Bohemians vs Derry City Prediction
FT
Dalymount Park, Dublin
AI call
Difficult Bohemians win or draw
50%
28%
22%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Bohemians vs Derry City prediction: Sportiko gives Bohemians a 50% chance of winning, Derry City 22% and the draw 28%. Last updated 21 Aug 2026, 20:42.
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Timeline
Harry Vaughan
Yellow Card
27'
▮
⚽
0–1
34'
Michael Duffy
HT 0–1
Patrick Hickey
assist: Jordan Flores
47'
⚽
1–1
Connor Parsons
assist: Dawson Devoy
50'
⚽
2–1
D. James-Taylor
52'
⚽
3–1
▮
55'
James Clarke
Red Card
▮
57'
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
Yellow Card
⇄
61'
Ellis Chapman
⇄ James Olayinka
⇄
61'
Barry Cotter
⇄ Brandon Fleming
⇄
61'
Nick Twisk
⇄ Cameron Dummigan
⚽
3–2
62'
Tyler Smith
assist: Adam O'Reilly
D. James-Taylor
⇄ Colm Whelan
73'
⇄
Harry Vaughan
⇄ Zane Myers
73'
⇄
Ross Tierney
assist: Colm Whelan
78'
⚽
4–2
Connor Parsons
⇄ M. Strods
82'
⇄
Jordan Flores
⇄ Adam McDonnell
82'
⇄
⇄
83'
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
⇄ Darragh Burns
Ross Tierney
assist: Dawson Devoy
87'
⚽
5–2
Darragh Power
⇄ Niall Morahan
89'
⇄
⚽
5–3
90+5'
Michael Duffy
Penalty
FT 5–3
Bohemians
Match Stats
Derry City
57%
Ball Possession
43%
2.18
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
16
Total Shots
7
7
Shots on Goal
5
3
Shots off Goal
1
6
Blocked Shots
1
12
Shots insidebox
5
4
Shots outsidebox
2
6
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
0
8
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
478
Total passes
351
410
Passes accurate
277
86%
Passes %
79%
0.05
goals_prevented
0.05
Bohemians
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 D. James-Taylor F | 8.0 | 73' | 1 | – | 1 | 18 (10%) | – |
| 7 Connor Parsons M | 7.7 | 81' | 1 | – | 2 | 23 (21%) | 1 |
| 26 Ross Tierney M | 7.6 | 81' | 1 | – | 3 | 18 (12%) | 1 |
| 12 Patrick Hickey D | 7.3 | 81' | 1 | – | 1 | 74 (64%) | – |
| 10 Dawson Devoy M | 7.3 | 81' | – | 1 | 1 | 71 (64%) | 2 |
| 15 Senan Mullen D | 7.3 | 81' | – | – | – | 38 (34%) | 3 |
| 6 Jordan Flores M | 7.2 | 81' | – | 1 | – | 83 (71%) | 1 |
| 9 Colm Whelan F | 7.0 | 8' | – | 1 | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 24 Cian Byrne D | 6.5 | 81' | – | – | – | 64 (57%) | – |
| 8 Harry Vaughan M | 6.5 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 32 (26%) | – |
| 23 Zane Myers D | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | 1 | 2 (1%) | – |
| 25 Paul Walters G | 6.2 | 81' | – | – | – | 19 (18%) | – |
| 16 Darragh Power D | 6.2 | 81' | – | – | – | 43 (38%) | – |
Derry City
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Michael Duffy F | 7.9 | 81' | 1 | – | 2 | 30 (23%) | – |
| 29 Tyler Smith F | 7.3 | 81' | 1 | – | 2 | 11 (10%) | – |
| 3 Patrick McClean D | 6.6 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 58 (46%) | 1 |
| 1 B. Maher G | 6.5 | 81' | – | – | – | 26 (17%) | – |
| 19 Brandon Fleming D | 6.3 | 20' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 23 Cameron Dummigan D | 6.3 | 20' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 28 James Olayinka M | 6.3 | 20' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | – |
| 14 Ellis Chapman M | 6.2 | 61' | – | – | – | 34 (26%) | – |
| 15 James Clarke F | 6.2 | 55' | – | – | 1 | 16 (13%) | 1 |
| 24 Brooklyn Lyons-Foster D | 6.2 | 81' | – | – | – | 43 (30%) | 3 |
| 17 Nick Twisk M | 6.2 | 61' | – | – | – | 25 (20%) | – |
| 2 Barry Cotter D | 6.0 | 61' | – | – | – | 26 (19%) | 2 |
| 8 Adam O'Reilly M | 5.9 | 81' | – | 1 | – | 20 (17%) | – |
| 22 Conor Barr D | 5.6 | 81' | – | – | – | 55 (49%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (50%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Bohemians win or draw
