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Derry City vs Sligo Rovers Prediction

Premier Division Premier Division · Regular Season - 27
FT
Post on X
Derry City

Derry City

Home
2 : 0
HT 0 - 0
Sligo Rovers

Sligo Rovers

Away
AI call Derry City to win
68%
22%
10%
Home Win · 1.44 Draw · 4.73 Away Win · 7.25

Derry City vs Sligo Rovers prediction: Sportiko gives Derry City a 68% chance of winning, Sligo Rovers 10% and the draw 22%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 20:35.

Premium picks

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
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Timeline

HT 0–0
Barry Cotter assist: Darragh Burns
54' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 55'
Ryan O'Kane ⇄ Alex Nolan
⇄ 55'
Trey George ⇄ James McManus
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster Yellow Card
58' ▮
Adam O'Reilly assist: Liam Boyce
64' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 65'
S. Quirk ⇄ Jamie McGonigle
Darragh Burns ⇄ Conor Barr
66' ⇄
⇄ 66'
⇄ Sean Stewart
Nick Twisk ⇄ James Olayinka
75' ⇄
Barry Cotter ⇄ Tyler Smith
75' ⇄
James Clarke Yellow Card
82' ▮
Liam Boyce ⇄ Ellis Chapman
83' ⇄
FT 2–0
Derry City

Match Stats

Sligo Rovers
59% Ball Possession 41%
1.68 Expected Goals (xG) 0.23
24 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Goal 1
11 Shots off Goal 3
7 Blocked Shots 0
15 Shots insidebox 4
9 Shots outsidebox 0
10 Corner Kicks 2
0 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
515 Total passes 366
429 Passes accurate 286
83% Passes % 78%
-0.73 goals_prevented -0.73
Derry City
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
2 Barry Cotter D 8.7 75' 1 – 1 36 (31%) 1
8 Adam O'Reilly M 8.2 90' 1 – 1 51 (43%) 4
12 Darragh Burns M 7.6 66' – 1 2 40 (29%) 2
3 Patrick McClean D 7.3 90' – – 1 80 (67%) 1
23 Cameron Dummigan D 7.2 90' – – 1 57 (51%) –
7 Michael Duffy F 7.2 90' – – 5 49 (43%) 2
17 Nick Twisk M 7.0 75' – – – 44 (39%) 1
15 James Clarke F 6.9 90' – – 2 35 (26%) –
1 B. Maher G 6.9 90' – – – 35 (27%) –
22 Conor Barr D 6.7 24' – – 2 7 (7%) –
28 James Olayinka M 6.7 15' – – – 6 (5%) –
27 Liam Boyce F 6.6 83' – 1 2 17 (12%) 2
29 Tyler Smith F 6.5 15' – – – – –
24 Brooklyn Lyons-Foster D 6.2 90' – – – 52 (46%) 1
14 Ellis Chapman M — 7' – – – 1 (1%) 1
Sligo Rovers
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Cian Kavanagh F 7.2 90' – – 1 21 (13%) –
7 Jack Shorrock M 7.2 90' – – – 16 (12%) 5
29 Sam Sargeant G 6.9 90' – – – 52 (34%) –
52 Gareth McElroy D 6.9 90' – – – 48 (44%) 1
33 Jeannot Esua D 6.6 90' – – – 26 (24%) 1
19 Alex Nolan M 6.6 35' – – – 8 (5%) –
3 Sean Stewart D 6.6 25' – – – 18 (16%) –
28 Ryan O'Kane M 6.5 55' – – – 7 (7%) –
4 S. Quirk M 6.5 65' – – – 23 (18%) –
14 James McManus M 6.3 35' – – 1 22 (15%) –
18 Jamie McGonigle F 6.3 25' – – 1 3 (2%) –
15 Oliver Denham D 6.2 90' – – – 39 (30%) 2
16 Carl McHugh M 6.2 90' – – 1 49 (41%) 1
23 Kyle McDonagh D 6.0 65' – – – 20 (17%) –
20 Trey George M 6.0 55' – – – 11 (7%) –
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Confidence Medium (68%)

