IFK Goteborg vs Gent Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

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Gent

Away

AI call Gent or draw

25%

27%

48%

Home Win · 3.45 Draw · 3.44 Away Win · 2.35

IFK Goteborg vs Gent prediction: Sportiko gives IFK Goteborg a 25% chance of winning, Gent 48% and the draw 27%. Last updated 6 Aug 2026, 18:53.

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Over 1.5 Goals 75% @ 1.32
2nd Half Over 0.5 75%

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Match Report

Gent secured a narrow but important 1–0 victory over IFK Göteborg in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, booking their place in the next stage with a composed away performance. The decisive moment came just before half-time, when Gent struck on the stroke of 45 minutes to take a lead they would not relinquish. A flurry of yellow cards around the interval, including one shown to Göteborg's Noah Tolf, added tension to the closing stages of the first half.

Göteborg pushed for an equaliser after the break, finishing the match with five shots on target compared to Gent's one, though the Belgian side's defensive organisation proved difficult to break down. Both teams made significant changes in the second half, with László Bénes, Tobias Heintz, Hjörtur Hermannsson, and Mouhamed El Bachir Ngom among those introduced, but the scoreline remained unchanged.

Gent controlled possession at 56% throughout and showed the efficiency of a side comfortable managing a slender lead. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Gent win as the most likely outcome at 48%, a call that proved correct.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 30'

Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 45'

assist: László Bénes

▮ 45+2'

Yellow Card

Noah Tolf Yellow Card

45+2' ▮

HT 0–1

⇄ 67'

László Bénes

⇄ 74'

⇄ Oliver Mansson

77' ⇄

Tobias Heintz ⇄ Tiago Coimbra

83' ⇄

Hjörtur Hermannsson ⇄ August Erlingmark

83' ⇄

⇄ 86'

Mouhamed El Bachir Ngom

⇄ 86'

FT 0–1

IFK Goteborg

Match Stats

Gent

56% Ball Possession 44%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

1 Shots on Goal 5

5 Shots off Goal 5

4 Blocked Shots 1

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

2 Corner Kicks 3

0 Offsides 0

10 Fouls 14

1 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (48%)

At a glance

Our lean

Gent or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.3%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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IFK Goteborg

LWWLL

Gent

WDDWW

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League matchup, IFK Göteborg faces Gent. Both teams have shown resilience in their respective leagues, but Göteborg's defensive record may be tested against Gent's dynamic attacking play, which has yielded an average of 1.8 goals per match this season. Conversely, Göteborg has maintained a solid home defensive record, conceding just 0.9 goals per game. The outcome could hinge on whether Göteborg can neutralize Gent's offensive threats while capitalizing on set pieces and counter-attacks. Expect a closely contested battle, with tactical adjustments likely to play a crucial role.

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Gent leads 0-1. Win probability: 90.9%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 9.1%.

45' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Gent win: 84.8%. BTTS: 34.3%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Gent leads. Win probability: 84.8%. Over 0.5 more goals: 72.1%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Gent goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	12	12	7	3	1
1	5	12	10	6	3	1
2	3	5	4	2	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ IFK Goteborg goals · most likely 1–1 (12.3%)

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Match Result

Away Win

48%

Draw

27%

Home Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

48%

Draw

27%

Home Win

25%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

79% Away (No Draw) 21% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Away Win by 2+ 5% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 16% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	11.5%	11.7%	7.1%	3.2%
1	4.6%	12.3%	9.8%	5.9%	2.7%
2	2.5%	4.6%	4.1%	2.5%	1.1%
3	0.7%	1.3%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	IFK Goteborg	Draw	Gent
IFK Goteborg	9.4%	4.0%	2.7%
Draw	6.1%	16.3%	20.4%
Gent	0.8%	3.3%	37.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: IFK Goteborg vs Gent

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

IFK Goteborg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	H Gent	L	0 - 1
02 Aug	H Degerfors IF	W	2 - 0
30 Jul	A FC Levadia Tallinn	W	1 - 3
26 Jul	A Sirius	L	4 - 1
21 Jul	H FC Levadia Tallinn	L	1 - 2

Gent — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	A IFK Goteborg	W	0 - 1
30 Jul	H LNZ Cherkasy	D	0 - 0
23 Jul	A LNZ Cherkasy	D	0 - 0
22 Mar	A Dender	W	1 - 3
13 Mar	H Zulte Waregem	W	2 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Gent

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Rik De Mil

33 Roef

20 Araújo

44 Heyden

16 Burgess

5 Ngom

17 Delorge

27 Vlieger

57 Volckaert

8 Bénes

47 Vergara

45 Goore

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
33	Davy Roef	G
5	Mouhamed El Ngom	D
16	Christian Burgess	D
44	Siebe Van Der Heyden	D
20	Tiago Araújo	D
57	Matties Volckaert	D
27	Tibe De Vlieger	M
17	Mathias Delorge	M
45	Hyllarion Goore	F
47	Josué Vergara	F
8	László Bénes	M

Substitutes

30	Kjell Peersman	G
31	Bas Evers	G
3	Maksim Paskotsi	D
56	Mamadou Diallo	D
28	Mohammed El Âdfaoui	M
37	Abdelkahar Kadri	M
59	El Hadji Seck	M
61	Abubakar Abdullahi	M
22	Leonardo Lopes	M
11	Momodou Sonko	F
75	Ibrahima Cisse	F
21	Max Dean	F

IFK Goteborg

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Joachim Bjorklund

12 Andersson

22 Tolf

6 Hermannsson

4 Yeboah

17 Jallow

14 Heintz

15 Kruse

23 Thordarson

7 Clemmensen

8 Larsson

29 Wiberg

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Viktor Andersson	G
17	Alexander Jallow	D
4	Rockson Yeboah	D
6	Hjörtur Hermannsson	D
22	Noah Tolf	D
7	Sebastian Clemmensen	F
23	Kolbeinn Thordarson	M
15	David Kruse	M
14	Tobias Heintz	M
29	Adam Bergmark Wiberg	F
8	Sam Larsson	M

Substitutes

25	Elis Bishesari	G
1	Jonathan Rasheed	G
28	Issaka Seidu	D
5	Jonas Bager	D
3	August Erlingmark	D
18	Felix Eriksson	D
24	Oliver Mansson	M
16	Filip Ottosson	M
11	Saidou Alioum Moubarak	M
30	Tiago Coimbra	F