Dečić vs Mornar Prediction

First League · Regular Season - 9

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Dečić

Home

1 : 1

HT 0 - 1

Mornar

Away

AI call Dečić or draw

39%

32%

29%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Dečić vs Mornar prediction: Sportiko gives Dečić a 39% chance of winning, Mornar 29% and the draw 32%. Last updated 20 Sep 2026, 18:53.

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1st Half Home or Draw 75%

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Timeline

▮ 21'

Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 40'

HT 0–1

⇄ 46'

▮ 63'

Yellow Card

74' ▮

Yellow Card

76' ▮

⇄ 76'

84' ⚽ 1–1

▮ 87'

Yellow Card

FT 1–1

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean

Dečić or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.1%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Dečić

DLDLW

Mornar

DLLWD

Last 1 meetings Dečić · 0W 1D 0L

Live insights

86' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 90.5%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Mornar leads 0-1. Win probability: 84.7%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 15.3%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Mornar leads. Win probability: 70.1%. Over 0.5 more goals: 65.4%.

42' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Mornar win: 69.2%. BTTS: 47.3%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

39%

10%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

29%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Mornar goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13	9	6	2
1	12	15	7	2	1
2	8	8	4	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Dečić goals · most likely 1–1 (15.1%)

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

32%

Away Win

29%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

32%

Away Win

29%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

57% Home (No Draw) 43% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 29% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.8%	9.4%	5.6%	1.9%	0.5%
1	11.6%	15.1%	6.7%	2.2%	0.6%
2	8.0%	8.0%	4.0%	1.3%	0.3%
3	3.2%	3.2%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.0%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Dečić	Draw	Mornar
Dečić	22.9%	3.7%	1.1%
Draw	15.2%	21.7%	10.3%
Mornar	1.9%	4.8%	18.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Dečić vs Mornar

0 Dečić Wins

1 Draws

0 Mornar Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Feb 2026	Dečić	0 - 0	Mornar

Dečić — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Mornar	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	A Sutjeska	L	2 - 0
09 Sep	H Petrovac	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Mladost DG	L	2 - 0
30 Aug	H Jezero	W	2 - 1

Mornar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Dečić	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	H Otrant-Olympic	L	0 - 1
08 Sep	A Sutjeska	L	1 - 0
03 Sep	H Bokelj	W	2 - 0
29 Aug	A Petrovac	D	1 - 1

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Otrant-Olympic	9	5	1	3	15	10	+5	16
2	Dečić	9	4	3	2	10	7	+3	15
3	Bokelj	9	4	3	2	8	5	+3	15
4	Buducnost Podgorica	9	4	2	3	11	7	+4	14
5	Sutjeska	9	4	2	3	11	7	+4	14
6	Mornar	9	3	4	2	9	7	+2	13
7	Mladost DG	9	3	1	5	8	15	-7	10
8	Jezero	9	2	3	4	9	15	-6	9
9	Petrovac	9	1	5	3	7	9	-2	8
10	Arsenal Tivat	9	1	4	4	5	11	-6	7

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.