At a glance

Our lean
Derry City to win
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Derry City
WDLLL
Sligo Rovers
LDDLL

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier Division clash, Derry City will face Sligo Rovers. Derry City currently holds a strong home record, averaging 1.8 goals per game while conceding just 0.9. Sligo Rovers, however, have shown resilience on the road, with a solid defense limiting opponents to an average of 1.2 goals against them. The match could hinge on Derry's ability to break down Sligo's organized defense, while Sligo will look to exploit any gaps left by Derry's attacking play. Both teams will aim for crucial points as the season progresses.

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Derry City leads 2-0. Win probability: 99.9%. Comeback chance: 0.1%.

66' Goal 85% sure

Derry City now leads 2-0 with 99.8% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 43%.

55' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Derry City win: 94.1%. BTTS: 12.4%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 64.8%. Over 1.5 remaining: 29.5%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
68%
45%
Draw
22%
45%
Away
10%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Derry City
J. Clarke 6 gls
Sligo Rovers
W. Fitzgerald 5 gls
C. Kavanagh 5 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Derry City vs Sligo Rovers

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Derry City — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Aug H Sligo Rovers W 2 - 0
02 Aug A St Patrick's Athl. D 1 - 1
30 Jul H HNK Rijeka L 0 - 1
23 Jul A HNK Rijeka L 1 - 0
16 Jul H CSKA Sofia L 1 - 2

Sligo Rovers — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Aug A Derry City L 2 - 0
31 Jul A Dundalk D 1 - 1
25 Jul H Drogheda United D 2 - 2
14 Jul H Coleraine FC L 1 - 2
11 Jul A Galway United L 3 - 2

Premier Division Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Shamrock Rovers
27 16 6 5 +19 54
2
St Patrick's Athl.
26 12 8 6 +19 44
3
Bohemians
26 12 8 6 +13 44
4
Dundalk
27 9 10 8 +1 37
5
Shelbourne
25 8 10 7 -1 34
6
Derry City
27 7 12 8 +3 33
7
Galway United
26 7 9 10 -7 30
8
Drogheda United
27 6 10 11 -12 28
9
Waterford
26 5 10 11 -13 25
10
Sligo Rovers
27 5 7 15 -22 22

Derry City

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Tiernan Lynch
1 Maher
24 Lyons-Foster
3 McClean
23 Dummigan
2 Cotter
8 O'Reilly
17 Twisk
12 Burns
7 Duffy
27 Boyce
15 Clarke

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Brian Maher G
2 Barry Cotter D
23 Cameron Dummigan D
3 Patrick McClean D
24 Brooklyn Lyons-Foster D
12 Darragh Burns M
17 Nick Twisk M
8 Adam O'Reilly M
15 James Clarke F
27 Liam Boyce F
7 Michael Duffy F

Substitutes

13 Tom Norcott G
22 Conor Barr D
33 Oisin O'Brien D
14 Ellis Chapman M
31 Callum Downey M
28 James Olayinka M
29 Tyler Smith F
32 Terence Doherty F

Sligo Rovers

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Darren Purse
29 Sargeant
23 McDonagh
52 McElroy
15 Denham
33 Esua
4 Quirk
16 McHugh
7 Shorrock
20 George
28 O'Kane
11 Kavanagh

Starting XI

# Player Pos
29 Sam Sargeant G
33 Jeannot Esua D
15 Oliver Denham D
52 Gareth McElroy D
23 Kyle McDonagh D
16 Carl McHugh M
4 Seb Quirk M
28 Ryan O'Kane M
20 Trey George M
7 Jack Shorrock M
11 Cian Kavanagh F

Substitutes

1 Liam Hughes G
3 Sean Stewart D
14 James McManus M
61 Conor Cannon D
51 Aidan Gabbidon D
19 Alex Nolan M
43 Callum Lynch M
18 Jamie McGonigle F
24 Jamie O’Donnell F

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