Tre Fiori vs Drita Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

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Drita

Away

AI call Drita to win

14%

22%

64%

Home Win · 10.75 Draw · 5.28 Away Win · 1.34

Tre Fiori vs Drita prediction: Sportiko gives Tre Fiori a 14% chance of winning, Drita 64% and the draw 22%. Last updated 6 Aug 2026, 20:56.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 73%

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Match Report

Tre Fiori vs Drita ended 1–4 to the Kosovan side in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, though the scoreline was goalless at the break. The San Marinese hosts dominated possession at 67% and created the greater volume of chances, registering nine shots on target to Drita's two, but could not convert in the opening half.

The second half told a very different story. Drita struck three times in quick succession between the 56th and 63rd minutes to seize control of the tie, with R. Ovouka adding his name to the scoresheet in that burst. Besnik Krasniqi then put the result beyond doubt, netting in the 82nd minute before converting a penalty deep into stoppage time to complete a 4–1 victory. Tre Fiori managed a consolation of their own, but it was scant reward for their territorial dominance.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Drita win as the most likely outcome at 64%, a call that proved well-founded. Despite Tre Fiori's nine corners and superior possession, clinical finishing from the visitors was the decisive factor on the night.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0

F. Benedettini

46' ⇄

56' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 59'

⇄ L. Balaj

⚽ 1–1 61'

R. Ovouka

⚽ 1–2 63'

assist: K. Abazaj

69' ⇄

⇄ 77'

K. Abazaj ⇄ B. Sheji

80' ⇄

⚽ 1–3 82'

Besnik Krasniqi assist: V. Limaj

⇄ 88'

A. Dabiqaj ⇄ R. Broja

⚽ 1–4 90+3'

Besnik Krasniqi Penalty

FT 1–4

Tre Fiori

Match Stats

Drita

33% Ball Possession 67%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

2 Shots on Goal 9

3 Shots off Goal 8

0 Blocked Shots 2

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

0 Corner Kicks 9

0 Offsides 0

18 Fouls 16

0 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Medium (64%)

At a glance

Our lean

Drita to win

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Tre Fiori

LLLLD

Drita

WWDLD

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League matchup, Tre Fiori faces Drita on August 6, 2026. Tre Fiori will look to leverage their attacking prowess, having averaged 1.8 goals per match in their recent league games. Meanwhile, Drita has demonstrated a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.9 goals per match in their last five outings. Both teams have shown inconsistency in form, making this encounter unpredictable. Key battles in midfield will likely determine the outcome, as both squads aim to establish control early in the match.

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

Drita now leads 1-4 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

84' Goal 85% sure

Drita now leads 1-3 with 99.8% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 15.2%.

84' time check 80% sure

Min 84: Drita leads 1-3. Win probability: 99.8%. Comeback chance: 0.2%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Drita leads 1-2. Win probability: 87%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 13%.

64' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. Drita win: 81.8%. BTTS: 100%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Drita goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	10	8	4	1
1	7	14	9	4	1
2	5	7	5	2	1
3	2	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ Tre Fiori goals · most likely 1–1 (14.4%)

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Match Result

Away Win

64%

Draw

22%

Home Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

64%

Draw

22%

Home Win

14%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

61% Away (No Draw) 39% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Away Win by 2+ 11% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 27% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.1%	10.1%	8.2%	3.9%	1.4%
1	7.4%	14.4%	8.9%	4.2%	1.5%
2	4.9%	6.9%	4.8%	2.2%	0.8%
3	1.8%	2.5%	1.7%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.5%	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Tre Fiori	Draw	Drita
Tre Fiori	19.1%	6.2%	3.3%
Draw	8.5%	18.9%	18.8%
Drita	0.8%	2.9%	21.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Tre Fiori vs Drita

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Tre Fiori — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	H Drita	L	1 - 4
29 Jul	H Forli	L	1 - 3
14 Jul	A Larne	L	2 - 1
07 Jul	H Larne	L	0 - 1
22 Mar	H La Fiorita	D	0 - 0

Drita — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	A Tre Fiori	W	1 - 4
28 Jul	H Floriana	W	2 - 1
21 Jul	A Floriana	D	1 - 1
14 Jul	H Kauno Žalgiris	L	2 - 3
07 Jul	A Kauno Žalgiris	D	1 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Drita

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Zekirija Ramadani

1 Maloku

26 Ovouka

32 Pëllumbi

25 Bytyçi

2 Krasniqi

8 Limaj

14 Dabiqaj

7 Jashari

19 Krasniqi

77 Abazaj

9 Manaj

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Faton Maloku	G
2	Besnik Krasniqi	D
25	Altin Bytyçi	D
32	Jorgo Pëllumbi	D
26	Raddy Ovouka	D
14	Albert Dabiqaj	M
8	Vesel Limaj	M
77	Kristal Abazaj	M
19	Blerim Krasniqi	F
7	Igball Jashari	M
9	Arb Manaj	F

Substitutes

10	Liridon Balaj	M
22	Laurit Behluli	G
74	Eron Isufi	G
28	Agan Mjaki	D
55	Hajdin Salihu	D
3	Blerton Sheji	D
99	Mike Arthur	M
24	William Baeten	M
4	Rron Broja	M
93	Kemelho Nguena	M
17	Oniks Grezda	F

Tre Fiori

Formation: 4-5-1 Coach: Matteo Cecchetti

17 Nardi

3 Sancisi

23 Sirri

6 Syku

2 D'Addario

24 Mengucci

20 Benedettini

4 Sami

8 Censoni

22 Mancini

9 Prandelli

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
17	Michele Nardi	G
2	Alessandro D'Addario	D
6	Tom Syku	D
23	Alex Sirri	D
3	Mattia Sancisi	D
22	Filippo Mancini	F
8	Luca Censoni	M
4	Brando Sami	M
20	Federico Benedettini	M
24	Pietro Mengucci	D
9	Matteo Prandelli	F

Substitutes

11	Joas van Nek	F
33	Michele Berardi	G
18	Massimo Francioni	G
12	Federico Pesaresi	D
77	Mario Ferri	D
72	Simone Giocondi	D
16	Federico Dolcini	M