Warta Poznań vs Arka Gdynia Prediction

I Liga · Regular Season - 8

Post on X

Warta Poznań

Home

3 : 0

HT 1 - 0

Arka Gdynia

Away

AI call Arka Gdynia or draw

34%

29%

38%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Warta Poznań vs Arka Gdynia prediction: Sportiko gives Warta Poznań a 34% chance of winning, Arka Gdynia 38% and the draw 29%. Last updated 12 Sep 2026, 15:23.

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Home to Score 74%
2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
1st Half Over 0.5 73%

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Timeline

41' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

⇄ Kacper Szymanek

60' ⇄

61' ⇄

⇄ 63'

Kacper Szymanek

67' ⚽ 2–0

▮ 69'

Yellow Card

▮ 72'

Yellow Card

77' ⇄

85' ⇄

⇄ 86'

Yellow Card

89' ▮

90+3' ⚽ 3–0

FT 3–0

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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Our lean

Arka Gdynia or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Warta Poznań

WWLLW

Arka Gdynia

LLDWD

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

34%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

38%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Arka Gdynia goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	7	6	3	1
1	7	14	9	4	1
2	6	8	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Warta Poznań goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

34%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

34%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

53% Away (No Draw) 47% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 16% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Away Scores More 34% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.7%	7.3%	6.4%	3.1%	1.1%
1	6.8%	13.6%	8.7%	4.2%	1.5%
2	5.6%	8.1%	5.8%	2.8%	1.0%
3	2.5%	3.7%	2.6%	1.3%	0.5%
4	0.9%	1.2%	0.9%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Warta Poznań	Draw	Arka Gdynia
Warta Poznań	23.5%	5.8%	2.9%
Draw	9.9%	17.1%	14.7%
Arka Gdynia	1.3%	3.6%	21.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Warta Poznań vs Arka Gdynia

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Warta Poznań — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Puszcza Niepołomice	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	H Arka Gdynia	W	3 - 0
04 Sep	A Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	L	1 - 0
30 Aug	A Miedz Legnica	L	2 - 1
21 Aug	A Chrobry Głogów	W	0 - 1

Arka Gdynia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Pogoń Siedlce	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Warta Poznań	L	3 - 0
06 Sep	H ŁKS Łódź	D	1 - 1
02 Sep	A Resovia Rzeszów	W	0 - 4
30 Aug	H Polonia Bytom	D	1 - 1

I Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	9	5	3	1	15	8	+7	18
2	Nieciecza	9	5	1	3	14	12	+2	16
3	Warta Poznań	9	5	0	4	17	13	+4	15
4	ŁKS Łódź	9	4	3	2	13	9	+4	15
5	Miedz Legnica	9	4	2	3	14	9	+5	14
6	Polonia Warszawa	9	4	2	3	15	12	+3	14
7	Stal Rzeszów	9	4	2	3	10	15	-5	14
8	Lechia Gdansk	9	4	1	4	17	15	+2	13
9	Chrobry Głogów	9	3	3	3	11	8	+3	12
10	Pogoń Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9	7	+2	12
11	Ruch Chorzów	9	3	3	3	9	11	-2	12
12	Arka Gdynia	9	3	2	4	11	11	0	11
13	Unia Skierniewice	9	3	1	5	10	15	-5	10
14	Odra Opole	9	2	3	4	7	9	-2	9
15	Polonia Bytom	9	1	6	2	14	17	-3	9
16	Stal Mielec	9	2	3	4	14	23	-9	9
17	Podbeskidzie	9	0	8	1	12	14	-2	8
18	Puszcza Niepołomice	8	2	0	6	8	12	-4	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.