Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction
FT
Tolka Park, Dublin
AI call
St Patrick's Athl. or draw
25%
29%
46%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl. prediction: Sportiko gives Shelbourne a 25% chance of winning, St Patrick's Athl. 46% and the draw 29%. Last updated 9 Aug 2026, 17:56.
Premium picks
Premium- Draw or Away 75%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
7'
Anthony Olusanya
assist: Aidan Keena
Ali Coote
Yellow Card
10'
▮
▮
12'
Anthony Olusanya
Yellow Card
⚽
0–2
34'
James Brown
Rodrigo Freitas
Yellow Card
45+2'
▮
HT 0–2
Jack Henry-Francis
⇄ Jonathan Lunney
46'
⇄
Ali Coote
⇄ Sean Moore
46'
⇄
Red Card
58'
▮
⇄
59'
Aidan Keena
⇄ Ryan Edmondson
⇄
66'
Anthony Olusanya
⇄ Ryan Sheridan
James Norris
assist: Milan Mbeng
70'
⚽
1–2
Sam Bone
⇄ Paddy Barrett
71'
⇄
James Norris
⇄ Kameron Ledwidge
71'
⇄
⇄
76'
Jason McClelland
⇄ Anto Breslin
⇄
76'
Chris Forrester
⇄ Barry Baggley
Rodrigo Freitas
Yellow Card
77'
▮
Rodrigo Freitas
Red Card
77'
▮
▮
81'
Jamie Lennon
Yellow Card
Odhran Casey
Yellow Card
82'
▮
Daniel Kelly
⇄ Will Jarvis
83'
⇄
▮
90+2'
Ryan Sheridan
Yellow Card
▮
90+6'
Ryan Edmondson
Yellow Card
FT 1–2
Shelbourne
Match Stats
St Patrick's Athl.
61%
Ball Possession
39%
1.12
Expected Goals (xG)
3.15
15
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Goal
3
9
Shots off Goal
6
3
Blocked Shots
2
9
Shots insidebox
7
6
Shots outsidebox
4
5
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
3
7
Fouls
10
4
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
502
Total passes
330
418
Passes accurate
246
83%
Passes %
75%
-0.15
goals_prevented
-0.15
Shelbourne
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Jonathan Lunney M | 7.3 | 50' | – | – | – | 50 (46%) | 2 |
| 4 Kameron Ledwidge D | 7.2 | 24' | – | – | – | 23 (19%) | 1 |
| 23 Kerr McInroy M | 7.2 | 95' | – | – | – | 59 (54%) | 2 |
| 19 Eddie Beach G | 7.0 | 95' | – | – | – | 31 (23%) | – |
| 21 Jack Henry-Francis M | 7.0 | 45' | – | – | – | 38 (30%) | 4 |
| 25 Milan Mbeng D | 6.9 | 95' | – | 1 | 3 | 52 (41%) | 3 |
| 18 James Norris D | 6.9 | 71' | 1 | – | 1 | 35 (33%) | 1 |
| 15 Sam Bone D | 6.7 | 70' | – | – | – | 36 (32%) | 1 |
| 29 Paddy Barrett D | 6.6 | 25' | – | – | – | 20 (17%) | – |
| 27 Evan Caffrey M | 6.6 | 95' | – | – | 4 | 19 (15%) | – |
| 17 Daniel Kelly M | 6.5 | 83' | – | – | 2 | 19 (14%) | – |
| 36 Will Jarvis M | 6.5 | 12' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | 1 |
| 22 Sean Moore D | 6.5 | 50' | – | – | 1 | 15 (11%) | – |
| 14 Ali Coote M | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 22 (19%) | 2 |
| 16 Odhran Casey D | 6.3 | 95' | – | – | – | 66 (55%) | 2 |
| 20 Rodrigo Freitas F | 6.2 | 77' | – | – | 1 | 16 (8%) | – |
St Patrick's Athl.
