Benfica vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction

UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League · 3rd Qualifying Round
FT
Post on X
AI call Benfica to win
81%
13%
6%
Home Win · 1.14 Draw · 10.25 Away Win · 22.00

Benfica vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction: Sportiko gives Benfica a 81% chance of winning, Heart Of Midlothian 6% and the draw 13%. Last updated 6 Aug 2026, 20:53.

Match Report

Benfica dismantled Heart of Midlothian 6–1 at the Estádio da Luz to advance comfortably in the UEFA Europa League third qualifying round, with the tie effectively settled well before the interval. Rafa Silva opened the scoring inside three minutes, Tomás Araújo doubled the lead on 23 minutes, and a Vangelis Pavlidis penalty just before half-time made it 3–0, though the Greek striker had a second effort disallowed for offside by VAR moments later.

The second half brought little respite for Hearts. Gianluca Prestianni added a fourth on 59 minutes before Tom Renaud pulled one back for the visitors on 72 minutes — a rare bright moment for the Scottish side, who managed just two shots on goal across the entire match compared to Benfica's eleven. Jhon Durán and Andreas Schjelderup, the latter from the penalty spot in stoppage time, completed the rout. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Benfica win at 81%, a call that proved well-founded.

Benfica's dominance was reflected throughout, with 67 percent possession and six corner kicks underlining their control. Hearts, who picked up four yellow cards, face a significant deficit heading into the second leg.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Rafa Silva assist: Leandro Barreiro
3' 1–0
Tomás Araújo assist: Georgiy Sudakov
23' 2–0
Gianluca Prestianni Yellow Card
33'
41'
Laurent Mendy Yellow Card
Vangelis Pavlidis Penalty
42' 3–0
Vangelis Pavlidis Goal Disallowed - offside
45' 🖵
HT 3–0
46'
Laurent Mendy ⇄ Tom Renaud
46'
Harry Milne ⇄ Jamie McCart
Gianluca Prestianni
59' 4–0
64'
Pierre Landry Kaboré ⇄ Severin Sabri Guendouz
Vangelis Pavlidis ⇄ Jhon Durán
65'
Enzo Barrenechea ⇄ Richard Ríos
65'
Georgiy Sudakov ⇄ Andreas Schjelderup
65'
70'
Blair Spittal Yellow Card
4–1 72'
Tom Renaud assist: Severin Sabri Guendouz
Clément Lenglet ⇄ Manuel Silva
73'
73'
Calvin Miller ⇄ Josh McPake
Alexander Bah Yellow Card
79'
85'
Oisin McEntee Yellow Card
Gianluca Prestianni ⇄ Jakub Kamiński
85'
86'
Alexandros Kyziridis ⇄ Sabah Kerjota
Jhon Durán assist: Andreas Schjelderup
87' 5–1
89'
Cláudio Braga Yellow Card
Andreas Schjelderup Penalty
90+3' 6–1
FT 6–1
Benfica

Match Stats

Heart Of Midlothian
67% Ball Possession 33%
Expected Goals (xG)
Total Shots
11 Shots on Goal 2
7 Shots off Goal 5
5 Blocked Shots 3
Shots insidebox
Shots outsidebox
6 Corner Kicks 2
2 Offsides 2
12 Fouls 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
Goalkeeper Saves
Total passes
Passes accurate
Passes %
goals_prevented
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Confidence High (81%)

At a glance

Our lean
Benfica to win
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Benfica
WWWLW
Heart Of Midlothian
LLLLW

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa League clash, Benfica faces Heart of Midlothian. Benfica has a strong historical performance in European competitions, marked by their attacking prowess, averaging 2.1 goals per match in their last season. Heart of Midlothian, while competitive domestically, may struggle against Benfica’s higher-quality squad and tactical discipline. Defensively, Benfica has shown resilience, conceding less than one goal per match on average. This match will test Heart of Midlothian's ability to maintain defensive solidity while capitalizing on counter-attacking opportunities.

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

Benfica now leads 6-1 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

89' Goal 85% sure

Benfica now leads 5-1 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Benfica leads 4-1. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

73' Goal 85% sure

Benfica now leads 4-1 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 41.4%.

59' Goal 85% sure

Benfica now leads 4-0 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 61.9%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Head to Head: Benfica vs Heart Of Midlothian

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Benfica — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Aug H Heart Of Midlothian W 6 - 1
30 Jul H FC ST. Gallen W 5 - 0
24 Jul H CF Os Belenenses W 5 - 1
23 Jul A FC ST. Gallen L 2 - 1
16 May A Estoril W 1 - 3

Heart Of Midlothian — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Aug A Benfica L 6 - 1
01 Aug A Aberdeen L 2 - 1
28 Jul H Sturm Graz L 0 - 2
21 Jul A Sturm Graz L 4 - 0
11 Apr H Motherwell W 3 - 1

UEFA Europa League Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Benfica

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Marco Silva
24 Soares
26 Dahl
2 Lenglet
44 Araújo
6 Bah
5 Barrenechea
18 Barreiro
27 Silva
10 Sudakov
25 Prestianni
14 Pavlidis

Starting XI

# Player Pos
24 Samuel Soares G
6 Alexander Bah D
44 Tomás Araújo D
2 Clément Lenglet D
26 Samuel Dahl D
18 Leandro Barreiro M
5 Enzo Barrenechea M
25 Gianluca Prestianni M
10 Georgiy Sudakov M
27 Rafa Silva M
14 Vangelis Pavlidis F

Substitutes

20 Richard Ríos M
21 Andreas Schjelderup M
22 Jhon Durán F
16 Manu Silva M
1 Anatoliy Trubin G
33 Gabriel Indio D
17 Amar Dedić D
62 José Neto D
13 Jakub Kamiński M
11 Dodi Lukebakio M
73 Miguel Figueiredo M
72 Anísio Cabral F

Heart Of Midlothian

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Wouter Vrancken
1 Reus
18 Milne
17 Findlay
6 McEntee
23 Altena
89 Kyziridis
16 Spittal
78 Mendy
7 Miller
11 Kaboré
10 Braga

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Beau Reus G
23 Jordi Altena D
6 Oisin McEntee D
17 Stuart Findlay D
18 Harry Milne D
7 Calvin Miller M
78 Laurent Mendy M
16 Blair Spittal M
89 Alexandros Kyziridis M
10 Cláudio Braga F
11 Pierre Landry Kaboré F

Substitutes

5 Jamie McCart D
12 Tom Renaud M
19 Severin Sabri Guendouz F
15 Josh McPake M
28 Zander Clark G
30 Ryan Fulton G
24 MJ Kamson-Kamara D
22 Tomas Magnusson M
39 Matthew Gillies M
21 James Wilson F
29 Sabah Kerjota F
77 Amadou Ba-Sy F

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