Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk Prediction

Premier Division Premier Division · Regular Season - 27
FT
Post on X
Tallaght Stadium, Dublin
AI call Shamrock Rovers to win
63%
23%
14%
Home Win · 1.70 Draw · 4.00 Away Win · 4.90

Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk prediction: Sportiko gives Shamrock Rovers a 63% chance of winning, Dundalk 14% and the draw 23%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 21:00.

Premium picks

Premium
  • Under 3.5 Goals 75% @ 1.42
  • Home 2H Over 0.5 72%
  • Home/Draw & Over 1.5 70%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Dylan Watts Penalty
3' 1–0
12'
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
13'
1–1 15'
Robert Cornwall assist: Tom Grivosti
Michael Noonan assist: Dylan Watts
19' 2–1
2–2 27'
Daryl Horgan Penalty
Cory O'Sullivan Yellow Card
36'
J. Afolabi
38' 3–2
Matthew Healy Yellow Card
43'
Yellow Card
45'
HT 3–2
⇄ M. Asamoah
46'
Cory O'Sullivan ⇄ Adam Matthews
46'
47'
Cian Dillon Yellow Card
49'
M. Animasahun ⇄ Declan McDaid
49'
Ronan Teahan ⇄ Harry Groome
Dylan Watts ⇄ Jack Byrne
50'
Matthew Healy ⇄ Cian Barrett
59'
J. Afolabi ⇄ Aaron Greene
60'
62'
Cian Dillon ⇄ Leonardo Gaxha
Jack Byrne Yellow Card
70'
73'
Bobby Burns Yellow Card
Cian Barrett Yellow Card
81'
85'
T. Clarke ⇄ Aaron Keogh
89'
Keith Buckley Yellow Card
FT 3–2
Shamrock Rovers

Match Stats

Dundalk
54% Ball Possession 46%
2.66 Expected Goals (xG) 1.71
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Goal 5
4 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 4
11 Shots insidebox 5
3 Shots outsidebox 7
1 Corner Kicks 7
1 Offsides 0
15 Fouls 25
5 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
399 Total passes 330
298 Passes accurate 242
75% Passes % 73%
-0.19 goals_prevented -0.19
Shamrock Rovers
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Dylan Watts M 7.9 50' 1 1 2 20 (13%)
31 Michael Noonan F 7.7 99' 1 2 30 (27%)
18 J. Afolabi F 7.6 60' 1 1 12 (9%)
1 Ed McGinty G 7.3 99' 35 (22%) 1
8 Matthew Healy M 7.2 59' 1 39 (32%)
26 John O'Sullivan M 7.2 99' 2 50 (39%)
29 Jack Byrne M 7.0 49' 22 (18%)
2 Adam Matthews D 7.0 54' 17 (16%)
17 L. O'Regan M 7.0 99' 16 (13%) 2
5 Lee Grace D 6.9 99' 1 40 (31%) 4
22 Tunmise Sobowale D 6.6 99' 45 (31%) 3
33 Cian Barrett M 6.5 40' 9 (5%)
9 Aaron Greene F 6.3 39' 7 (5%)
15 M. Asamoah F 6.2 54' 3 10 (4%)
27 Cory O'Sullivan D 6.0 45' 36 (26%)
38 Max Kovaleskis M 6.0 45' 11 (7%)
Dundalk
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Daryl Horgan F 7.6 99' 1 3 38 (30%) 3
24 Robert Cornwall D 7.3 99' 1 1 35 (27%) 1
3 Bobby Burns M 7.0 99' 41 (27%) 3
6 Aodh Dervin M 6.9 99' 29 (28%) 2
11 Ronan Teahan F 6.7 49' 8 (3%)
18 Keith Buckley M 6.7 99' 50 (41%) 1
8 Harry Groome M 6.6 50' 17 (15%) 1
27 Declan McDaid M 6.5 50' 11 (8%)
23 Aaron Keogh M 6.5 14' 4 (4%)
1 Enda Minogue G 6.2 99' 26 (12%)
44 Tom Grivosti D 6.2 99' 1 1 33 (24%) 2
10 Leonardo Gaxha F 6.2 37' 1 8 (5%)
9 Cian Dillon F 6.0 62' 1 12 (8%)
15 T. Clarke M 5.9 85' 1 8 (3%)
4 M. Animasahun D 5.9 49' 10 (7%)
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Confidence Medium (63%)

