Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos Prediction
Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos prediction: Sportiko gives Red Bull Salzburg a 26% chance of winning, Pafos 45% and the draw 29%. Last updated 6 Aug 2026, 20:52.
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Premium- Under 3.5 Goals 71% @ 1.42
Match Report
Red Bull Salzburg edged past Pafos 1–0 in the UEFA Europa League third qualifying round, with the decisive moment arriving late in a tight contest. The first half ended goalless, though Salzburg's dominance in possession and territory was already evident, and a yellow card for Pafos's Ken Sema just before the break hinted at the visitors' growing disciplinary struggles.
The second half brought a flurry of substitutions from both sides as the game remained locked, with Salzburg pressing through 12 corner kicks to Pafos's none. Haris Tabaković finally broke the deadlock in the 88th minute with a late winner that settled the tie. Pafos's evening was compounded in stoppage time when Ken Sema received a second yellow card, earning a red, to cap a difficult night for the Cypriot side.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Pafos win as the most likely outcome at 45%, a call that did not materialise. Salzburg's territorial control — 59% possession and a commanding corner count — ultimately told, even if the scoreline remained close until the very end.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Red Bull Salzburg
Match Stats
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Live insights
Late goal makes it 1-0! Red Bull Salzburg win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.
Min 76: Still level at 0-0. Draw looking likely at 68.8%. Late goal chance: 34.4%.
Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 73.2%. Over 1.5 remaining: 41.4%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Red Bull Salzburg — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | H Pafos | W | 1 - 0 |
| 01 Aug | H TSV Hartberg | W | 1 - 0 |
| 25 Jul | A Oberwart | W | 1 - 7 |
| 15 Jul | H Başakşehir | L | 1 - 2 |
| 04 Jul | H Gornik Zabrze | W | 2 - 1 |
Pafos — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | A Red Bull Salzburg | L | 1 - 0 |
| 30 Jul | H HNK Hajduk Split | W | 2 - 0 |
| 23 Jul | A HNK Hajduk Split | L | 2 - 0 |
| 16 Jul | A Slovan Bratislava | L | 3 - 2 |
| 08 Jul | A FK Jablonec | D | 0 - 0 |
UEFA Europa League Standings
League standings are not available for this competition.
Red Bull Salzburg
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Danny Rohl
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 52 | Christian Zawieschitzky | G |
| 18 | Nikolas Veratschnig | D |
| 44 | Kévin Boma | D |
| 47 | Valentin Zabransky | D |
| 31 | Dominik Schmid | D |
| 5 | Soumaïla Diabaté | M |
| 32 | Abubakr Barry | M |
| 20 | Edmund Baidoo | F |
| 30 | Gaoussou Diakite | F |
| 23 | Damir Redzic | M |
| 11 | Yorbe Vertessen | F |
Substitutes
| 15 | Bartosz Mazurek | M |
| 8 | Sota Kitano | M |
| 19 | Karim Konaté | F |
| 9 | Haris Tabaković | F |
| 43 | Enrique Aguilar | F |
| 41 | Nikola Sarcevic | G |
| 4 | John Mellberg | D |
| 13 | Frans Krätzig | D |
| 21 | Tim Drexler | D |
| 39 | Leandro Morgalla | D |
| 14 | Maurits Kjaergaard | M |
| 33 | Aboubacar Camara | F |
Pafos
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: Albert Celades
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 99 | Radosław Majecki | G |
| 5 | David Goldar | D |
| 4 | David Luiz | D |
| 14 | Nikolas Ioannou | D |
| 8 | Domingos Quina | M |
| 50 | Alexandre Brito | M |
| 26 | Ivan Šunjić | M |
| 6 | Guga | M |
| 20 | Biel | F |
| 18 | Lelê | F |
| 30 | Vlad Dragomir | M |
Substitutes
| 12 | Ken Sema | M |
| 71 | Michalis Papastylianou | G |
| 82 | Petros Petrou | G |
| 7 | Bruno | D |
| 61 | Melinos Kais | D |
| 72 | Kosmas Ioannou | D |
| 13 | Nicolas Moumie Ngamaleu | M |
| 42 | Georgios Michael | M |
| 88 | Pêpê | M |
| 47 | Murad Mammadov | F |
| 60 | Christos Evzona | - |