Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag Prediction
Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag prediction: Sportiko gives Dynamo Kyiv a 40% chance of winning, Qarabag 32% and the draw 29%. Last updated 6 Aug 2026, 18:57.
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Match Report
Dynamo Kyiv secured a narrow but decisive 1–0 victory over Qarabag in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, with the only goal arriving as early as the tenth minute. That early strike proved enough to separate the two sides, with the scoreline unchanged at the break and Kyiv successfully protecting their lead throughout the second half. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Dynamo Kyiv win as the most likely outcome at 40%, and that call proved correct.
Qarabag dominated possession with 61% of the ball and generated a remarkable 11 corner kicks compared to Kyiv's three, yet they managed only two shots on target and could not find a way through. Dynamo, despite seeing far less of the ball, were clinical with their limited opportunities, registering three shots on target of their own.
The closing stages grew heated, with a red card shown to Qarabag's Cebrail Makreckis in the 88th minute compounding the visitors' frustration, and yellow cards issued to both sides deep into stoppage time. Kyiv will now advance to the next qualifying round.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Dynamo Kyiv
Match Stats
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Live insights
Min 76: Dynamo Kyiv leads 1-0. Win probability: 85.6%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 14.4%.
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 61%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
Half-time: 1-0. Dynamo Kyiv leads. Win probability: 72.6%. Over 0.5 more goals: 71.1%.
Goal! Score now 1-0. Dynamo Kyiv win: 67.6%. BTTS: 66.9%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Dynamo Kyiv — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | H Qarabag | W | 1 - 0 |
| 30 Jul | A PAOK | L | 2 - 0 |
| 23 Jul | H PAOK | L | 2 - 3 |
| 16 Jul | A Universitatea Cluj | D | 0 - 0 |
| 10 Jul | A Radomiak Radom | W | 2 - 4 |
Qarabag — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | A Dynamo Kyiv | L | 1 - 0 |
| 30 Jul | A CSKA Sofia | D | 0 - 0 |
| 23 Jul | H CSKA Sofia | D | 0 - 0 |
| 16 Jul | A Vestri | W | 0 - 3 |
| 09 Jul | H Vestri | W | 3 - 0 |
UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
League standings are not available for this competition.
Dynamo Kyiv
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Igor Kostyuk
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 71 | Vyacheslav Surkis | G |
| 5 | Oleksii Sych | D |
| 94 | Tomasz Kędziora | D |
| 32 | Taras Mykhavko | D |
| 44 | Vladyslav Dubinchak | D |
| 6 | Volodymyr Brazhko | M |
| 15 | Valentyn Rubchynskyi | M |
| 39 | Eduardo Guerrero | F |
| 21 | Justin Lonwijk | M |
| 70 | Bogdan Redushko | M |
| 11 | Matvii Ponomarenko | F |
Substitutes
| 18 | Oleksandr Tymchyk | D |
| 10 | Mykola Shaparenko | M |
| 9 | Nazar Voloshyn | M |
| 35 | Ruslan Neshcheret | G |
| 43 | Ilya Olkhovyi | G |
| 40 | Kristian Bilovar | D |
| 66 | Aliou Thiare | D |
| 8 | Oleksandr Pikhalyonok | M |
| 7 | Andriy Yarmolenko | M |
| 22 | Vladyslav Kabaiev | M |
| 29 | Vitaliy Buyalskiy | M |
| 99 | Pierre Mounguengue | F |
Qarabag
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Qurban Qurbanov
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 99 | Mateusz Kochalski | G |
| 25 | Cebrail Makreckis | M |
| 2 | Matheus Silva | D |
| 4 | Bence Várkonyi | D |
| 44 | Elvin Cafarquliyev | D |
| 35 | Pedro Bicalho | M |
| 8 | Marko Janković | M |
| 7 | Jaly Mouaddib | M |
| 10 | Abdellah Zoubir | M |
| 29 | Renaldo Cephas | F |
| 21 | Olexiy Kashchuk | M |
Substitutes
| 20 | Kady Borges | M |
| 22 | Musa Qurbanlı | F |
| 1 | Shakhrudin Magomedaliyev | G |
| 23 | Martin Zlomislić | G |
| 55 | Bədavi Hüseynov | D |
| 5 | Bruno Langa | D |
| 13 | Bahlul Mustafazada | D |
| 88 | Samuel Lobato | M |
| 9 | Joni Montiel | M |
| 49 | Ali Bashirov | M |
| 32 | Hikmat Cabrayilzada | M |