At a glance

Our lean
Shamrock Rovers to win
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Shamrock Rovers
WWDWL
Dundalk
LDDLL

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier Division clash, Shamrock Rovers face Dundalk. Historically, Shamrock Rovers have shown strong form at home, averaging 2.1 goals per game this season, while Dundalk has been resilient, maintaining a solid defensive record with only 1.2 goals conceded per match. Both teams have potent attacking options, but Shamrock's midfield control and pressing style may give them an edge. Key players to watch include Rovers' leading scorer and Dundalk's playmaker, whose performances could heavily influence the outcome of this matchup. Expect a competitive encounter as both teams vie for crucial points in the league standings.

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Shamrock Rovers leads 3-2. Win probability: 94.9%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 5.1%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 3-2. Shamrock Rovers leads. Win probability: 92.4%. Over 0.5 more goals: 71.9%.

39' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 3-2. Shamrock Rovers win: 92.5%. BTTS: 100%.

28' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 28%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

21' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Shamrock Rovers win: 92.9%. BTTS: 100%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
63%
45%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
14%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Shamrock Rovers
G. Burke 6 gls
J. McGovern 5 gls
Dundalk
D. Horgan 8 gls
G. Arubi 7 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Shamrock Rovers — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Aug H Dundalk W 3 - 2
04 Aug H Egnatia Rrogozhinë W 3 - 1
31 Jul A Drogheda United D 0 - 0
28 Jul H Ararat-Armenia W 2 - 1
21 Jul A Ararat-Armenia L 2 - 0

Dundalk — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Aug A Shamrock Rovers L 3 - 2
31 Jul H Sligo Rovers D 1 - 1
24 Jul A St Patrick's Athl. D 1 - 1
10 Jul H Drogheda United L 1 - 2
03 Jul A Shelbourne L 2 - 1

Premier Division Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Shamrock Rovers
27 16 6 5 +19 54
2
St Patrick's Athl.
26 12 8 6 +19 44
3
Bohemians
26 12 8 6 +13 44
4
Dundalk
27 9 10 8 +1 37
5
Shelbourne
25 8 10 7 -1 34
6
Derry City
27 7 12 8 +3 33
7
Galway United
26 7 9 10 -7 30
8
Drogheda United
27 6 10 11 -12 28
9
Waterford
26 5 10 11 -13 25
10
Sligo Rovers
27 5 7 15 -22 22

Dundalk

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Ciaran Kilduff
1 Minogue
44 Grivosti
24 Cornwall
4 Animasahun
3 Burns
18 Buckley
6 Dervin
15 Clarke
7 Horgan
9 Dillon
11 Teahan

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Enda Minogue G
4 Mayowa Animasahun D
24 Robert Cornwall D
44 Tom Grivosti D
15 Trevor Clarke M
6 Aodh Dervin M
18 Keith Buckley M
3 Bobby Burns M
11 Ronan Teahan F
9 Cian Dillon F
7 Daryl Horgan F

Substitutes

8 Harry Groome M
27 Declan McDaid M
10 Leonardo Gaxha F
20 Peter Cherrie G
13 Conor Kearns G
19 Sean Spaight D
12 Luke Mulligan D
23 Aaron Keogh M
25 Shay Casey M

Shamrock Rovers

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Stephen Bradley
1 McGinty
27 O'Sullivan
5 Grace
22 Sobowale
17 O'Regan
7 Watts
8 Healy
26 O'Sullivan
38 Kovaleskis
18 Afolabi
31 Noonan

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Ed McGinty G
22 Tunmise Sobowale D
5 Lee Grace D
27 Cory O'Sullivan D
38 Max Kovaleskis M
26 John O'Sullivan M
8 Matthew Healy M
7 Dylan Watts M
17 Luke O'Regan M
31 Michael Noonan F
18 Jonathan Afolabi F

Substitutes

2 Adam Matthews D
15 Maleace Asamoah F
29 Jack Byrne M
33 Cian Barrett M
9 Aaron Greene F
41 Alex Noonan G
24 William Fitzgerald F
11 Jake Mulraney M
34 Ben Mahon F

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