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 James Brown M | 7.5 | 95' | 1 | – | 1 | 21 (18%) | 3 |
| 2 Sean Hoare D | 7.3 | 95' | – | – | – | 35 (30%) | 2 |
| 6 Jamie Lennon M | 7.3 | 95' | – | – | – | 33 (26%) | 3 |
| 4 Joe Redmond D | 7.0 | 95' | – | – | – | 33 (21%) | 3 |
| 94 Joseph Anang G | 7.0 | 95' | – | – | – | 33 (21%) | – |
| 24 Luke Turner D | 6.9 | 95' | – | – | – | 42 (32%) | 3 |
| 19 Barry Baggley M | 6.9 | 19' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | 1 |
| 21 Anthony Olusanya F | 6.9 | 66' | 1 | – | 2 | 14 (11%) | – |
| 9 Aidan Keena F | 6.7 | 59' | – | 1 | 1 | 13 (9%) | 1 |
| 3 Anto Breslin D | 6.6 | 19' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | 1 |
| 8 Chris Forrester M | 6.6 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 26 (18%) | 1 |
| 27 Ryan Edmondson F | 6.5 | 36' | – | – | 2 | 6 (4%) | – |
| 16 Darragh Nugent M | 6.5 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 26 (20%) | – |
| 48 Ryan Sheridan M | 6.3 | 29' | – | – | – | 15 (12%) | 2 |
| 11 Jason McClelland M | 6.0 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 19 (13%) | 2 |
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Confidence
Low (46%)
At a glance
Our lean
St Patrick's Athl. or draw
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Shelbourne
WLLDD
St Patrick's Athl.
WWWDL
Last 1 meetings
Shelbourne · 0W 0D 1L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
25%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
46%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Shelbourne
H. Wood
7 gls
J. Martin
6 gls
D. Kelly
6 gls
St Patrick's Athl.
R. Edmondson
10 gls
A. Keena
10 gls
K. Leavy
6 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl.
0
Shelbourne Wins
0
Draws
1
St Patrick's Athl. Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar 2026 | Shelbourne | 2 - 3 | St Patrick's Athl. |
Shelbourne — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | A Dundalk | W | 2 - 3 |
| 14 Sep | H Drogheda United | L | 1 - 2 |
| 11 Sep | H Derry City | L | 0 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | A Shamrock Rovers | D | 0 - 0 |
| 28 Aug | A Galway United | D | 1 - 1 |
St Patrick's Athl. — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Sligo Rovers | W | 0 - 1 |
| 14 Sep | A Dundalk | W | 0 - 4 |
| 11 Sep | H Shamrock Rovers | W | 2 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | H Bohemians | D | 1 - 1 |
| 28 Aug | H Waterford | L | 0 - 2 |
Premier Division Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
St Patrick's Athl.
|
32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 25 | +27 | 59 |
| 2 |
Shamrock Rovers
|
31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49 | 31 | +18 | 59 |
| 3 |
Bohemians
|
31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 55 | 37 | +18 | 56 |
| 4 |
Derry City
|
32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45 | 42 | +3 | 41 |
| 5 |
Dundalk
|
32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 41 |
| 6 |
Shelbourne
|
31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 39 |
| 7 |
Galway United
|
31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 37 |
| 8 |
Waterford
|
32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 34 |
| 9 |
Drogheda United
|
32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 34 |
| 10 |
Sligo Rovers
|
32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
Shelbourne
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Lorcan Fitzgerald
19
Beach
18
Norris
15
Bone
16
Casey
25
Mbeng
23
McInroy
21
Henry-Francis
17
Kelly
27
Caffrey
14
Coote
20
Freitas
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Eddie Beach | G |
| 25 | Milan Mbeng | D |
| 16 | Odhran Casey | D |
| 15 | Sam Bone | D |
| 18 | James Norris | D |
| 21 | Jack Henry-Francis | M |
| 23 | Kerr McInroy | M |
| 14 | Ali Coote | M |
| 27 | Evan Caffrey | M |
| 17 | Daniel Kelly | M |
| 20 | Rodrigo Freitas | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | Murray Johnson | G |
| 29 | Paddy Barrett | D |
| 4 | Kameron Ledwidge | D |
| 2 | Sean Gannon | D |
| 55 | James Roche | D |
| 6 | Jonathan Lunney | M |
| 44 | Daniel Ring | F |
| 22 | Sean Moore | D |
| 36 | Will Jarvis | M |
St Patrick's Athl.
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: Stephen Kenny
94
Anang
24
Turner
2
Hoare
4
Redmond
11
McClelland
8
Forrester
6
Lennon
16
Nugent
23
Brown
9
Keena
21
Olusanya
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 94 | Joseph Anang | G |
| 4 | Joe Redmond | D |
| 2 | Sean Hoare | D |
| 24 | Luke Turner | D |
| 23 | James Brown | M |
| 16 | Darragh Nugent | M |
| 6 | Jamie Lennon | M |
| 8 | Chris Forrester | M |
| 11 | Jason McClelland | M |
| 21 | Anthony Olusanya | F |
| 9 | Aidan Keena | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Danny Rogers | G |
| 33 | Sean McHale | D |
| 3 | Anto Breslin | D |
| 25 | Simon Power | F |
| 19 | Barry Baggley | M |
| 48 | Ryan Sheridan | M |
| 37 | Joe Byrne | M |
| 35 | Sam Rooney | F |
| 27 | Ryan Edmondson | F |