had rated a Hibernian win as the most likely outcome at 57 per cent.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Hibernian
Match Stats
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Live insights
Late goal makes it 2-1! Hibernian win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.
Min 84: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 84.7%. Late goal chance: 16%.
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 71.5%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
Goal! Score now 1-0. Hibernian win: 86.3%. BTTS: 17.6%.
Min 75: Hibernian leads 1-0. Win probability: 86.3%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 13.7%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Hibernian vs Shkendija
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Hibernian — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | H Shkendija | W | 2 - 1 |
| 02 Aug | H Motherwell | L | 1 - 2 |
| 30 Jul | H Malisheva | W | 4 - 1 |
| 23 Jul | A Malisheva | L | 2 - 0 |
| 30 Jun | A Shamrock Rovers | L | 1 - 0 |
Shkendija — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | A Hibernian | L | 2 - 1 |
| 30 Jul | H Bravo | W | 3 - 1 |
| 26 Jul | H Skopje | W | 3 - 0 |
| 23 Jul | A Bravo | L | 2 - 1 |
| 16 Jul | H Europa | W | 1 - 0 |
UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
League standings are not available for this competition.
Hibernian
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: David Gray
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raphael Sallinger | G |
| 25 | Felix Passlack | M |
| 6 | Jason Kerr | D |
| 5 | Warren O'Hora | D |
| 21 | Jordan Obita | D |
| 8 | Josh Mulligan | M |
| 14 | Miguel Changa Chaiwa | M |
| 3 | Adam Mayor | M |
| 7 | Owen Elding | F |
| 9 | Nathan Lowe | F |
| 10 | Martin Boyle | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | Callum Wright | M |
| 22 | Ante Šuto | F |
| 13 | Jordan Smith | G |
| 35 | Freddie Owens | G |
| 4 | Grant Hanley | D |
| 11 | Joe Newell | M |
| 20 | Rudi Allan Molotnikov | M |
| 27 | Kanayochukwu Megwa | M |
| 30 | Jacob MacIntyre | M |
| 32 | Josh Campbell | M |
| 47 | Azeem Abdulai | M |
| 18 | Thibault Klidjé | F |
Shkendija
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Artim Polozani
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Ferat Ramani | G |
| 2 | Aleksander Trumci | D |
| 55 | Jovan Manev | D |
| 26 | Anes Meljichi | D |
| 17 | Arbin Zejnullai | M |
| 8 | Rafael Freitas | M |
| 5 | Drilon Islami | M |
| 29 | Fabrice Tamba | F |
| 10 | Endrit Krasniqi | M |
| 11 | Almir Kryeziu | M |
| 9 | Fahd Ndzengue | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | Mevlan Murati | D |
| 19 | Vane Krstevski | F |
| 99 | Marko Gjorgjievski | F |
| 25 | Astrit Amzai | G |
| 18 | Nazif Ceka | D |
| 21 | Armir Isa | M |
| 49 | Sebastjan Spahiu | M |
| 77 | Florent Ramadani | M |
| 7 | Besart Ibraimi | F |