Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat Prediction

First League · Regular Season - 2

Post on X

Mornar

Home

0 : 0

HT 0 - 0

Arsenal Tivat

Away

AI call Difficult Mornar win or draw

58%

27%

14%

Home Win · 1.64 Draw · 3.50 Away Win · 6.12

Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat prediction: Sportiko gives Mornar a 58% chance of winning, Arsenal Tivat 14% and the draw 27%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 19:53.

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Home or Away 73% @ 1.30

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Timeline

▮ 27'

Yellow Card

HT 0–0

▮ 75'

Yellow Card

▮ 85'

Yellow Card

FT 0–0

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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Mornar win or draw

Most likely score

1:0 · 16.7%

Both teams to score

37%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

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Mornar

DDLLW

Arsenal Tivat

DDLWL

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 0-0. Draw looking likely at 71.8%. Late goal chance: 30.2%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 65.3%. Over 1.5 remaining: 30.7%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

58%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

14%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Arsenal Tivat goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	13	5	2
1	17	12	3	1
2	14	8	3
3	8	4	1
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Mornar goals · most likely 1–0 (16.7%)

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

27%

Away Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

27%

Away Win

14%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

83% Home (No Draw) 17% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

60% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 12% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

22%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.8%	5.3%	2.0%	0.4%	0.1%
1	16.7%	12.1%	3.2%	0.6%	0.1%
2	14.4%	8.5%	2.5%	0.5%	0.1%
3	7.6%	4.5%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%
4	3.0%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Mornar	Draw	Arsenal Tivat
Mornar	37.7%	3.0%	0.6%
Draw	21.9%	19.5%	5.6%
Arsenal Tivat	1.8%	3.2%	6.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

55%

33%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Mornar vs Arsenal Tivat

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Mornar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	H Arsenal Tivat	D	0 - 0
02 Aug	A Jezero	D	0 - 0
16 Jul	H Atlètic Club d'Escaldes	L	1 - 2
09 Jul	A Atlètic Club d'Escaldes	L	2 - 1
21 Mar	A Petrovac	W	0 - 2

Arsenal Tivat — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	A Mornar	D	0 - 0
02 Aug	A Dečić	D	0 - 0
21 Mar	H Dečić	L	0 - 1
15 Mar	H Bokelj	W	1 - 0
11 Mar	A Sutjeska	L	4 - 1

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mladost DG	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
2	Buducnost Podgorica	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
3	Bokelj	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
4	Mornar	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	2
5	Arsenal Tivat	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	2
6	Dečić	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
7	Jezero	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
8	Otrant-Olympic	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
9	Petrovac	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
10	Sutjeska	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.