SC Braga vs Dinamo Minsk Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

Post on X

Dinamo Minsk

Away

AI call SC Braga to win

76%

15%

Home Win · 1.12 Draw · 10.50 Away Win · 29.00

SC Braga vs Dinamo Minsk prediction: Sportiko gives SC Braga a 76% chance of winning, Dinamo Minsk 9% and the draw 15%. Last updated 6 Aug 2026, 20:24.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
1st Half Over 0.5 71%
Under 3.5 Goals 71% @ 1.80

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Match Report

SC Braga secured a narrow 1–0 victory over Dinamo Minsk in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, with the only goal arriving in first-half stoppage time. Ricardo Horta converted a penalty on the stroke of half-time to give the Portuguese side the advantage they would carry through to the final whistle. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Braga win as the most likely outcome at 76%, a call that proved correct.

The hosts dominated proceedings throughout, controlling 74% of possession and earning nine corner kicks to Minsk's one. Despite that territorial superiority, Braga managed just three shots on target, suggesting Dinamo defended with discipline even as they struggled to create meaningful chances of their own, registering only one shot on goal.

The second half brought a flurry of substitutions from both sides, including the introductions of João Moutinho and Pau Víctor for Braga, though neither side could alter the scoreline. Three yellow cards were distributed across the match, reflecting occasional moments of tension, but Braga ultimately saw out a controlled if unspectacular win to advance in the competition.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 20'

Yellow Card

Ricardo Horta Penalty

45' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

Gabriel Silva ⇄ Diogo Travassos

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

⇄ 62'

▮ 71'

Yellow Card

João Moutinho ⇄ Demir Ege Tıknaz

71' ⇄

Denis Huseinbašić ⇄ Diego Rodrigues

71' ⇄

Pau Víctor ⇄ Fran Navarro

77' ⇄

⇄ 79'

▮ 87'

Yellow Card

FT 1–0

SC Braga

Match Stats

Dinamo Minsk

74% Ball Possession 26%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

3 Shots on Goal 1

5 Shots off Goal 1

3 Blocked Shots 1

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

9 Corner Kicks 1

2 Offsides 0

9 Fouls 12

0 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 0

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence High (76%)

At a glance

Our lean

SC Braga to win

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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SC Braga

WWWDD

Dinamo Minsk

LLWWL

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League clash, SC Braga hosts Dinamo Minsk in a pivotal match. Braga, known for their strong attacking play, will rely on their home form, which has seen them win 70% of their matches in this tournament historically. On the other hand, Dinamo Minsk will aim to exploit any defensive lapses, having scored in 80% of their away games this season. Key players to watch include Braga's top scorer, who has netted 5 goals in the competition, and Minsk's creative midfielder, who leads the team in assists. The outcome will likely hinge on Braga's ability to maintain defensive solidity while maximizing their offensive opportunities.

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: SC Braga leads 1-0. Win probability: 85.7%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 14.3%.

45' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. SC Braga win: 75.3%. BTTS: 45.9%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. SC Braga leads. Win probability: 75.3%. Over 0.5 more goals: 73.3%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

76%

45%

Draw

15%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Dinamo Minsk goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	6	5	2	1
1	8	14	7	3	1
2	7	9	6	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	1	2	1
5		1

↑ SC Braga goals · most likely 1–1 (13.5%)

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Match Result

Home Win

76%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

76%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

59% Home (No Draw) 41% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Home Scores More 29% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	6.3%	4.8%	2.0%	0.6%
1	8.2%	13.6%	7.4%	3.0%	0.9%
2	7.5%	9.2%	5.6%	2.3%	0.7%
3	3.8%	4.7%	2.9%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.5%	1.8%	1.1%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	SC Braga	Draw	Dinamo Minsk
SC Braga	31.0%	6.6%	3.1%
Draw	11.5%	16.9%	13.5%
Dinamo Minsk	1.2%	2.8%	13.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: SC Braga vs Dinamo Minsk

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

SC Braga — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	H Dinamo Minsk	W	1 - 0
30 Jul	H Železničar Pančevo	W	4 - 0
22 Jul	A Železničar Pančevo	W	0 - 1
16 May	H Estrela	D	2 - 2
11 May	A Benfica	D	2 - 2

Dinamo Minsk — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	A SC Braga	L	1 - 0
30 Jul	H Neftchi Baku	L	0 - 1
22 Jul	A Neftchi Baku	W	2 - 4
16 Jul	A Sileks	W	0 - 1
09 Jul	H Sileks	L	0 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

SC Braga

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Carlos Vicens

31 Fontes

44 Bajrami

6 Carvalho

22 Barcia

2 Gómez

23 Huseinbašić

29 Gorby

8 Moutinho

10 Víctor

21 Horta

11 Silva

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	Bernardo Fontes	G
2	Victor Gómez	M
22	Sergio Barcia	D
6	Vítor Carvalho	D
44	Adrian Bajrami	D
8	João Moutinho	M
29	Jean-Baptiste Gorby	M
23	Denis Huseinbašić	M
11	Gabriel Silva	F
21	Ricardo Horta	F
10	Pau Víctor	F

Substitutes

12	Tiago Sá	G
78	Joao Carvalho	G
37	Adrian Leon Barišić	D
14	Gustaf Lagerbielke	D
7	Diogo Travassos	D
26	Bright Arrey-Mbi	D
50	Diego Rodrigues	M
5	Leonardo Lelo	M
77	Gabriel Martínez	M
34	Demir Ege Tıknaz	M
20	Mario Dorgeles	M
9	Fran Navarro	F

Dinamo Minsk

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Aleksandr Shagoyko

1 Shimakovich

24 Vakulich

26 Kalinin

12 Ivanov

44 Gurban

42 Abdullahi

23 Zhechko

8 Selyava

7 Malashevich

80 Gweth

30 Djimet

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Ivan Shimakovich	G
44	Gleb Gurban	D
12	Aleksey Ivanov	D
26	Vladislav Kalinin	D
24	Aleksey Vakulich	D
8	Aleksandr Selyava	M
23	Aleksey Zhechko	M
42	Fawaz Abdullahi	M
30	Moustapha Djimet	F
80	Leonard Chatelin Gweth	F
7	Yevgeniy Malashevich	M

Substitutes

21	Danila Radkevich	G
25	Abdoul Aziz Toure	D
67	Roman Begunov	D
27	Mikhail Aleksandrov	D
3	Maksim Shvetsov	D
2	Matvey Dubatovka	D
78	Artem Sokolovskiy	M
5	Daniil Dushevskiy	M
19	Rayan-Elie Guibero	M
11	Gulzhigit Alykulov	M
10	Karen Vardanyan	F
9	Andrei Lutskovich	F