Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction
FT
AI call
Shamrock Rovers or draw
32%
29%
40%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers prediction: Sportiko gives Derry City a 32% chance of winning, Shamrock Rovers 40% and the draw 29%. Last updated 30 Aug 2026, 16:57.
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Timeline
Ellis Chapman
assist: Michael Duffy
2'
⚽
1–0
Patrick McClean
Yellow Card
6'
▮
Michael Duffy
assist: Darragh Burns
16'
⚽
2–0
▮
18'
Michael Noonan
Yellow Card
Jamie Stott
Yellow Card
24'
▮
⚽
2–1
28'
Michael Noonan
assist: Graham Burke
Ellis Chapman
assist: Michael Duffy
33'
⚽
3–1
▮
44'
Adam Matthews
Yellow Card
HT 3–1
▮
50'
Cory O'Sullivan
Yellow Card
Ellis Chapman
⇄ James Olayinka
64'
⇄
⇄
69'
⇄ William Fitzgerald
⇄
69'
Adam Matthews
⇄ Jake Mulraney
⚽
3–2
72'
Graham Burke
assist: William Fitzgerald
⇄
78'
Jack Byrne
⇄ Dylan Watts
⇄
79'
Adam Brennan
⇄ John McGovern
Nick Twisk
⇄ Cameron Dummigan
79'
⇄
Darragh Burns
⇄ Barry Cotter
79'
⇄
⚽
3–3
80'
Dylan Watts
assist: William Fitzgerald
⇄
86'
Jake Mulraney
⇄ Dan Cleary
▮
88'
William Fitzgerald
Yellow Card
Tyler Smith
⇄ Michael McColgan
90+5'
⇄
FT 3–3
Derry City
Match Stats
Shamrock Rovers
45%
Ball Possession
55%
1.07
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
15
Total Shots
5
7
Shots on Goal
4
6
Shots off Goal
1
2
Blocked Shots
0
9
Shots insidebox
3
6
Shots outsidebox
2
3
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
4
Red Cards
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
392
Total passes
477
300
Passes accurate
389
77%
Passes %
82%
-1.66
goals_prevented
-1.66
Derry City
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Ellis Chapman M | 8.6 | 64' | 2 | – | 4 | 27 (21%) | – |
| 7 Michael Duffy M | 8.0 | 94' | 1 | 2 | 4 | 40 (28%) | 2 |
| 8 Adam O'Reilly M | 7.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 28 (23%) | 3 |
| 12 Darragh Burns M | 7.3 | 79' | – | 1 | – | 19 (16%) | 4 |
| 28 James Olayinka M | 6.7 | 30' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | 2 |
| 17 Nick Twisk M | 6.6 | 79' | – | – | – | 42 (35%) | 2 |
| 2 Barry Cotter D | 6.5 | 15' | – | – | – | 6 (1%) | 1 |
| 22 Conor Barr D | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 50 (36%) | 4 |
| 3 Patrick McClean D | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | 3 | 52 (42%) | – |
| 23 Cameron Dummigan D | 6.3 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 5 (2%) | 1 |
| 4 Jamie Stott D | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 36 (31%) | – |
| 29 Tyler Smith F | 6.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | 1 |
| 19 Brandon Fleming D | 5.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 40 (26%) | 1 |
| 13 Tom Norcott G | 5.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 29 (22%) | – |
Shamrock Rovers
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Graham Burke F | 8.7 | 94' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 29 (27%) | – |
| 24 William Fitzgerald F | 7.5 | 25' | – | 2 | – | 9 (7%) | – |
| 7 Dylan Watts M | 7.3 | 16' | 1 | – | 1 | 9 (8%) | – |
| 5 Lee Grace D | 7.0 | 94' | – | – | – | 88 (74%) | 3 |
| 22 Tunmise Sobowale M | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 42 (34%) | 1 |
| 31 Michael Noonan F | 6.9 | 94' | 1 | – | 2 | 5 (2%) | – |
| 11 Jake Mulraney M | 6.7 | 17' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | 1 |
| 26 John O'Sullivan M | 6.5 | 69' | – | – | – | 42 (33%) | 3 |
| 88 John McGovern F | 6.5 | 15' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 29 Jack Byrne M | 6.3 | 78' | – | – | – | 53 (46%) | – |
| 27 Cory O'Sullivan D | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 53 (46%) | 1 |
| 2 Adam Matthews D | 6.3 | 69' | – | – | – | 37 (30%) | 3 |
| 6 Dan Cleary D | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 8 (4%) | – |
