Larne vs Saburtalo Prediction

UEFA Europa League · 3rd Qualifying Round

Post on X

Saburtalo

Away

AI call Saburtalo or draw

32%

29%

38%

Home Win · 3.40 Draw · 3.35 Away Win · 2.30

Larne vs Saburtalo prediction: Sportiko gives Larne a 32% chance of winning, Saburtalo 38% and the draw 29%. Last updated 4 Aug 2026, 20:51.

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Over 1.5 Goals 74% @ 1.37
2nd Half Over 0.5 73%

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Timeline

T. Cosgrove Yellow Card

11' ▮

C. Gallagher Yellow Card

45' ▮

HT 0–0

⇄ 59'

⇄ J. McEneff

65' ⇄

⇄ P. O'Neill

65' ⇄

▮ 66'

Yellow Card

M. Lusty

75' ⇄

⇄ J. Simpson

75' ⇄

⇄ 78'

FT 0–0

Larne

Match Stats

Saburtalo

Ball Possession

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Shots off Goal

Blocked Shots

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

2 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Our lean

Saburtalo or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Larne

DLLWW

Saburtalo

DDWLD

Match summary

In the upcoming UEFA Europa League match, Larne faces Saburtalo, both teams looking to secure crucial points in their group. Larne has shown defensive solidity in their recent matches, conceding only 0.8 goals per game, while Saburtalo’s attacking line averages 1.5 goals per match. The key battle will be Larne's defense against Saburtalo's forward line, with both teams needing to capitalize on set pieces to gain an edge. Given their performance trends, this match is likely to be closely contested.

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 0-0. Draw looking likely at 69.1%. Late goal chance: 34.2%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 70.6%. Over 1.5 remaining: 37.9%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Saburtalo goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	8	6	2	1
1	9	14	8	3	1
2	7	8	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Larne goals · most likely 1–1 (14.4%)

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

32%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

32%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

53% Home (No Draw) 47% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	8.0%	5.9%	2.4%	0.8%
1	8.7%	14.4%	7.8%	3.2%	1.0%
2	6.8%	8.4%	5.2%	2.1%	0.7%
3	3.0%	3.7%	2.3%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.0%	1.2%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Larne	Draw	Saburtalo
Larne	22.1%	4.4%	1.8%
Draw	14.0%	18.9%	12.4%
Saburtalo	2.0%	4.6%	19.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Larne vs Saburtalo

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Larne — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Aug	H Saburtalo	D	0 - 0
29 Jul	A FK Crvena Zvezda	L	5 - 0
21 Jul	H FK Crvena Zvezda	L	0 - 4
14 Jul	H Tre Fiori	W	2 - 1
07 Jul	A Tre Fiori	W	0 - 1

Saburtalo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Aug	A Larne	D	0 - 0
29 Jul	A Slovan Bratislava	D	1 - 1
24 Jul	A Margveti 2006	W	1 - 3
21 Jul	H Slovan Bratislava	L	0 - 2
14 Jul	H Flora Tallinn	D	2 - 2

UEFA Europa League Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Saburtalo

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Andriy Demchenko

31 Makaridze

5 Jinjolava

25 Amisulashvili

4 Selimović

40 Kobuladze

27 Kutsia

6 Dadiani

8 Kardava

11 Bartishvili

19 Sikharulashvili

10 Natchkebia

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	Giorgi Makaridze	G
40	Giorgi Kobuladze	D
4	Vahid Selimović	D
25	Aleksandre Amisulashvili	D
5	Jemali Giorgi Jinjolava	D
8	Bakar Kardava	M
6	Nikoloz Dadiani	M
27	Giorgi Kutsia	M
10	Zviad Natchkebia	M
19	Nika Sikharulashvili	M
11	Andria Bartishvili	M

Substitutes

9	Amiran Dzagania	F
1	Tornike Megrelishvili	G
30	Nikoloz Bochorishvili	D
39	Giorgi Chanturia	D
14	Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan	M
23	Eldar Kuliiev	M
17	Stephen Ende	F
29	Lado Chikhradze	F

Larne

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Gary Haveron

1 Ferguson

4 Donnelly

3 Ridley

26 Bent

23 Cosgrove

11 Graham

6 Gallagher

15 Doherty

30 Lusty

45 Gibson

25 Sloan

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Rohan Ferguson	G
23	Tomas Cosgrove	D
26	Dan Bent	M
3	Matt Ridley	D
4	Aaron Donnelly	D
15	Ronan Doherty	M
6	Chris Gallagher	M
11	Sean Graham	D
25	Dylan Sloan	M
45	Montel Gibson	F
30	Matthew Lusty	F

Substitutes

22	Jordan McEneff	M
9	Paul O'Neill	F
47	James Simpson	M
19	Kevin O'Hara	F
16	Jacob Carney	G
2	Logan Wallace	D
7	Conor McKendry	M
17	Joshua Ukek	M
14	Benji Magee	M