Ajax vs Shelbourne Prediction
Ajax vs Shelbourne prediction: Sportiko gives Ajax a 85% chance of winning, Shelbourne 4% and the draw 11%. Last updated 6 Aug 2026, 19:54.
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Match Report
Ajax eased into the next round of the UEFA Europa Conference League with a commanding 3–1 victory over Shelbourne, a result that our pre-match AI model had rated most likely at 85%. The Dutch side wasted little time in taking control, with Mika Godts converting a penalty inside six minutes before Owen Wijndal doubled the lead with a well-taken effort on 22 minutes, sending the teams into the break with Ajax firmly in command.
The hosts continued where they left off after the interval, with Kasper Dolberg extending the advantage just three minutes into the second half. Godts had the opportunity to add a fourth shortly after but saw his second penalty of the evening saved. The statistics underlined Ajax's dominance throughout — they finished with 71% possession, 14 corner kicks, and 30 total shots compared to Shelbourne's three.
The Irish side did manage a consolation through Daniel Kelly on 84 minutes, but it was little more than a footnote on a difficult evening for Shelbourne, who now face an uphill task in the second leg.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Ajax
Match Stats
Ajax
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Steven Berghuis M | 9.3 | 64' | – | 2 | 6 | 55 (46%) | 1 |
| 17 Daley Blind D | 8.9 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 122 (118%) | 2 |
| 11 Mika Godts M | 8.2 | 77' | 1 | – | 4 | 45 (42%) | – |
| 30 Aaron Bouwman D | 7.7 | 89' | – | – | – | 92 (90%) | – |
| 3 Anton Gaaei D | 7.6 | 89' | – | – | 2 | 57 (54%) | 1 |
| 6 Youri Regeer M | 7.3 | 89' | – | – | – | 110 (105%) | 1 |
| 9 Kasper Dolberg F | 6.9 | 65' | 1 | – | 3 | 18 (14%) | – |
| 26 Maarten Paes G | 6.7 | 89' | – | – | – | 11 (10%) | – |
| 5 Owen Wijndal D | 6.7 | 89' | 1 | – | 2 | 48 (43%) | 2 |
| 18 Davy Klaassen M | 6.7 | 58' | – | – | – | 30 (24%) | 1 |
| 24 Jorthy Mokio M | 6.6 | 31' | – | – | 1 | 9 (7%) | – |
| 8 Julian Brandt M | 6.6 | 24' | – | – | 2 | 22 (20%) | – |
| 10 Oscar Gloukh M | 6.5 | 58' | – | – | 1 | 28 (27%) | – |
| 20 Oliver Valaker Edvardsen F | 6.3 | 25' | – | – | – | 16 (15%) | 1 |
| 7 Maher Carrizo F | 6.2 | 12' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 38 Marcos Leonardo F | 6.2 | 31' | – | – | 2 | 10 (8%) | – |
Shelbourne
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sam Bone D | 8.2 | 89' | – | – | – | 40 (35%) | 5 |
| 19 Eddie Beach G | 7.9 | 89' | – | – | – | 34 (12%) | – |
| 17 Daniel Kelly F | 7.5 | 89' | 1 | – | 1 | 14 (10%) | 2 |
| 22 Sean Moore M | 6.9 | 73' | – | – | – | 9 (6%) | 2 |
| 23 Kerr McInroy M | 6.9 | 80' | – | – | – | 21 (18%) | 3 |
| 14 Ali Coote M | 6.7 | 9' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 20 Rodrigo Freitas F | 6.7 | 16' | – | – | – | 8 (4%) | – |
| 29 Paddy Barrett D | 6.6 | 89' | – | – | – | 37 (31%) | 3 |
| 21 Jack Henry-Francis M | 6.6 | 80' | – | – | – | 36 (28%) | 3 |
| 27 Evan Caffrey M | 6.3 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 15 (9%) | 1 |
| 16 Odhran Casey D | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 4 Kameron Ledwidge D | 6.2 | 89' | – | – | – | 23 (18%) | – |
| 18 James Norris D | 6.2 | 89' | – | – | – | 19 (17%) | 1 |
| 25 Milan Mbeng D | 5.0 | 89' | – | – | – | 19 (16%) | – |
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At a glance
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Live insights
Ajax now leads 3-1 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 17.7%.
Min 84: Ajax leads 3-1. Win probability: 99.9%. Comeback chance: 0.1%.
Min 76: Ajax leads 3-0. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.
Ajax now leads 3-0 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 69.3%.
Half-time: 2-0. Ajax leads. Win probability: 98.2%. Over 0.5 more goals: 75.1%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
O. Gloukh
4 gls
D. Klaassen
2 gls
S. Berghuis
1 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Ajax vs Shelbourne
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Ajax — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | H Shelbourne | W | 3 - 1 |
| 02 Aug | A FC Volendam | W | 1 - 3 |
| 30 Jul | H Vojvodina | W | 4 - 1 |
| 26 Jul | H Burnley | W | 2 - 1 |
| 23 Jul | A Vojvodina | W | 1 - 4 |
Shelbourne — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | A Ajax | L | 3 - 1 |
| 02 Aug | A Waterford | L | 1 - 0 |
| 30 Jul | A Kalju Nomme | L | 2 - 1 |
| 23 Jul | H Kalju Nomme | W | 5 - 2 |
| 07 Jul | H Celtic | D | 1 - 1 |
UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
League standings are not available for this competition.
Ajax
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Michel
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Maarten Paes | G |
| 3 | Anton Gaaei | D |
| 30 | Aaron Bouwman | D |
| 17 | Daley Blind | D |
| 5 | Owen Wijndal | D |
| 6 | Youri Regeer | M |
| 23 | Steven Berghuis | M |
| 18 | Davy Klaassen | M |
| 10 | Oscar Gloukh | M |
| 11 | Mika Godts | M |
| 9 | Kasper Dolberg | F |
Substitutes
| 24 | Jorthy Mokio | M |
| 38 | Marcos Leonardo | F |
| 20 | Oliver Valaker Edvardsen | F |
| 8 | Julian Brandt | M |
| 1 | Marc-André Ter Stegen | G |
| 22 | Joeri Heerkens | G |
| 2 | Lucas Rosa | D |
| 12 | Caio Henrique | D |
| 15 | Youri Baas | D |
| 7 | Maher Carrizo | F |
| 68 | Abdellah Ouazane | M |
| 99 | Tolu Arokodare | F |
Shelbourne
Formation: 5-4-1
Coach: Lorcan Fitzgerald
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Eddie Beach | G |
| 25 | Milan Mbeng | D |
| 15 | Sam Bone | D |
| 29 | Paddy Barrett | D |
| 4 | Kameron Ledwidge | D |
| 18 | James Norris | D |
| 22 | Sean Moore | M |
| 21 | Jack Henry-Francis | M |
| 23 | Kerr McInroy | M |
| 27 | Evan Caffrey | M |
| 17 | Daniel Kelly | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | Murray Johnson | G |
| 73 | Finn Moylan | G |
| 2 | Sean Gannon | D |
| 16 | Odhran Casey | D |
| 55 | James Roche | D |
| 6 | Jonathan Lunney | M |
| 14 | Ali Coote | M |
| 11 | Ademipo Odubeko | F |
| 20 | Rodrigo Freitas | F |
| 36 | Will Jarvis | M |
| 44 | Daniel Ring | F |
| 56 | Joey Ikala Wuna | F |