Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction

Premier Division · Regular Season - 30

04 Sep 2026, 18:45

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Dundalk

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18:45

04 Sep 2026

St Patrick's Athl.

Away

Oriel Park, Dundalk

AI call St Patrick's Athl. or draw

27%

29%

43%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl. prediction: Sportiko gives Dundalk a 27% chance of winning, St Patrick's Athl. 43% and the draw 29%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 17:29.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Dundalk

LDDLL

St Patrick's Athl.

DDLDW

Last 2 meetings Dundalk · 0W 1D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

St Patrick's Athl. goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	9	8	4	1
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	5	7	5	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Dundalk goals · most likely 1–1 (14.0%)

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Players in form

Dundalk

D. Horgan 8 gls

G. Arubi 7 gls

St Patrick's Athl.

R. Edmondson 8 gls

K. Leavy 6 gls

A. Keena 6 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Draw

29%

Home Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Draw

29%

Home Win

27%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

61% Away (No Draw) 39% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Away Win by 2+ 11% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 27% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.2%	9.5%	8.2%	4.0%	1.5%
1	6.8%	14.0%	9.1%	4.5%	1.6%
2	4.7%	7.0%	5.1%	2.5%	0.9%
3	1.8%	2.6%	1.9%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.5%	0.7%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Dundalk	Draw	St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk	17.9%	5.6%	3.1%
Draw	9.2%	18.2%	18.1%
St Patrick's Athl.	1.1%	3.4%	23.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl.

0 Dundalk Wins

1 Draws

1 St Patrick's Athl. Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 Jul 2026	St Patrick's Athl.	1 - 1	Dundalk
27 Feb 2026	St Patrick's Athl.	4 - 0	Dundalk

Dundalk — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	A Shamrock Rovers	L	3 - 2
31 Jul	H Sligo Rovers	D	1 - 1
24 Jul	A St Patrick's Athl.	D	1 - 1
10 Jul	H Drogheda United	L	1 - 2
03 Jul	A Shelbourne	L	2 - 1

St Patrick's Athl. — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	H Derry City	D	1 - 1
24 Jul	H Dundalk	D	1 - 1
14 Jul	A Doncaster	L	4 - 2
10 Jul	A Waterford	D	1 - 1
03 Jul	H Galway United	W	3 - 0

Premier Division Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	27	16	6	5	43	24	+19	54
2	St Patrick's Athl.	26	12	8	6	41	22	+19	44
3	Bohemians	26	12	8	6	41	28	+13	44
4	Dundalk	27	9	10	8	42	41	+1	37
5	Shelbourne	25	8	10	7	35	36	-1	34
6	Derry City	27	7	12	8	35	32	+3	33
7	Galway United	26	7	9	10	33	40	-7	30
8	Drogheda United	27	6	10	11	31	43	-12	28
9	Waterford	26	5	10	11	34	47	-13	25
10	Sligo Rovers	27	5	7	15	23	45	-22	22

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.