Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia Prediction

UEFA Europa League · 3rd Qualifying Round

Post on X

CSKA Sofia

Away

AI call Maccabi Tel Aviv or draw

37%

28%

35%

Home Win · 2.01 Draw · 3.45 Away Win · 4.35

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia prediction: Sportiko gives Maccabi Tel Aviv a 37% chance of winning, CSKA Sofia 35% and the draw 28%. Last updated 6 Aug 2026, 17:55.

Match Report

CSKA Sofia produced a commanding away performance to eliminate Maccabi Tel Aviv from the UEFA Europa League third qualifying round, winning 3–0 in a result that was never seriously in doubt.

The Bulgarian side took control early, scoring in the ninth minute before doubling their advantage in the 29th, leaving the hosts with a mountain to climb at the break. Maccabi struggled to create meaningful chances throughout, managing just two shots on goal compared to CSKA's seven, and a series of yellow cards — six in total across both sides — reflected an increasingly frustrated home team unable to find a way back into the contest.

Both managers turned to their benches heavily in the second half, with multiple substitutions on either side, but it was CSKA who had the final say, adding a third goal deep in stoppage time to seal a thoroughly deserved victory. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Maccabi win as the most likely outcome at 37%, a call that proved well wide of the mark as Sofia advance to the next round.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 9'

▮ 18'

Yellow Card

⚽ 0–2 29'

Yellow Card

31' ▮

Yellow Card

43' ▮

HT 0–2

46' ⇄

▮ 54'

Yellow Card

⇄ 66'

66' ⇄

Hélio Varela

77' ⇄

⇄ 78'

▮ 85'

Yellow Card

86' ▮

⚽ 0–3 90'

▮ 90+4'

Yellow Card

FT 0–3

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Match Stats

CSKA Sofia

49% Ball Possession 51%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

2 Shots on Goal 7

4 Shots off Goal 2

0 Blocked Shots 6

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

2 Corner Kicks 2

1 Offsides 0

21 Fouls 17

3 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 0

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Live in-play co-pilot

Go Premium

Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Our lean

Maccabi Tel Aviv or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Maccabi Tel Aviv

LWWWL

CSKA Sofia

WWDWD

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa League clash, Maccabi Tel Aviv faces CSKA Sofia. Maccabi Tel Aviv has shown a strong home record in recent seasons, leveraging their attacking prowess, averaging 2.1 goals per match at home. Conversely, CSKA Sofia's away form has been more inconsistent, with a 1.4 goals per match average in their last five away fixtures. The match will likely hinge on Maccabi's ability to control the game and exploit defensive gaps in CSKA's lineup. Defensive solidity from CSKA will be critical to mitigate Maccabi's offensive threats.

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

CSKA Sofia now leads 0-3 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

77' time check 80% sure

Min 77: CSKA Sofia leads 0-2. Win probability: 99.2%. Comeback chance: 0.8%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-2. CSKA Sofia leads. Win probability: 95.3%. Over 0.5 more goals: 72.7%.

31' Goal 85% sure

CSKA Sofia now leads 0-2 with 93.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 81.4%.

10' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. CSKA Sofia win: 78.4%. BTTS: 60%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

37%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

35%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

CSKA Sofia goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	10	9	5	2	1
1	5	13	10	5	2	1
2	4	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ Maccabi Tel Aviv goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

35%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

35%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

70% Away (No Draw) 30% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

51% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 22% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	9.8%	9.5%	5.3%	2.2%
1	5.4%	13.1%	9.8%	5.5%	2.3%
2	3.6%	6.0%	5.0%	2.8%	1.2%
3	1.2%	2.1%	1.7%	1.0%	0.4%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Maccabi Tel Aviv	Draw	CSKA Sofia
Maccabi Tel Aviv	11.3%	3.7%	2.2%
Draw	9.5%	17.0%	17.4%
CSKA Sofia	1.7%	4.6%	32.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

32%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Maccabi Tel Aviv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	H CSKA Sofia	L	0 - 3
30 Jul	H Sheriff Tiraspol	W	1 - 0
23 Jul	A Sheriff Tiraspol	W	0 - 5
16 Jul	A Hapoel Beer Sheva	W	1 - 3
03 Jul	A IMT Novi Beograd	L	1 - 0

CSKA Sofia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	A Maccabi Tel Aviv	W	0 - 3
02 Aug	H Dunav Ruse	W	2 - 1
30 Jul	H Qarabag	D	0 - 0
27 Jul	H Botev Plovdiv	W	3 - 2
23 Jul	A Qarabag	D	0 - 0

UEFA Europa League Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Kenny Miller

22 Melika

25 Rosen

13 Shlomo

5 Camara

41 Hamo

36 Shahar

30 Noy

29 Varela

42 Peretz

28 Sissokho

34 Farchi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	Ofek Melika	G
41	Itai Ben Hamo	D
5	Mohamed Camara	D
13	Raz Shlomo	D
25	Shahar Rosen	D
30	Itamar Noy	M
36	Ido Shahar	M
28	Issouf Sissokho	M
42	Dor Peretz	M
29	Hélio Varela	M
34	Saied Abu Farchi	F

Substitutes

6	Tyrese Asante	D
21	Noam Ben Harosh	D
77	Osher Davida	M
9	Ester Sokler	F
90	Roi Mishpati	G
24	Noam Schwartz	D
10	Kervin Andrade	M
18	Dan Glazer	M
59	Lotem Asres	M
60	Ilay Ben Simon	M
19	Elad Madmon	F
23	Ori Azo	F

CSKA Sofia

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Hristo Yanev

21 Lapoukhov

17 Martino

32 Rodríguez

14 Ivanov

2 Pastor

8 Sensi

6 Jordão

7 Ebong

28 Pittas

9 Godoy

5 Gbamin

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
21	Fedor Lapoukhov	G
2	Pastor	D
14	Teodor Ivanov	D
32	Facundo Rodríguez	D
17	Ángelo Martino	D
7	Max Ebong	M
6	Bruno Jordão	M
8	Stefano Sensi	M
5	Jean-Philippe Gbamin	D
9	Leandro Godoy	F
28	Ioannis Pittas	F

Substitutes

99	James Eto'o	M
10	Joël Zwarts	F
25	Dimitar Evtimov	G
19	Andrey Yordanov	D
91	Aleks Tunchev	D
11	Mohamed Amine Brahimi	M
30	Petko Panayotov	M
34	Vasil Kaymakanov	M
38	Léo Pereira	M
77	Alejandro Piedrahita	M
80	Georgi Chorbadzhiyski	M
94	Isaac Solet	M