Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Prediction

I Liga · Regular Season - 12

24 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Away

AI call Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win or draw

10%

23%

67%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki prediction: Sportiko gives Ruch Chorzów a 10% chance of winning, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 67% and the draw 23%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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75% 72% 71%

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:2 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Ruch Chorzów

DDWWL

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

WLWLD

Match summary

Ruch Chorzów faces Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki in a key I Liga matchup. Ruch has shown strong form at home, with a solid record in their last five matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per game. Pogoń, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, managing only 1 win in their last five away fixtures. A focus on maximizing possession and exploiting set pieces could be crucial for both teams, but Ruch’s offensive efficiency gives them the edge in this encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	14	14	9	5	2
1	4	11	9	6	3	1
2	2	3	3	2	1
3		1	1
4
5

↑ Ruch Chorzów goals · most likely 0–2 (14.5%)

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Match Result

Away Win

67%

Draw

23%

Home Win

10%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

67%

Draw

23%

Home Win

10%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

87% Away (No Draw) 13% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

42% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

67% Away Scores More 23% Equal Goals 10% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.9%	13.6%	14.5%	9.4%	4.6%
1	3.6%	10.7%	9.3%	6.0%	2.9%
2	1.6%	3.0%	3.0%	1.9%	0.9%
3	0.3%	0.7%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

34%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ruch Chorzów	Draw	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Ruch Chorzów	5.6%	2.8%	1.9%
Draw	4.5%	15.1%	19.7%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	0.6%	3.1%	46.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

53%

34%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

43%

1.5

57%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Away Exact Goals

14%

28%

27%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ruch Chorzów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Ruch Chorzów — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Polonia Bytom	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	H Podbeskidzie	D	3 - 3
07 Sep	H Unia Skierniewice	W	3 - 1
02 Sep	A Lechia Zielona Góra	W	0 - 2
30 Aug	A Chrobry Głogów	L	2 - 0

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H ŁKS Łódź	W	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Unia Skierniewice	L	3 - 2
04 Sep	H Warta Poznań	W	1 - 0
01 Sep	A Podhale Nowy Targ	L	3 - 1
28 Aug	H Nieciecza	D	2 - 2

I Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	9	5	3	1	15	8	+7	18
2	Nieciecza	9	5	1	3	14	12	+2	16
3	Warta Poznań	9	5	0	4	17	13	+4	15
4	ŁKS Łódź	9	4	3	2	13	9	+4	15
5	Miedz Legnica	9	4	2	3	14	9	+5	14
6	Polonia Warszawa	9	4	2	3	15	12	+3	14
7	Stal Rzeszów	9	4	2	3	10	15	-5	14
8	Lechia Gdansk	9	4	1	4	17	15	+2	13
9	Chrobry Głogów	9	3	3	3	11	8	+3	12
10	Pogoń Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9	7	+2	12
11	Ruch Chorzów	9	3	3	3	9	11	-2	12
12	Arka Gdynia	9	3	2	4	11	11	0	11
13	Unia Skierniewice	9	3	1	5	10	15	-5	10
14	Odra Opole	9	2	3	4	7	9	-2	9
15	Polonia Bytom	9	1	6	2	14	17	-3	9
16	Stal Mielec	9	2	3	4	14	23	-9	9
17	Podbeskidzie	9	0	8	1	12	14	-2	8
18	Puszcza Niepołomice	8	2	0	6	8	12	-4	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.