| 19 Adam Brennan M | 6.0 | 79' | – | – | – | 16 (10%) | 1 |
| 8 Matthew Healy M | 5.7 | 94' | – | – | – | 62 (52%) | – |
| 1 Ed McGinty G | 5.6 | 94' | – | – | – | 20 (13%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (40%)
At a glance
Our lean
Shamrock Rovers or draw
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Derry City
DWWLW
Shamrock Rovers
LWLWW
Last 2 meetings
Derry City · 0W 1D 1L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Derry City
M. Duffy
11 gls
J. Clarke
7 gls
Shamrock Rovers
J. McGovern
10 gls
G. Burke
8 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers
0
Derry City Wins
1
Draws
1
Shamrock Rovers Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun 2026 | Shamrock Rovers | 1 - 1 | Derry City |
| 06 Mar 2026 | Shamrock Rovers | 1 - 0 | Derry City |
Derry City — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct | A Sligo Rovers | D | 2 - 2 |
| 23 Oct | H Dundalk | W | 2 - 1 |
| 19 Oct | H St Patrick's Athl. | W | 1 - 0 |
| 16 Oct | A Drogheda United | L | 2 - 0 |
| 10 Oct | A Galway United | W | 0 - 2 |
Shamrock Rovers — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct | A Dundalk | L | 3 - 1 |
| 23 Oct | H Sligo Rovers | W | 4 - 0 |
| 16 Oct | A Galway United | L | 2 - 0 |
| 12 Oct | H Bohemians | W | 2 - 1 |
| 08 Oct | H Drogheda United | W | 3 - 1 |
Premier Division Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Shamrock Rovers
|
36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 59 | 38 | +21 | 68 |
| 2 |
Bohemians
|
36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 63 | 44 | +19 | 65 |
| 3 |
St Patrick's Athl.
|
36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 31 | +24 | 60 |
| 4 |
Shelbourne
|
36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 52 | 50 | +2 | 49 |
| 5 |
Derry City
|
36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 50 | 47 | +3 | 48 |
| 6 |
Dundalk
|
36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 59 | -4 | 45 |
| 7 |
Waterford
|
36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 43 |
| 8 |
Galway United
|
36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
| 9 |
Drogheda United
|
36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 40 |
| 10 |
Sligo Rovers
|
36 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 66 | -38 | 25 |
Shamrock Rovers
Formation: 3-1-4-2
Coach: Stephen Bradley
1
McGinty
27
O'Sullivan
5
Grace
2
Matthews
8
Healy
19
Brennan
29
Byrne
26
O'Sullivan
22
Sobowale
10
Burke
31
Noonan
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ed McGinty | G |
| 2 | Adam Matthews | D |
| 5 | Lee Grace | D |
| 27 | Cory O'Sullivan | D |
| 8 | Matthew Healy | M |
| 22 | Tunmise Sobowale | M |
| 26 | John O'Sullivan | M |
| 29 | Jack Byrne | M |
| 19 | Adam Brennan | M |
| 31 | Michael Noonan | F |
| 10 | Graham Burke | F |
Substitutes
| 24 | William Fitzgerald | F |
| 11 | Jake Mulraney | M |
| 41 | Alex Noonan | G |
| 17 | Luke O'Regan | M |
| 6 | Dan Cleary | D |
| 3 | Enda Stevens | D |
| 7 | Dylan Watts | M |
| 88 | John McGovern | F |
| 9 | Aaron Greene | F |
Derry City
Formation: 4-5-1
Coach: Mark Connolly
13
Norcott
19
Fleming
3
McClean
4
Stott
22
Barr
7
Duffy
14
Chapman
17
Twisk
8
O'Reilly
12
Burns
29
Smith
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Tom Norcott | G |
| 22 | Conor Barr | D |
| 4 | Jamie Stott | D |
| 3 | Patrick McClean | D |
| 19 | Brandon Fleming | D |
| 12 | Darragh Burns | M |
| 8 | Adam O'Reilly | M |
| 17 | Nick Twisk | M |
| 14 | Ellis Chapman | M |
| 7 | Michael Duffy | M |
| 29 | Tyler Smith | F |
Substitutes
| 28 | James Olayinka | M |
| 1 | Brian Maher | G |
| 24 | Brooklyn Lyons-Foster | D |
| 25 | Christy Grogan | D |
| 23 | Cameron Dummigan | D |
| 2 | Barry Cotter | D |
| 38 | Yoann Prigent | M |
| 32 | Terence Doherty | F |
| 36 | Michael McColgan | F |