Brann vs Apollon Limassol Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

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Apollon Limassol

Away

AI call Difficult Brann win or draw

52%

27%

21%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Brann vs Apollon Limassol prediction: Sportiko gives Brann a 52% chance of winning, Apollon Limassol 21% and the draw 27%. Last updated 5 Aug 2026, 18:55.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
1st Half Over 0.5 71%
Under 3.5 Goals 70%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 22'

▮ 45'

Yellow Card

HT 0–1

Niklas Castro Yellow Card

47' ▮

⇄ 57'

Kristall Máni Ingason ⇄ Niklas Jensen Wassberg

68' ⇄

Noah Jean Holm ⇄ Sævar Atli Magnússon

68' ⇄

⇄ 75'

⇄ Garry Rodrigues

⇄ 75'

▮ 78'

Yellow Card

⇄ 85'

⇄ 86'

Eggert Aron Guðmundsson ⇄ Bård Finne

86' ⇄

Kristian Eriksen Yellow Card

90+2' ▮

FT 0–1

Brann

Match Stats

Apollon Limassol

0% Ball Possession 0%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

1 Shots on Goal 3

3 Shots off Goal 5

4 Blocked Shots 6

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

6 Corner Kicks 4

3 Offsides 0

12 Fouls 10

2 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Brann win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Brann

WWLLD

Apollon Limassol

DDWDL

Last 1 meetings Brann · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League matchup, Brann faces Apollon Limassol. Brann's recent form shows a solid attack with an average of 2 goals per game in their last five matches, while their defense has been sturdy, conceding only 1.2 goals per match. Conversely, Apollon Limassol has struggled defensively, allowing 1.5 goals per game in their last five outings, but they possess a potent offense averaging 1.8 goals. The match could hinge on Brann's ability to exploit defensive lapses from the Cypriot side while maintaining their own defensive solidity. Overall, a closely contested match is expected, with both teams aiming for crucial points in the group stage.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

52%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

21%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Apollon Limassol goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	7	6	2	1
1	7	14	8	4	1
2	7	9	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	1
4	1	2	1
5

↑ Brann goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

27%

Away Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

27%

Away Win

21%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

54% Home (No Draw) 46% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	6.7%	5.5%	2.5%	0.8%
1	7.5%	13.6%	8.0%	3.6%	1.2%
2	6.6%	8.7%	5.8%	2.6%	0.9%
3	3.2%	4.2%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.2%	1.5%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Brann	Draw	Apollon Limassol
Brann	23.4%	4.5%	1.9%
Draw	13.9%	17.3%	11.8%
Apollon Limassol	2.3%	4.7%	20.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Brann vs Apollon Limassol

1 Brann Wins

0 Draws

0 Apollon Limassol Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Aug 2026	Apollon Limassol	2 - 4	Brann

Brann — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Bodo/Glimt	W	2 - 1
16 Sep	A Os	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	A Start	L	2 - 0
05 Sep	H Lillestrom	L	1 - 2
30 Aug	A Sandefjord	D	0 - 0

Apollon Limassol — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Apoel Nicosia	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A Omonia Nicosia	D	0 - 0
05 Sep	H Anorthosis	W	3 - 1
29 Aug	A Aris	D	2 - 2
11 Aug	H Brann	L	2 - 4

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Brann

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: E. Horneland

1 Dyngeland

17 Soltvedt

23 Pedersen

3 Knudsen

21 Roeve

19 Guðmundsson

18 Sørensen

10 Ingason

9 Castro

29 Holm

16 Eriksen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Mathias Dyngeland	G
21	Denzel De Roeve	D
3	Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen	D
23	Thore Pedersen	D
17	Joachim Soltvedt	D
10	Kristall Máni Ingason	M
18	Jacob Lungi Sørensen	M
19	Eggert Aron Guðmundsson	M
16	Kristian Eriksen	M
29	Noah Jean Holm	F
9	Niklas Castro	F

Substitutes

12	Simen Vidtun Nilsen	G
36	Håkon Melås Hellesøy	G
6	Cheick Mbacke Diop	D
20	Vetle Dragsnes	D
25	Niklas Jensen Wassberg	M
32	Markus Haaland	M
11	Bård Finne	F
22	Sævar Atli Magnússon	F
26	Rabbi Matondo	F

Apollon Limassol

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Hernan Losada

22 Kühn

14 Malekkidis

44 Kvida

37 Konomis

76 Gaspar

77 Ljubić

27 Weissbeck

5 Brown

23 Thomas

9 Ožbolt

30 Escriche

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	Philipp Kühn	G
76	Bruno Gaspar	D
37	Leonidas Konomis	D
44	Josef Kvida	D
14	Giorgos Malekkidis	D
5	Morgan Brown	M
27	Gaetan Weissbeck	M
77	Ivan Ljubić	M
30	Dani Escriche	F
9	Alen Ožbolt	F
23	Brandon Thomas	M

Substitutes

4	Emanuel Aiwu	D
41	Peter Leeuwenburgh	G
19	Nearchos Zinonos	D
26	Antreas Shikkis	D
38	Konstantinos Balogiannis	D
10	Garry Rodrigues	M
11	Evangelos Andreou	M
18	Andreas Athanasiou	M
20	Danilo Špoljarić	M
17	Clinton Duodu	M
89	Robertos Rotis	F