Borac Banja Luka vs ML Vitebsk Prediction
Borac Banja Luka vs ML Vitebsk prediction: Sportiko gives Borac Banja Luka a 45% chance of winning, ML Vitebsk 27% and the draw 27%. Last updated 6 Aug 2026, 20:28.
Match Report
Borac Banja Luka secured a narrow but crucial 1–0 victory over ML Vitebsk in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, with the decisive moment arriving early. S. Savić broke the deadlock in the 14th minute, giving the Bosnian side a lead they would protect for the remainder of the contest.
The match turned significantly in Borac's favour midway through the first half when Vitebsk's Milad Mohammadi was dismissed. The Iranian defender collected two yellow cards in quick succession — the first in the 21st minute and the second in the 33rd — leaving the Belarusian side to battle with ten men for the majority of the game. Despite that numerical disadvantage, Vitebsk dominated possession at 60% and generated a remarkable 11 shots on goal compared to Borac's two, though they were unable to find an equaliser.
Borac managed the game shrewdly in the second half, deploying a series of substitutions — including the withdrawal of goalscorer Savić in the 78th minute — to see out the result. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Borac win as the most likely outcome at 45%, a call that proved correct.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Borac Banja Luka
Match Stats
Unlock the AI's full read on Borac Banja Luka vs ML Vitebsk
- All 70+ probability markets
- AI Deep-Dive match report
- Value Edge — model vs market
- Live in-play co-pilot
At a glance
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowMatch summary
Live insights
Min 75: Borac Banja Luka leads 1-0. Win probability: 87.2%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 12.8%.
Half-time: 1-0. Borac Banja Luka leads. Win probability: 77.1%. Over 0.5 more goals: 69.3%.
Goal! Score now 1-0. Borac Banja Luka win: 65.3%. BTTS: 68.8%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowYou're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.
Unlock all modelsUnlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowHead to Head: Borac Banja Luka vs ML Vitebsk
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Borac Banja Luka — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | H ML Vitebsk | W | 1 - 0 |
| 30 Jul | A Petrocub | D | 3 - 3 |
| 23 Jul | H Petrocub | W | 3 - 0 |
| 14 Jul | A Levski Sofia | L | 4 - 0 |
| 07 Jul | H Levski Sofia | D | 1 - 1 |
ML Vitebsk — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | A Borac Banja Luka | L | 1 - 0 |
| 30 Jul | A Sutjeska | W | 1 - 2 |
| 23 Jul | H Sutjeska | W | 3 - 0 |
| 15 Jul | A Universitatea Craiova | L | 1 - 0 |
| 08 Jul | H Universitatea Craiova | L | 1 - 4 |
UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
League standings are not available for this competition.
ML Vitebsk
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Mikhail Martinovich
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pavel Pavlyuchenko | G |
| 22 | Yan Skibskiy | M |
| 20 | Zakhar Volkov | D |
| 6 | Kirill Gomanov | D |
| 5 | Milad Mohammadi | D |
| 27 | Aleksandar Mesarović | M |
| 15 | Valeriy Bocherov | M |
| 55 | Valeriy Gromyko | M |
| 80 | Artem Kontsevoy | M |
| 9 | Bassekou Diabaté | F |
| 12 | Radivoj Bosić | M |
Substitutes
| 30 | Pavel Shcherbachenya | G |
| 46 | Daniil Kotov | G |
| 3 | Nikita Baranok | D |
| 45 | Ilya Moskalenchik | D |
| 8 | Silas Gnaka | M |
| 10 | Denilho Cleonise | M |
| 18 | Vladislav Zhuk | M |
| 23 | Sergey Balanovich | M |
| 7 | Timur Ivanov | F |
| 99 | Mark Bulanov | F |
Borac Banja Luka
Formation: 4-2-1-3
Coach: Vinko Marinovic
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 72 | Mladen Jurkas | G |
| 19 | Viktor Rogan | D |
| 24 | Jurich Carolina | D |
| 2 | Bart Meijers | D |
| 16 | Sebastian Herrera | D |
| 18 | Miloš Jojić | M |
| 98 | Sandi Ogrinec | M |
| 89 | Matej Deket | F |
| 11 | Damir Hrelja | M |
| 7 | Luka Juričić | F |
| 77 | Stefan Savić | M |
Substitutes
| 1 | Damjan Siskovski | G |
| 3 | Abel Pascual | D |
| 6 | Siniša Saničanin | D |
| 30 | Nemanja Jakšić | D |
| 10 | David Vuković | M |
| 12 | Amer Hiroš | M |
| 22 | Ivan Kukavica | M |
| 23 | Stojan Vranješ | M |
| 44 | Ante Roguljić | M |
| 47 | Amar Milak | M |
| 14 | Pavle Đajić | F |
| 99 | Daniel Romera | F |