Hapoel Tel Aviv vs GKS Katowice Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

Post on X

GKS Katowice

Away

AI call Hapoel Tel Aviv or draw

43%

29%

Home Win · 2.31 Draw · 3.40 Away Win · 3.21

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs GKS Katowice prediction: Sportiko gives Hapoel Tel Aviv a 43% chance of winning, GKS Katowice 29% and the draw 29%. Last updated 6 Aug 2026, 19:58.

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Match Report

Hapoel Tel Aviv secured a commanding 2–0 victory over GKS Katowice in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, with the Israeli side wrapping up the contest before the break. Goals in the fifth and 18th minutes gave Hapoel a decisive early advantage, and the two-goal cushion at half-time effectively settled the tie as a contest.

GKS Katowice attempted to respond after the interval, introducing Eman Marković, Adam Zreľák, and Kacper Łukasiak in a triple substitution on 57 minutes, with further changes following throughout the second half. However, the Polish visitors struggled to test the Hapoel goalkeeper, managing just two shots on target compared to the home side's six, and were unable to find a way back into the match.

Hapoel's disciplined defensive display ensured a clean sheet and a strong platform heading into the second leg. The result aligned with our pre-match AI model, which had rated a Hapoel Tel Aviv win as the most likely outcome at 43%.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

5' ⚽ 1–0

18' ⚽ 2–0

HT 2–0

⇄ 57'

Eman Marković ⇄ Szymon Bartlewicz

⇄ 57'

Adam Zreľák ⇄ Ilia Shkurin

⇄ 57'

Kacper Łukasiak ⇄ Mateusz Kowalczyk

66' ⇄

⇄ 71'

Erik Jirka ⇄ Marcin Wasielewski

⇄ 81'

Bartosz Nowak ⇄ Marcel Wedrychowski

81' ⇄

87' ⇄

FT 2–0

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Match Stats

GKS Katowice

0% Ball Possession 0%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

6 Shots on Goal 2

5 Shots off Goal 2

3 Blocked Shots 2

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

3 Corner Kicks 2

2 Offsides 1

14 Fouls 13

0 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Our lean

Hapoel Tel Aviv or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Hapoel Tel Aviv

WDWDW

GKS Katowice

LWWLL

Match summary

In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League match, Hapoel Tel Aviv will face GKS Katowice. Hapoel Tel Aviv has shown strong form in recent domestic matches, with a solid defensive record, conceding only 1 goal in their last 5 games. Meanwhile, GKS Katowice has struggled on the road, recording just 1 win in their last 5 away fixtures. Both teams will need to capitalize on scoring opportunities, but Hapoel's home form and defensive stability may give them an edge in this matchup. Expect a competitive encounter with tactical battles in midfield potentially deciding the outcome.

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Hapoel Tel Aviv leads 2-0. Win probability: 99%. Comeback chance: 1%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 2-0. Hapoel Tel Aviv leads. Win probability: 94.3%. Over 0.5 more goals: 70.6%.

18' Goal 85% sure

Hapoel Tel Aviv now leads 2-0 with 90.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 85.3%.

7' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Hapoel Tel Aviv win: 73.7%. BTTS: 63.4%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

43%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

29%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

GKS Katowice goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	7	5	2
1	10	14	7	2	1
2	8	9	5	2
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	2	1
5

↑ Hapoel Tel Aviv goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

29%

Away Win

29%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

29%

Away Win

29%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

62% Home (No Draw) 38% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 27% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	6.9%	4.7%	1.7%	0.5%
1	9.8%	14.1%	6.8%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.4%	9.1%	5.0%	1.8%	0.5%
3	4.1%	4.4%	2.4%	0.9%	0.2%
4	1.5%	1.6%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Hapoel Tel Aviv	Draw	GKS Katowice
Hapoel Tel Aviv	27.1%	4.9%	2.0%
Draw	16.1%	18.8%	12.3%
GKS Katowice	1.9%	3.7%	13.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs GKS Katowice

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Hapoel Tel Aviv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	H GKS Katowice	W	2 - 0
30 Jul	A Ludogorets	D	2 - 2
23 Jul	H Ludogorets	W	2 - 0
14 Jul	A Dukla Banská Bystrica	D	0 - 0
24 Jul	H FC Astana	W	1 - 0

GKS Katowice — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	A Hapoel Tel Aviv	L	2 - 0
02 Aug	H Radomiak Radom	W	3 - 1
30 Jul	H Žilina	W	3 - 1
26 Jul	A Wisla Krakow	L	2 - 1
23 Jul	A Žilina	L	2 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Elyaniv Barda

22 Tzur

16 Leidner

4 Chico

5 Mayembo

97 Coco

6 Kraev

98 Falcão

15 Alkokin

51 Altman

11 Torial

9 Boateng

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	Assaf Tzur	G
97	Marcus Coco	D
5	Fernand Mayembo	D
4	Chico	D
16	Doron Leidner	D
98	Falcão	M
6	Andrian Kraev	M
11	Stav Torial	M
51	Omri Altman	F
15	Roee Alkokin	M
9	Emmanuel Boateng	F

Substitutes

13	Roy Baranes	G
33	Yanal Bazdog	G
18	Tal Archel	D
20	Or Israelov	D
21	Shahar Piven	D
8	Yonatan Ferber	M
14	El Yam Kancepolsky	M
23	Amit Lemkin	M
27	Mor Buskila	F
44	Daniel Dappa	F
7	Roy Korine	F
10	Xande Silva	F

GKS Katowice

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Rafal Gorak

87 Kobylak

55 Resta

4 Jędrych

6 Klemenz

8 Galán

68 Wolski

19 Łukasiak

97 Jirka

27 Nowak

99 Zreľák

15 Marković

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
87	Gabriel Kobylak	G
6	Lukas Klemenz	D
4	Arkadiusz Jędrych	D
55	Pau Resta	D
97	Erik Jirka	M
19	Kacper Łukasiak	M
68	Bartosz Wolski	M
8	Borja Galán	M
15	Eman Marković	F
99	Adam Zreľák	F
27	Bartosz Nowak	F

Substitutes

1	Maciej Kikolski	G
30	Alan Czerwiński	D
14	Marius Olsen	D
31	Szymon Bartlewicz	M
77	Mateusz Kowalczyk	M
22	Sebastian Milewski	M
23	Marcin Wasielewski	M
7	Mateusz Wdowiak	M
10	Marcel Wędrychowski	M
21	Jakub Kokosinski	F
17	Ilia Shkurin	F