Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice Prediction

I Liga · Regular Season - 7

06 Sep 2026, 17:00

Post on X

Puszcza Niepołomice

Away

Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce

AI call Puszcza Niepołomice or draw

32%

30%

38%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice prediction: Sportiko gives Pogoń Siedlce a 32% chance of winning, Puszcza Niepołomice 38% and the draw 30%. Last updated 6 Sep 2026, 16:00.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Pogoń Siedlce

WDWWL

Puszcza Niepołomice

LLWWL

Last 1 meetings Pogoń Siedlce · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming I Liga match, Pogoń Siedlce will face Puszcza Niepołomice. Pogoń has shown a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.2 goals per match this season, while Puszcza has struggled offensively, averaging just 1 goal per game. Both teams will look to secure crucial points, with Pogoń aiming to capitalize on their stronger home form. However, Puszcza’s recent improvement in away matches could challenge Pogoń’s defense. The outcome may hinge on the effectiveness of Pogoń's midfield in controlling possession.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

32%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

38%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Puszcza Niepołomice goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	9	7	3	1
1	8	14	8	4	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Pogoń Siedlce goals · most likely 1–1 (14.5%)

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

32%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

32%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

54% Away (No Draw) 46% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Away Scores More 32% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.8%	9.1%	7.1%	3.1%	1.0%
1	8.0%	14.5%	8.5%	3.7%	1.2%
2	5.8%	7.6%	5.0%	2.2%	0.7%
3	2.3%	3.0%	2.0%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.7%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Pogoń Siedlce	Draw	Puszcza Niepołomice
Pogoń Siedlce	22.5%	6.3%	3.1%
Draw	9.4%	18.8%	16.8%
Puszcza Niepołomice	0.9%	3.0%	19.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice

0 Pogoń Siedlce Wins

0 Draws

1 Puszcza Niepołomice Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Mar 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice	3 - 0	Pogoń Siedlce

Pogoń Siedlce — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Arka Gdynia	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Chrobry Głogów	D	0 - 0
01 Sep	A Kluczevia Stargard	W	2 - 3
29 Aug	H Stal Mielec	W	2 - 0
21 Aug	A Lechia Gdansk	L	1 - 0

Puszcza Niepołomice — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Warta Poznań	L	3 - 2
11 Sep	H ŁKS Łódź	L	1 - 2
01 Sep	A Wisła Płock II	W	0 - 2
29 Aug	H Podbeskidzie	W	2 - 0
23 Aug	H Unia Skierniewice	L	0 - 1

I Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	9	5	3	1	15	8	+7	18
2	Nieciecza	9	5	1	3	14	12	+2	16
3	Warta Poznań	9	5	0	4	17	13	+4	15
4	ŁKS Łódź	9	4	3	2	13	9	+4	15
5	Miedz Legnica	9	4	2	3	14	9	+5	14
6	Polonia Warszawa	9	4	2	3	15	12	+3	14
7	Stal Rzeszów	9	4	2	3	10	15	-5	14
8	Lechia Gdansk	9	4	1	4	17	15	+2	13
9	Chrobry Głogów	9	3	3	3	11	8	+3	12
10	Pogoń Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9	7	+2	12
11	Ruch Chorzów	9	3	3	3	9	11	-2	12
12	Arka Gdynia	9	3	2	4	11	11	0	11
13	Unia Skierniewice	9	3	1	5	10	15	-5	10
14	Odra Opole	9	2	3	4	7	9	-2	9
15	Polonia Bytom	9	1	6	2	14	17	-3	9
16	Stal Mielec	9	2	3	4	14	23	-9	9
17	Podbeskidzie	9	0	8	1	12	14	-2	8
18	Puszcza Niepołomice	8	2	0	6	8	12	-4	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.