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Bohemians
WWDWW
Derry City
WDWWD
Last 1 meetings
Bohemians · 0W 0D 1L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
50%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
22%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Bohemians
C. Whelan
12 gls
R. Tierney
9 gls
Derry City
M. Duffy
10 gls
J. Clarke
6 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Bohemians vs Derry City
0
Bohemians Wins
0
Draws
1
Derry City Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | Derry City | 4 - 1 | Bohemians |
Bohemians — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | H Drogheda United | W | 2 - 1 |
| 11 Sep | A Galway United | W | 2 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | A St Patrick's Athl. | D | 1 - 1 |
| 28 Aug | H Sligo Rovers | W | 3 - 0 |
| 21 Aug | H Derry City | W | 5 - 3 |
Derry City — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | H Galway United | W | 1 - 0 |
| 14 Sep | A Waterford | D | 2 - 2 |
| 11 Sep | A Shelbourne | W | 0 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Dundalk | W | 4 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H Shamrock Rovers | D | 3 - 3 |
Premier Division Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
St Patrick's Athl.
|
32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 25 | +27 | 59 |
| 2 |
Shamrock Rovers
|
31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49 | 31 | +18 | 59 |
| 3 |
Bohemians
|
31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 55 | 37 | +18 | 56 |
| 4 |
Derry City
|
32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45 | 42 | +3 | 41 |
| 5 |
Dundalk
|
32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 41 |
| 6 |
Shelbourne
|
31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 39 |
| 7 |
Galway United
|
31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 37 |
| 8 |
Waterford
|
32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 34 |
| 9 |
Drogheda United
|
32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 34 |
| 10 |
Sligo Rovers
|
32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
Derry City
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Tiernan Lynch
1
Maher
24
Lyons-Foster
3
McClean
22
Barr
2
Cotter
8
O'Reilly
17
Twisk
14
Chapman
7
Duffy
29
Smith
15
Clarke
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brian Maher | G |
| 2 | Barry Cotter | D |
| 22 | Conor Barr | D |
| 3 | Patrick McClean | D |
| 24 | Brooklyn Lyons-Foster | D |
| 14 | Ellis Chapman | M |
| 17 | Nick Twisk | M |
| 8 | Adam O'Reilly | M |
| 15 | James Clarke | F |
| 29 | Tyler Smith | F |
| 7 | Michael Duffy | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | Tom Norcott | G |
| 23 | Cameron Dummigan | D |
| 4 | Jamie Stott | D |
| 19 | Brandon Fleming | D |
| 28 | James Olayinka | M |
| 12 | Darragh Burns | M |
| 32 | Terence Doherty | F |
| 35 | Liam Kelly | M |
| 36 | Michael McColgan | F |
Bohemians
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Alan Reynolds
25
Walters
15
Mullen
24
Byrne
12
Hickey
16
Power
6
Flores
10
Devoy
7
Parsons
8
Vaughan
26
Tierney
18
James-Taylor
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Paul Walters | G |
| 16 | Darragh Power | D |
| 12 | Patrick Hickey | D |
| 24 | Cian Byrne | D |
| 15 | Senan Mullen | D |
| 10 | Dawson Devoy | M |
| 6 | Jordan Flores | M |
| 26 | Ross Tierney | M |
| 8 | Harry Vaughan | M |
| 7 | Connor Parsons | M |
| 18 | Douglas James-Taylor | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Kacper Chorążka | G |
| 4 | Niall Morahan | M |
| 3 | Ryan Burke | D |
| 32 | Markuss Strods | M |
| 23 | Zane Myers | D |
| 17 | Adam McDonnell | M |
| 5 | Sadou Diallo | M |
| 9 | Colm Whelan | F |
| 41 | Paddy Madden | F |