Slovácko vs Baník Ostrava Prediction

Czech Liga · Regular Season - 9

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Slovácko

Home

2 : 2

HT 0 - 1

Baník Ostrava

Away

AI call Slovácko or draw

37%

30%

33%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Slovácko vs Baník Ostrava prediction: Sportiko gives Slovácko a 37% chance of winning, Baník Ostrava 33% and the draw 30%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 17:53.

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Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Home to Score 74%
Away to Score 72%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 25'

Michal Frydrych Penalty

HT 0–1

▮ 46'

Roan Nogha Yellow Card

Gigli Ndefe

49' ⚽ 1–1

Patrik Blahút assist: Marek Havlík

51' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 56'

Abdullahi Bewene ⇄ Rhodri Smith

⇄ 56'

Filip Kubala ⇄ Václav Jurečka

Jocelin Behiratche Yellow Card

58' ▮

David Puškáč ⇄ Jan Fiala

60' ⇄

⇄ 61'

Maksym Diachuk

Gigli Ndefe ⇄ Adam Alabi

74' ⇄

Lukáš Vorlický ⇄ Pavel Juroška

74' ⇄

⇄ 75'

Dantaye Gilbert ⇄ Matúš Kmeť

⇄ 75'

Artúr Musák ⇄ F. Šancl

Marek Havlík ⇄ Alan Marinelli

83' ⇄

Tihomir Kostadinov ⇄ Gibril Sosseh

83' ⇄

⚽ 2–2 87'

F. Šancl

▮ 89'

Matúš Kmeť Yellow Card

▮ 90+3'

Yellow Card

FT 2–2

Slovácko

Match Stats

Baník Ostrava

52% Ball Possession 48%

1.76 Expected Goals (xG) 2.69

13 Total Shots 14

3 Shots on Goal 7

8 Shots off Goal 7

2 Blocked Shots 0

9 Shots insidebox 11

4 Shots outsidebox 3

2 Corner Kicks 4

2 Offsides 2

7 Fouls 17

1 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

5 Goalkeeper Saves 1

315 Total passes 293

266 Passes accurate 239

84% Passes % 82%

-0.21 goals_prevented -0.21

Slovácko

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Michal Trávník M	7.9	92'	–	–	2	39 (37%)	1
2 Gigli Ndefe M	7.7	74'	1	–	1	9 (9%)	1
15 Patrik Blahút M	7.5	92'	1	–	2	19 (13%)	1
26 Tihomir Kostadinov M	7.0	83'	–	–	–	20 (18%)	3
20 Marek Havlík F	7.0	83'	–	1	–	36 (28%)	–
29 Milan Heča G	6.9	92'	–	–	–	26 (22%)	–
77 Pavel Juroška M	6.7	18'	–	–	–	–	–
72 Lukáš Vorlický F	6.7	74'	–	–	3	26 (19%)	–
22 Jocelin Behiratche D	6.3	92'	–	–	–	34 (30%)	–
16 Gibril Sosseh M	6.3	9'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
14 Adam Alabi D	6.3	18'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	1
4 Andrej Stojchevski D	6.2	92'	–	–	1	44 (37%)	–
30 David Puškáč F	6.2	60'	–	–	1	12 (10%)	–
9 Alan Marinelli F	6.2	9'	–	–	–	–	–
18 Jan Fiala F	6.2	32'	–	–	1	7 (7%)	–
21 Simon Sloncik D	5.9	92'	–	–	–	34 (29%)	–

Baník Ostrava

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
19 F. Šancl M	7.9	17'	1	–	1	3 (2%)	–
17 Michal Frydrych D	7.5	92'	1	–	2	31 (28%)	3
7 Dantaye Gilbert F	7.2	75'	–	–	2	23 (17%)	–
28 Filip Kubala F	7.0	56'	–	–	–	14 (9%)	2
23 Martin Jedlička G	6.5	92'	–	–	–	27 (19%)	–
44 Yevgeniy Skyba D	6.5	31'	–	–	1	22 (19%)	–
81 Matúš Kmeť D	6.5	17'	–	–	–	7 (4%)	–
3 Rhodri Smith D	6.3	36'	–	–	–	14 (14%)	–
55 Artúr Musák M	6.3	75'	–	–	1	20 (17%)	1
15 Václav Jurečka F	6.3	36'	–	–	1	8 (7%)	–
8 Aboubacar Traore M	6.3	92'	–	–	–	15 (11%)	2
5 Jiří Boula M	6.3	92'	–	–	2	43 (34%)	1
34 Abdullahi Bewene M	6.2	56'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	1
83 Roan Nogha D	6.2	92'	–	–	–	27 (24%)	1
22 Vit Skrkon F	6.2	92'	–	–	4	15 (12%)	1
16 Maksym Diachuk D	6.2	61'	–	–	–	18 (16%)	–

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Our lean

Slovácko or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Slovácko

DWLDD

Baník Ostrava

WDLLL

Live insights

89' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Slovácko leads 2-1. Win probability: 85.6%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 14.4%.

53' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Slovácko win: 74.8%. BTTS: 100%.

50' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 45.4%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Baník Ostrava leads. Win probability: 70%. Over 0.5 more goals: 71.6%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Baník Ostrava goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	8	6	2	1
1	8	14	8	3	1
2	7	9	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Slovácko goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

33%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

33%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

53% Home (No Draw) 47% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.9%	7.6%	5.8%	2.5%	0.8%
1	8.2%	14.1%	7.9%	3.4%	1.1%
2	6.7%	8.5%	5.4%	2.3%	0.7%
3	3.0%	3.9%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.0%	1.3%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Slovácko	Draw	Baník Ostrava
Slovácko	22.9%	5.1%	2.4%
Draw	13.7%	18.5%	14.3%
Baník Ostrava	1.8%	3.9%	17.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Slovácko vs Baník Ostrava

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Slovácko — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Baník Ostrava	D	2 - 2
16 Sep	A Neratovice-Byškovice	W	0 - 4
12 Sep	A Bohemians 1905	L	2 - 0
05 Sep	H Pardubice	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A Plzen	D	1 - 1

Baník Ostrava — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
23 Sep	A Kladno	W	1 - 2
19 Sep	A Slovácko	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Pardubice	L	1 - 2
09 Sep	A FK Jablonec	L	3 - 0
06 Sep	A Mlada Boleslav	L	4 - 0

Czech Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Slavia Praha	9	7	2	0	25	6	+19	23
2	Slovan Liberec	9	6	2	1	13	4	+9	20
3	Mlada Boleslav	8	5	2	1	17	9	+8	17
4	Sigma Olomouc	9	5	1	3	16	13	+3	16
5	Teplice	9	5	1	3	17	15	+2	16
6	Zbrojovka Brno	9	5	1	3	12	12	0	16
7	Sparta Praha	9	5	0	4	18	12	+6	15
8	FK Jablonec	9	4	2	3	11	9	+2	14
9	Hradec Králové	9	4	2	3	8	9	-1	14
10	Plzen	9	2	4	3	17	17	0	10
11	Baník Ostrava	9	3	1	5	7	17	-10	10
12	Bohemians 1905	8	2	3	3	9	11	-2	9
13	Pardubice	9	2	2	5	9	14	-5	8
14	Artis	9	1	2	6	7	18	-11	5
15	Karviná	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Slovácko	9	0	4	5	7	16	-9	4
16	Zlin	9	0	1	8	8	19	-11	1

Baník Ostrava

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Roman Skuhravy

23 Jedlička

16 Diachuk

83 Nogha

17 Frydrych

34 Bewene

55 Musák

5 Boula

8 Traore

7 Gilbert

28 Kubala

22 Skrkon

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	Martin Jedlička	G
17	Michal Frydrych	D
83	Roan Nogha	D
16	Maksym Diachuk	D
8	Aboubacar Traore	M
5	Jiří Boula	M
55	Artúr Musák	M
34	Abdullahi Bewene	M
28	Filip Kubala	F
7	Dantaye Gilbert	F
22	Vit Skrkon	F

Substitutes

3	Rhodri Smith	D
15	Václav Jurečka	F
44	Yevgeniy Skyba	D
81	Matúš Kmeť	D
19	Filip Šancl	M
1	Viktor Budinský	G
37	Matěj Chaluš	D
95	Daniel Holzer	M
21	Michal Kohút	M

Slovácko

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Jan Jelinek

29 Heča

4 Stojchevski

22 Behiratche

21 Sloncik

15 Blahút

26 Kostadinov

10 Trávník

2 Ndefe

72 Vorlický

20 Havlík

30 Puškáč

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
29	Milan Heča	G
21	Simon Sloncik	D
22	Jocelin Behiratche	D
4	Andrej Stojchevski	D
2	Gigli Ndefe	M
10	Michal Trávník	M
26	Tihomir Kostadinov	M
15	Patrik Blahút	M
20	Marek Havlík	F
72	Lukáš Vorlický	F
30	David Puškáč	F

Substitutes

18	Jan Fiala	F
14	Adam Alabi	D
77	Pavel Juroška	M
34	Pavel Halouska	G
28	Leos Prior	D
19	Tomas Kral	D
17	Filip Hruska	M
16	Gibril Sosseh	M
27	Artur Dolznikov	M
11	Filip Horský	F
9	Alan Marinelli	F