Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Omonia Nicosia Prediction

UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League · 3rd Qualifying Round
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AI call Difficult Omonia Nicosia win or draw
19%
27%
54%
Home Win · 5.97 Draw · 4.40 Away Win · 1.57

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Omonia Nicosia prediction: Sportiko gives Lincoln Red Imps FC a 19% chance of winning, Omonia Nicosia 54% and the draw 27%. Last updated 6 Aug 2026, 18:57.

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Match Report

Lincoln Red Imps FC and Omonia Nicosia played out a tense 1–1 draw in Gibraltar in the UEFA Europa League third qualifying round, with the match coming to life only in the final quarter of an hour after a goalless first half. Omonia, who held 56% possession throughout, edged the shot count four to two on target, and our pre-match AI model had rated a Nicosia win as the most likely outcome at 54%.

The decisive action arrived late, with an unnamed scorer breaking the deadlock at the 71-minute mark to give one side the lead. Lincoln then struck back in dramatic fashion through Panagiotis Andreou deep into stoppage time at 90+3', rescuing an equaliser that will keep the tie alive heading into the second leg. Mateo Marić had picked up a yellow card as early as the 40th minute, and the closing stages grew increasingly fractious, with a flurry of bookings — including one for Jure Balkovec in the 90th minute — reflecting the tension on the night.

Lincoln's seven corner kicks underlined their threat from set pieces, and the late leveller ensures this tie remains wide open.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

40'
Mateo Marić Yellow Card
HT 0–0
63'
⇄ Muamer Tanković
63'
⇄ Angelos Neophytou
Yellow Card
66'
Yellow Card
67'
71' 1–0
73'
77'
80'
⇄ Anastasios Chatzigiovanis
Yellow Card
81'
85'
85'
Yellow Card
90'
1–1 90+3'
Panagiotis Andreou
Yellow Card
90+5'
90+5'
Jure Balkovec Yellow Card
FT 1–1
Lincoln Red Imps FC

Match Stats

Omonia Nicosia
44% Ball Possession 56%
Expected Goals (xG)
Total Shots
2 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked Shots 5
Shots insidebox
Shots outsidebox
7 Corner Kicks 2
0 Offsides 3
25 Fouls 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
Goalkeeper Saves
Total passes
Passes accurate
Passes %
goals_prevented
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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Omonia Nicosia win or draw
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Lincoln Red Imps FC
DDLDW
Omonia Nicosia
DLWDL

Match summary

In the upcoming UEFA Europa League clash, Lincoln Red Imps FC will face Omonia Nicosia. Historically, Lincoln Red Imps have struggled against higher-tier teams in European competitions, while Omonia Nicosia boasts a stronger squad with more experience on this stage. Key players for Omonia, such as their leading goal scorer, could exploit Lincoln's defensive vulnerabilities. Expect Omonia Nicosia to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities, making them favorites for this matchup.

Live insights

90' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Lincoln Red Imps FC leads 1-0. Win probability: 83.7%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 16.3%.

71' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Lincoln Red Imps FC win: 79.8%. BTTS: 25.4%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 70%. Over 1.5 remaining: 37.2%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Omonia Nicosia

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Lincoln Red Imps FC — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Aug H Omonia Nicosia D 1 - 1
28 Jul H Mjallby AIF D 0 - 0
21 Jul A Mjallby AIF L 3 - 0
14 Jul A Inter Club d'Escaldes D 1 - 1
07 Jul H Inter Club d'Escaldes W 3 - 1

Omonia Nicosia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Aug A Lincoln Red Imps FC D 1 - 1
29 Jul A Kairat Almaty L 1 - 0
22 Jul H Kairat Almaty W 1 - 0
09 Jul A Korona Kielce D 0 - 0
05 Jul H Hapoel Beer Sheva L 0 - 1

UEFA Europa League Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lincoln Red Imps FC

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Juan Bezares
13 Hankins
66 Eersteling
3 Rutjens
6 Lopes
5 Cardozo
23 Joe
4 Pinto
32 Alvarez
19 Idrissi
44 Toledano
99 Ghobashy

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 Jaylan Hankins G
5 Gabri Cardozo D
6 Bernardo Lopes D
3 Christian Rutjens D
66 Julliani Eersteling D
23 Joe M
44 Manuel Toledano F
19 Yussef Flalhi Idrissi F
32 Facundo Alvarez F
4 Nico Pinto M
99 Ayman El Ghobashy F

Substitutes

27 Mark Hamm G
1 Nauzet Garcia G
2 Ethan Jolley D
20 Ethan Britto D
10 Álex Mula M
22 Graeme Torrilla M
16 Leon Mason M
21 Nano M
9 Kike Gómez F

Omonia Nicosia

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Henning Berg
40 Fabiano
29 Balkovec
30 Panagiotou
27 Simic
82 Christou
14 Marić
11 Costa
74 Andreou
7 Montnor
99 Diony
21 Mayambela

Starting XI

# Player Pos
40 Fabiano G
82 Andreas Christou M
27 Stefan Simic D
30 Nikolas Panagiotou D
29 Jure Balkovec D
74 Panagiotis Andreou M
11 Ewandro Costa M
14 Mateo Marić M
21 Mihlali Mayambela M
99 Loïs Diony F
7 Jaden Montnor M

Substitutes

22 Muamer Tanković M
85 Angelos Neophytou F
23 Francis Uzoho G
78 Pantelis Michail G
90 Christos Konstantinidis D
92 Christoforou Panagiotis D
94 Theos Ignatios Kazakaios D
10 Tasos Chatzigiovanis M
31 Ioannis Kousoulos M
88 Chrysis Evangelou F
91 Konstantinos Panagi F

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